Misinformation 2020:

What Does The Data Tells Us About Election-Related Falsehoods?
defenseone.com/threats/2020/1…

Me @defenseone on the election’s most-spread false themes (with added insights into swing states and FL) and the dangerous ones going viral right now
The top pre-election misinfo themes:
-Hunter Biden
-voter fraud
-Antifa
-QAnon
The top states for misinformation by the numbers: PA, MI, FL

But interesting data point that Hunter Biden narrative had TWICE the traction per capita in Florida than PA
Key lessons:
-Platform companies doing better, but scale is still immense, uneven policies
-"The Killer is inside the House!" Domestic disinfo matters more than Foreign (vs 2016)
-We are in Info Bubbles, which are too easy to manipulate (key to a surging claim of stolen vote)
Key worry: organized disinfo crossed with push towards physical protests+narratives of “any means necessary” (veiled calls to violence), a message pivot starting to accelerate on social media. It could spark scary things in the short term, is damaging to our democracy longterm.
What to do:
-platforms need to become more coordinated, do better at enforcing own policies, especially towards "superspreaders"
-better monitoring of these trends to watch for danger points
-media needs to stop enabling misinfo, follow best practices
-longterm: digital literacy
Why so important:
Major threat to our democracy, but also all the tools and tactics targeting voters will target vaccines...

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More from @peterwsinger

28 Sep
In at least 3 ways:
1) Current+looming debt ($421M loans due) = foreign powers influence, clearly already flexed by Turkey
2) Finances and tax cheats that would normally yank security clearances (IE Javanka)
3) But my big worry: Now we see a new "why" for disrupting election...
He + family face legal risks far deeper than suspected. They also face significant financial woes.

As ever, an unprecedented situation for a US president.

The worry is yields mentality more of an authoritarian:
"If I lose, my family and I face prosecution and financial ruin"
That is not how the 2 sides in US elections have previously entered the space, but it is how 1 side is thinking now.

As result, Media and Dems need to stop thinking of this thru solely an "election" lens. It changes everything from reporting to transition strategy.
Read 5 tweets
26 Sep
"Facebook says it is ready for violent unrest in the US election, and has plans to restrict the spread of inflammatory posts" businessinsider.com/facebook-prepa…

A story told in gifs...
Read 6 tweets
24 Sep
But we are at real risk of a Turkey style authoritarian “democracy.”

It happens not in a night but in years.
Each of the key bulwarks against it is under siege.

And then, you look around, and everything you thought would prevent it is gone.
Judiciary-check
professional civil service -check
transfer of power at national level-check
use of state power to target opponents -check
mix of political/personal/business interests -check
Blatant nepotism, but accepted due to son in law's power -check
Use of state/extra state power to reward/punish media, at both individual reporter and business level -check
Use of state power to reward/punish corporate loyalty -check
Read 8 tweets
23 Sep
"Three Ways to Clean Up the Toxic Minefields of Social Media"

I teamed up with a Human Rights leader and a Silicon Valley executive on 3 approaches, each doable, to make the battle harder for those who push disinfo+hate speech+engineered trends
defenseone.com/ideas/2020/09/…
#likewar
The 3 principles to guide:

1) “If you can’t measure it, you can’t manage it.”
--need for tracking and reporting

2) Informed customers are protected customers.
--flagging automated and other inauthentic info

3) Empowered customers are protected customers.
--filter options
Different from a lot out there, we don't claim a false "fix" that would solve everything, but would never be possible to be implemented for legal or political or profit reasons.
Rather, they are doable steps that would throw some Clausewitzian "friction" at the bad guys.
Read 4 tweets
22 Sep
“I don’t think we should be moving on a nominee in the last year of this president’s term - I would say that if it was a Republican president.”
2016, @marcorubio
“It has been 80 years since a Supreme Court vacancy was nominated and confirmed in an election year. There is a long tradition that you don’t do this in an election year.”
@tedcruz 2016
“If an opening comes in the last year of President Trump’s term, and the primary process has started, we’ll wait to the next election.”
@LindseyGrahamSC 2018
Read 11 tweets
15 Sep
"The Space Force Will Soon Let Some Members Test Out Dress, PT Uniforms" military.com/daily-news/202…

PT for Space Force... How does that work?
Some suggestions:
Read 10 tweets

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