Me @defenseone on the election’s most-spread false themes (with added insights into swing states and FL) and the dangerous ones going viral right now
The top pre-election misinfo themes:
-Hunter Biden
-voter fraud
-Antifa
-QAnon
The top states for misinformation by the numbers: PA, MI, FL
But interesting data point that Hunter Biden narrative had TWICE the traction per capita in Florida than PA
Key lessons:
-Platform companies doing better, but scale is still immense, uneven policies
-"The Killer is inside the House!" Domestic disinfo matters more than Foreign (vs 2016)
-We are in Info Bubbles, which are too easy to manipulate (key to a surging claim of stolen vote)
Key worry: organized disinfo crossed with push towards physical protests+narratives of “any means necessary” (veiled calls to violence), a message pivot starting to accelerate on social media. It could spark scary things in the short term, is damaging to our democracy longterm.
What to do:
-platforms need to become more coordinated, do better at enforcing own policies, especially towards "superspreaders"
-better monitoring of these trends to watch for danger points
-media needs to stop enabling misinfo, follow best practices
-longterm: digital literacy
Why so important:
Major threat to our democracy, but also all the tools and tactics targeting voters will target vaccines...
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In at least 3 ways: 1) Current+looming debt ($421M loans due) = foreign powers influence, clearly already flexed by Turkey 2) Finances and tax cheats that would normally yank security clearances (IE Javanka) 3) But my big worry: Now we see a new "why" for disrupting election...
"Facebook says it is ready for violent unrest in the US election, and has plans to restrict the spread of inflammatory posts" businessinsider.com/facebook-prepa…
Judiciary-check
professional civil service -check
transfer of power at national level-check
use of state power to target opponents -check
mix of political/personal/business interests -check
Blatant nepotism, but accepted due to son in law's power -check
Use of state/extra state power to reward/punish media, at both individual reporter and business level -check
Use of state power to reward/punish corporate loyalty -check
"Three Ways to Clean Up the Toxic Minefields of Social Media"
I teamed up with a Human Rights leader and a Silicon Valley executive on 3 approaches, each doable, to make the battle harder for those who push disinfo+hate speech+engineered trends defenseone.com/ideas/2020/09/… #likewar
The 3 principles to guide:
1) “If you can’t measure it, you can’t manage it.”
--need for tracking and reporting
2) Informed customers are protected customers.
--flagging automated and other inauthentic info
3) Empowered customers are protected customers.
--filter options
Different from a lot out there, we don't claim a false "fix" that would solve everything, but would never be possible to be implemented for legal or political or profit reasons.
Rather, they are doable steps that would throw some Clausewitzian "friction" at the bad guys.
“I don’t think we should be moving on a nominee in the last year of this president’s term - I would say that if it was a Republican president.”
2016, @marcorubio
“It has been 80 years since a Supreme Court vacancy was nominated and confirmed in an election year. There is a long tradition that you don’t do this in an election year.” @tedcruz 2016
“If an opening comes in the last year of President Trump’s term, and the primary process has started, we’ll wait to the next election.” @LindseyGrahamSC 2018