Can someone explain why in each of the last three presidential and senate elections, the republican candidates had almost exactly the same percentages in each time in South Carolina?

You would think that the 2020 polling would have been far more accurate based on past history.
South Carolina had record turnout like many states. There was record democratic registration. There were 456,539 more presidential votes cast in 2020 than in 2016. How is it that with such a large increase in registration and voting the the percentages ended up almost identical,
...with almost exact proportional increases? Why didn't the distribution appear to change significantly? Coincidences?

Anecdotally, something doesn't smell right. And, the "people lie to pollsters" excuse doesn't really make sense when you look at real numbers.
PRESIDENTIAL RACE -
2012
Popular vote1,071,645865,941
Percentage54.56%44.09%
2016
Popular vote1,155,389855,373
Percentage54.94%40.67%
2020
Popular vote1,379,0631,088,238
Percentage55.1%43.5%
SENATE RACE -
2008
Popular vote1,076,150790,216
Percentage57.5%42.3%
2014
Popular vote672,942480,933
Percentage55.3%38.8%
2020
Popular vote1,362,2121,106,286
Percentage54.5%44.2%

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More from @l78lancer

6 Nov
Stacey Abrams

I was a little upset, even disappointed, when @staceyabrams left her state senate seat in GA. I felt like we were losing a young superstar. But while it may not have been clear to us, SHE had a clear vision and a plan to match.
When she started her work with the New Georgia Project working to protect voter rights and she fought Brian Kemp and the GA republican machine in court like a lioness, I was extremely proud and grateful for all of her work.
Yet while she always gracious and wonderful, without a doubt, she let her opponents know that she is a force of nature and one to be reckoned with. And, she wasn't done, not even close.
Read 8 tweets
6 Nov
Kornacki did an interesting analysis comparing GA an PA mail-in vote that people should pay attention to.
While Biden is barely winning the mail vote in red counties in PA, he's winning in significantly in the remaining red counties in Georgia. It may be of one big factor people may not think about.
The majority of blacks in the US STILL LIVE IN THE SOUTH. Many of those black voters live in rural areas of the south. For many of those same voters - who tend to vote democratic in red areas, voting by mail is the safest way to ensure that their vote gets counted.
Read 5 tweets
29 Oct
As @maddow said, be patient.

By election day, approximately 100 million people will have cast their votes. The early in-person vote reporting is leaning towards democrats. The mail-in vote - despite the deliberate sabotage - is leaning the democrats' way, too.
There's no reason to belief that the ballots the republicans will attempt to block after election day of any kind will benefit the GOP. That's why they want them blocked no matter their validity. That includes mail-in and provisional ballots.
And while the conventional wisdom says election day turnout may favor republicans, with democrats being angry about overt republican attempts to steal the election, there is no reason to believe that democratic voter enthusiasm or numbers will diminish on election day itself.
Read 8 tweets
27 Oct
The republican are so predictable. They raise hell, cause damage, hurt people physically and with their policies, and deprive people of their rights. They engage in maximum cruelty and inhumane treatment, and commit theft of national treasure and resources.
They overtly practice and promote hate. But when they lose power, they insist on fair treatment, dignity, due process, and healing. They insist that the nation won't be able to stand conflict, let alone retribution.
They can't stand the idea of being subjected to what they practiced on a full time basis when they are in power even for a second.
Read 5 tweets
26 Oct
REFLECTION:

I used to wonder why animals like the horses and cattle came along at the end of A parade. Then watching politics it became clear. It was because the people walking and smiling behind the fancy float with the parade queen didn't want to mess up their fancy boots.
The walked along for show making the numbers great but not really serving a purpose. And, they knew that when the parade was all over, someone would come along to clean up behind the animals.
That's been the GOP for the past 12 years. Their entire sh!t show of governance has been a perverse, weird parade. They've smiled, nodded, waved, pontificated and at times even did a song and dance, while folks in the background acted like animals and treated others even worse.
Read 5 tweets
22 Oct
AN APPEAL TO MY FELLOW BLACK MEN AND VOTERS:

I have truly missed going to the barber shop for the past few months. For me it's a comfortable place of comradery and acceptance where black men can have wide ranging conversations, debates, at times disagreements,...
...but we can always speak openly and be heard regarding the issues that affect us. Sometimes we talk trash about much of nothing. Or we watch sports, play chess and backgammon, or listen to music. But often we discuss important issues and have genuine learning experiences.
And importantly, it's one place on earth where old men and young men gather, intergenerational knowledge is passed, and respect is acknowledged, given, and received. I don't know how it is or what it means for people of other cultures, but it's a part of ours.
Read 26 tweets

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