Josh Barro Profile picture
6 Nov, 7 tweets, 2 min read
I see lots of you retweeting that insane thread from @pegobry. I’m disappointed, and you need to get a grip.
Of that looooooong thread, this is the only one that addresses any remotely specific claim of what fraud there might have been. And this is irrelevant! Biden is going to win PA by a clear margin before any late-arriving ballots are counted.
The conspiracy theory doesn’t make any sense. I was at a polling place all Tuesday. You’re gonna do this in front of dozens of people? Or by mail, each ballot has to attach to a registered voter. We saw in NC-9 how hard it is to get away with stealing mail votes on a small scale.
So your supposition is that tens of thousands of ballots were snatched? To get Biden a *smaller* margin in Philadelphia than Hillary got four years ago? News flash: These cities produce huge margins for Democrats because they’re filled with Democrats.
Weird how nobody alleged fraud in the Philadelphia suburbs, which is where Biden’s real gains are.
I know a lot of conservatives think liberals are ready to throw out the rules when they don’t like election results. Well, not me. I wasn’t looking for electoral college schemes in 2016. I don’t think the Georgia governor’s race was stolen. We have rules. Trump lost by them.
My advice to you, like my advice to Democrats four years ago, is to stop whining and figure out how to win next time.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Josh Barro

Josh Barro Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @jbarro

7 Nov
I kind of think Biden should just declare victory. He’s obviously won. There’s nothing in the constitution that says you have to wait for the Associated Press.
But I have also been fairly unbothered by Trump’s bloviating. People say things.
Anyway, I don’t get the idea that Biden needs to wait for “optics” or “norms.” Three months from now, nobody is going to care that Joe Biden didn’t wait for the AP to say he won the race he won.
Read 4 tweets
6 Nov
Genuinely having trouble deciding if this is true or not. I think it probably is. Of course, Biden also won.
I dunno, you could probably turn UBI and some of his other quirky ideas into powerful attack ad fodder.
On the other hand — if Joe Rogan had spent the election pulling for the Democrat, that probably would have been worth something with young secular men
Read 4 tweets
5 Nov
In heavily Hispanic Lawrence, MA, Trump lost 74-25, an improvement from 82-15 last time. Another sign of Trump making inroads in Hispanic communities even as he continues to lose them overall.
Lawrence is 80% Hispanic or Latino
Significant improvement also on the south coast (New Bedford/Fall River) where there is a large Portuguese-American community.
Read 6 tweets
5 Nov
Lots of people who just witnessed a huge polling error are currently tweeting their analyses of the results based on exit polls that haven’t even been re-weighted to the result yet. We don’t know what share of white women voted for Trump or anything else of that sort.
It’s going to be months until we have good demographic data like this. Hold your takes.
There are things we can infer from precinct data — go ahead and say “Trump greatly improved his performance with Florida Cubans” — but precise numbers will have to wait.
Read 4 tweets
4 Nov
I'll have more later this week on what so many of us (and especially me) got wrong but I think one of the big matters is that Democrats never understood or grappled with why Trump had such positive ratings on the economy, both pre- and post-COVID.
Partly economic performance is just a fact on the ground that still affects you as a challenger even if you acknowledge it. But liberals underestimate how strong the GOP message of "a private economy that works for you" is and Trump was presiding over such an economy in 2018-19.
Then in '20, household finances held up shockingly well in such a terrible crash, in large part due to bipartisan CARES Act and Fed action. Views of the economy held up much better than you'd expect from the headline numbers.
Read 4 tweets
2 Nov
So here’s what I don’t get about all the Florida analyses. They focus so heavily on turnout rather than persuasion. And outside the Miami area, we’re seeing these district level polls showing persuasion is providing big gains for Biden. Does he even need to improve turnout?
For example, here’s Biden up 14 points in a central Florida district that Clinton won by 4. Obviously the same turnout as 2016 here would not produce the same result as 2016. stpetepolls.org/files/StPetePo…
Obviously there are some countervailing losses for Biden among Cuban voters. But white seniors are a much larger chunk of the Florida electorate than Cubans.
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!