👀 Short thread: My analysis of the GEORGIA Senate runoffs, and why these absolutely crucial races lean red based on current dynamics & history. But they're not gimmes, especially if Republican voters throw in the towel... townhall.com/tipsheet/guybe…
🚨 All hands on deck: With stakes extremely high, frustrated-to-livid Trump supporters can see electing Perdue & Loeffler as their first test of 'resistance' turnabout, and as essential to protecting key pieces of Trump's legacy against dismantling under total Dem control...
Meanwhile, moderates & Trump-skeptical right-leaners can view these contests as an important opportunity to guarantee checks & balances. If Dems pull off upsets, Pelosi/Schumer will drive the agenda in DC. If R's win, there will be more power sharing, driven by Biden/McConnell.
Whether you're hardcore pro-Trump, or merely uncomfortable w/ the prospect of complete Democratic control, the choice is clear: These races must be won by Senators Perdue & Loeffler on January 5th, with early voting starting December 14th. #GASentownhall.com/tipsheet/guybe…
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
🧵 Kamala Harris was asked twice tonight about a personal weakness or mistake & how she can learn from it. Her, um, ‘answers’ were that she’s very well-versed/prepared on issues, and that she has such an exceptional team around her. At first blush, these are laughable responses…
…because (a) these are not “weaknesses,” of course, and (b) she is infamously under-prepared/not well-versed — and she has sky high staff turnover due to the widely-reported toxic workplace environment she fosters. BUT, I think there was a flash of truth in these responses…
…She was asked about weaknesses and her brain clearly went straight to knowledge/preparation & staff. She tried, incoherently, to turn them both into humble brags, but she did highlight two areas of glaring weakness. She may have just inadvertently told on herself right there…
🧵 ~10 days after Biden was forced out, a leader at a major right-leaning organization (which spends significant resources on high-quality, private polling) told me their data had taken a serious downward turn for Trump across key states & Senate picture looked worse…
…Trump’s leads were gone & he was trailing in several battlegrounds. In Senate races, most theoretically winnable races were looking like duds for the GOP. The trend continued…until it didn’t. There has been a rebound, now detectable over more than one poll in their series…
…whether you believe these numbers or not, the trend is notable. These were the results from polling that was in the field just before Labor Day weekend.
Top to bottom are Montana (polling due to Senate race), Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Nevada & Wisconsin:
🧵27 days since Hamas terrorists massacred 1400 civilians. Israel delayed its invasion for weeks. Hamas leader JUST said they’ll launch endless 10/7-style attacks until Israel is annihilated. And major “pro-Israel” liberals are already going wobbly on Israeli self defense...
Someone should tell CBS and the international pressurers that the “refugee camp” (not from this conflict) in question was attacked by Israel because Hamas has been *using it for its terrorism.* Fully legitimate target…
…it’s extremely reckless for someone like Durbin, in leadership, to embrace a “ceasefire.” Hamas violated the last ceasefire by butchering women and children. They respect nothing. A “ceasefire” prevents Israel from doing what must be done, and allows Hamas to regroup…
🧵 I have now heard from multiple @UChicago students about something that happened on campus last week. Pro-Israel students followed the rules and reserved the quad for a rally. “Pro-Palestine” students showed up and did everything they could to drown out the event, an apparent violation of the school’s (good) free speech policy:
Note the “resistance is justified” chanting, which is hard to interpret as anything other than backing the Hamas massacre, given the context. I’m told this was the ‘Dean on call’ during the incident…
Students say the university has rules against disruptive conduct, defined as actions that include but are not limited to “obstruction, impairment, or interference with University sponsored or authorized activities or facilities in a manner that is likely to or does deprive others of the benefit or enjoyment of the activity or facility.” The “pro-Palestine” students were reportedly asked to move at some point. They did not, and the university did not enforce its policies. No word on any consequences…
🧵 In the 2+ weeks since the fires ripped through Maui, the president has looked less like a concerned, empathetic national father/grandfather figure, and more like a detached retiree shuffling between vacations…
…and his curious brand of empathy has too often entailed embellishments and fabrications involving his own life — which is not at all a new phenomenon with him…
…I don’t know whether he was falling asleep at that event with victims and their families, but it sure looked like it. This is not the look for a president of any age…
It’s pride month, which means it’s time for a lot of noise — from corporate posturing to culture warriors’ endless competing grievances (sometimes they have a point, on both “sides”). There are any number of things ‘Pride’ *doesn’t* mean to me — but here’s what it does:
I’m living my life to the fullest, as best I know how, while being truthful about who I am: A gay man. For years, I never expected this sort of life would be possible or accessible to someone like me. Despite my fear, I’ve never regretted finally accepting & sharing that truth…
“It gets better”💫 isn’t just a trite slogan for me. It’s been a powerful reality. While everyone’s situations & timelines are different, I believe that phrase applies in the vast majority of cases. Despite our immense progress, there are still many people who need to hear that…