I have been spending virtually all day reading through this stack of affidavits the Trump campaign provided regarding voter irregularities in Michigan. Some of the stuff should be investigated, but a lot of the stuff is... this.
"I can confirm that I was made to stay six feet away from the table but sometimes I didn't."
Thanks for your input.
There are a bunch of indications that these affidavits were not thoroughly checked before being released to the entire world. Although the names of voters (where identified in the affidavit) are usually redacted, I have caught some instances where they are not.
This isn't a reflection on the validity vel non of the fraud claims, but it is a poor reflection on the attorneys who assisted with this process and have now put voters' private information out into the internet for everyone to see. Bad look.
Then there is also this, which is a pretty clear indication that they prompted folks on what questions to answer in their affidavits. Nothing per se unethical about that, but on one of the affidavits, they neglected to remove the question prompt.
This is probably the highest profile case these lawyers will ever litigate and it's disappointing to see this level of just... blatant sloppiness.
Attorney Wayne Jarvis is not impressed
Have finished my review and cataloguing project. Story to come shortly. I know you're all on tenterhooks.
Here's the tl;dr: I think that what's described here doesn't really come close to establishing anything that is going to stop this election from being certified. The sum total allegations seem to pertain to less than 1,000 ballots, even if we accept them all as true. 1/
I'm talking actual allegations of behavior that would serve as evidence of probable fraud. There's some stuff that I think the state should answer for (and I'm awaiting comment from them on those things) fraud-wise but just not enough votes worth. 2/
It also is definitely true that a huge, huge portion of these affidavits detail complaints that are not related to fraud or that allege, in conclusory terms, an "atmosphere of intimidation" at the TCF Center. 3/
It's also true that some (most) of the allegations concern behavior that isn't either illegal or improper. A huge number of them deal solely with observers who were mad they couldn't get in the building, a story that has been addressed ad nauseam. 4/
But if even half the claims about how Republican observers were treated is true (people refusing to answer their questions, people deliberately blocking their view, people calling them names) then those aren't things that should have occurred. 5/
Also, a siginificant thing to me is that a large, large number of the affiants stated that the ballot duplication process was not being done with a GOP observer. Most of them claim that they were specifically told they were not allowed to observe. 6/
Of note, the city issued a denial that this occurred. In my opinion, this should be investigated because there are a large, large number of people who have sworn to it at this point. 7/
The really and truly difficult thing to evaluate, from these affidavits, is the extent to which GOP observers were meaningfully kept from observing things they should have been allowed to observe. 8/
That's definitely a claim of a lot of the affidavits and if it is true (that beyond enforcing social distancing, Democrat observers deliberately used their bodies to obscure machines so Republicans couldn't read) then that's also a problem. 9/
Now, the county has already said that it was only enforcing normal social distancing guidelines. But it's difficult to know without having been there. 10/
And, you know, that's kind of the crux of the thing, because it leads to the speculation that the only reason they don't have more evidence is because they were actively prevented from getting more. 11/
As I've said, I don't think it would have been possible for Dems to have added tens of thousands of votes even with the use of really egregious and obvious widespread fraud. 12/
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Just stop, dude. You had your chance to evenly enforce these rules and the whole country watched you not do it. No one is going to abide by this. You blew it.
Measures like this only work in the setting of overwhelming public compliance. America (thankfully) does not have enough law enforcement to force public compliance with an edict like this, so its efficacy depends on public faith in its elected officials.
When they see these measures being enforced against some populations but not others, a large enough percentage of the population to wreck the whole plan sees that (justifiably!) as an indictment of the honesty of politicians and the media.
As I continue to run things down, I wanted to jot down a few thoughts about voter fraud, and why I think it is fairly frequent on a small scale basis and largely impossible to pull off on a large scale basis. 1/
I would view it as more likely that the counting software caused serious problems than I would that there are massive numbers of fraudulent votes. The reason is pretty simple: creating a vote creates a paper trail and each instance significantly ups the risk of being caught 2/
At a certain point, risk becomes certainty. Remember, first of all, that you can't just print a ballot and stuff it in a ballot box. The ballot has to be associated with a voter who is REGISTERED and who is recorded as casting a ballot at a precinct that day. 3/
After five days spent chasing down every even semi-plausible theory that was given to me by anyone, I view it to be almost certain at this point that what happened on Tuesday (and in the weeks preceding) is that Joe Biden secured enough legal votes to win the Electoral College 1/
I think it's important, for the health of the country and the integrity of the election process, that any credible accusation pertaining to the integrity of the voting process should be pursued to the fullest practical extent. 2/
To the extent that the Trump campaign has concerns about the votes in any particular location, they should be given full access to physically inspect ballots and verify tabulations and the legality of every ballot cast. 3/
I'm trying to limit what I respond to here because, believe it or not, I'm a little busy, but I have a feeling that this video should be addressed. 1/
I knew immediately when I saw this that I was almost certainly looking at someone transferring legal votes from ballots that were damaged or defective (printed wrong or somehow mangled by the machine) to ballots that could be machine fed. 2/
This is a normal thing that happens in every place where ballots are counted by machine and the clue that it's not anything nefarious is that it's obviously being done in a room that is visibly full of people. 3/
The first part of this tweet is absolutely not true, and people should stop repeating it. The uncontested testimony, including of the Trump campaign, is that when the doors were locked and windows covered, the Trump campaign had >100 watchers inside 1/
It turns out that the doors were closed and windows covered for good reason. Even though more than the allotted numbers of observers were inside, people (some not even poll watchers) were trying to barge in and record on phones. 2/
Obviously not a great situation for counters, who are probably volunteers, to be potentially put on social media. When they shut them out so the counters could work, people were crowding around windows trying to film. 3/
Thread re one of the things I keep seeing thrown around as evidence of fraud is the manner in which the media has reported vote totals. The allegation that has raised its head more than any other I've seen concerns massive tranches of votes coming in 100% for Biden. 1/
The most important, number one thing to note about the media's reporting of results is that IT IS NOT RELEVANT AT ALL. The media isn't even getting the figures you've been seeing from official tallies, they get them from private data companies. 2/
These companies are not official and nothing they say counts. They provide a service to media orgs by calling counties and getting totals and inputting them faster than official state websites do... 3/