What makes me sad is that I knew this would happen. Not just me. Others, too. It was entirely predictable. Slogans and sociological theory don't prevent violence. Policy and policing based on evidence and proven research-based strategies do. washingtonpost.com/national/minne…
If you can't or don't want to click through, some excerpts:
"Minneapolis police have faced a surge of officer departures in the wake of Floyd’s death and the outcry against police."
"In June, a city council majority vowed to defund and dismantle the department and replace it with a new agency focused on a mix of public safety and violence prevention — a move that could go before voters in 2021."
"Homicides in Minneapolis are up 50 percent, with nearly 75 people killed across the city so far this year. More than 500 people have been shot, the highest number in more than a decade and twice as many as in 2019."
"On Friday, the city council voted to allocate nearly $500,000 for the police department to temporarily hire officers from neighboring law enforcement agencies to help patrol city streets."
"'Since the unjustified and unfortunate death of George Floyd, the city council has engaged in rhetoric that has emboldened criminals, the proof of which is in the unprecedented spike in crime,' said George Saad of southwest Minneapolis."
"'You guys have had years to address any culture problems within the Minneapolis PD. You have failed to do so. Instead, you embark on a campaign against your own police department, fighting and demonizing an entire internal city organization instead of making it better.'"
Forbes "told council members how bullets burst through her living room wall on a recent night, narrowly missing her head. She blamed the city council for pursuing what she described as a 'sociology experiment that obviously doesn’t work.'"
"'If you want to talk about pandemics, we’re dealing with a pandemic of violence,' Spann, a longtime community activist, said on a recent afternoon, just as word came of two more nearby shootings. 'We’re under siege. . . . . And our city has failed to protect us.'"
"She worries about the lasting trauma on the community — how it might manifest in children who have been shot and survived and what effect gunfire and the fear of getting struck by bullets is having. 'What is this doing to us as a community, as human beings?'"
"'Why can’t I have police reform? Why can’t I have law and order? Why do I have to pick and choose? I should be able to have both.... The city has failed us,' Spann said."

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More from @PeterMoskos

13 Nov
A big legal firm dropping this case is a good sign. But always a warning as to how dirty it is. I finally figured out how Republican are planning to keep Trump in office, no matter the popular vote. [thread]
reuters.com/article/us-usa…
I didn't invent this theory. I just didn't understand it till this I heard this podcast last night (which was from _before_ the election). At about ~21 minutes. "Counting Votes" presents a Pennsylvania scenario that is, "in the realm of crazy scenarios." trumpconlaw.com/46-counting-vo…
It's playing out now. It's also laid out is this story. And Pennsylvania is key. politico.com/news/2020/11/1…
Read 22 tweets
30 Aug
NYPD did this for 5 years. 95% of homeless people offered help declined (mostly because of shelter rules). Half the vans of the homeless outreach unit were recently burnt/destroyed in protests. The unit was disbanded July 17.
What do you do when the homeless person says "no, thanks", as most do? As NYC homeless services budget doubled to $3 billion (not counting NYPD homeless outreach), calls to NYPD for homeless quality-of-life issues also doubled.
These policy issues matter. These are real people being affected. And idealism is not helping them.
Read 4 tweets
22 Aug
I know defund police police and prison advocates ignore this kind of case and accuse those who mention this of "sensationalizing" crime. But somebody was murdered. And if we don't talk about this, how do we prevent it from happening again? nydailynews.com/new-york/nyc-c…
"The diminutive 5-foot-tall Armand ... was ordered by Judge April Neubauer to attend a mental-health treatment program, authorities said. Armand was released from jail to attend the program, and her sentencing was adjourned until she finished." So far so good.
"In April, Armand was charged with felony assault after she went into a post office, asked for mail and sprayed a clerk in the face with pepper spray. When cops tried to arrest her, she kicked and punched and broke one of the officer’s body worn cameras." Not so good.
Read 8 tweets
24 Jul
Part of the problem with #DefundPolice concept is the failure of existing social service providers, even when very well funded. Compared to DHS (NYC Homeless Services) the NYPD is a goddamned model of transparency, accountability, efficiency, and value for dollar spent.
Put cynically, NYC is spending $2 billion a year ($30,000 annually for every homeless man woman and child) so people can profit homelessness. The city rains dollar on "non-profit" service providers who perpetuate the problem and kickback pennies to politicians.
"60,000 or 78,604 people, it's not going down. Despite (or because of) billions spend on "social services."
"Federal Data Show Nearly 80,000 Homeless in New York City; Number is about 15,000 more than the figure used by Mayor Bill de Blasio."
wsj.com/articles/feder…
Read 5 tweets
21 Jul
"How could it possibly be true that ‘two-thirds’ of all Americans aged 15-34 visiting emergency rooms had been injured by police or security guards … It turns out I was right … I believe Lepore’s claim to be off by a factor of several hundred." unherd.com/thepost/an-unt…
For what it's worth, the actual Feldman et al (2016) study that is grossly mis-interpreted is pretty interesting. ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/P…
Shows large increase 2001-2014 in people going to hospital. Not clear if its from security or cops. I would say an ignored relevant factor could be change in police dept policy requiring hospital more often, to CYA. (ie, not clear if increased hospital reflect increased injury)
Read 7 tweets
19 Jul
My op-ed in the Daily News nydailynews.com/opinion/ny-ope…
In the last 28 days shootings have more than tripled (318 vs 97 compared to last year). Last week was even worse. If this is the new normal, 2021 will have over 4,100 shootings, a level not seen in well over 20 years.
In 2018 (the latest year with published data), 95.7% of shooting victims in New York City are Black or Hispanic. Just 4.3% of victims are white or Asian. When violence goes up, more Black and Hispanic men are shot.
Read 15 tweets

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