Thread by @eberlmat

"The peak of infections was two weeks before we locked down."

"There's always a surge in respiratory illnesses in Europe during autumn."

"European Countries are sadly getting clobbered by the China Virus."

"Switzerland is doing better than most."

"Respiratory deaths rise in Northern countries at this time of year."

"I'm going to go out on a limb and predict there will be no 'second spike' - not now, and not in autumn either. The virus has melted into thin air."

"Only a small increase in bed demand. No pandemic."

"Scotland is not doing better than the rest of the UK."

"The number is almost nothing. Because we’ve gotten control of this thing, we understand how it works. They have the therapeutics to be able to deal with this."

"Trust your eyes, not the fake news."

"It's called the autumn. Every autumn we see an increase in respiratory diseases. It happens every single year."

"It's called the autumn. Every autumn we see an increase in respiratory diseases. It happens every single year."

"Lockdowns don't work."

"In all of them the epidemic is now (in terms of positive test results) either in decline or plateauing."

"Switzerland and Austria - the new Swedens?"

"Sweden settled in for the long haul, and now doesn't need to worry about a second surge."

@DanielJHannan

"Covid deaths in Sweden remain low."

@ClarkeMicah

"So many on Twitter dancing on the head of a pin when it comes to Sweden because they don’t like the data."

@afneil

"Sweden settled in for the long haul, and now doesn't need to worry about a second surge."

@DanielJHannan

"Lockdowns don't work."

"There hasn’t been a 'second spike' anywhere. Not in Germany, France, Italy, Spain, Holland, Norway, Denmark, Switzerland... not in any US states… nowhere. Utter balls."

@toadmeister

"I’ve asked so many people if they know anyone who has had Covid. Hardly anyone. Two people knew someone (not close) who’d died. Without daily news would we even know there was an epidemic?"

@AllisonPearson

"We want them infected."

"General infection rates and respiratory diseases always go up in September and October. I've had a cold every September since my daughter started nursery."

@JuliaHB1

"Sadly, we are still not following Sweden. Why, don't you think it would be a good idea?"

@JuliaHB1

"The entire WORLD is being badly hurt by the China Virus."

@realDonaldTrump

"Despite a supposedly deadly second wave..."

@ClarkeMicah

"Sweden settled in for the long haul, and now doesn’t need to worry about a second surge."

@DanielJHannan

"It's December. Respiratory disease hospitalisations rise every winter."

@JuliaHB1

"Vitally important that people understand that 'infections' (as BBC call them, actually positives, often without symptoms) are reflection of the number of tests done, not a measure of the level of illness."

@ClarkeMicah

Feb.
"The coronavirus isn't going to kill you."

May.
"There hasn't been a 'second spike' anywhere."

Jul.
"Let's relax and accept the risk."

Aug.
"At what point do we declare the pandemic over?"

Dec.
"Without daily news would we even know there was an epidemic?"

Meanwhile.

"I’ve asked so many people if they know anyone who has had Covid.

Hardly anyone.

Two people knew someone (not close) who’d died.

Without daily news would we even know there was an epidemic?"

@AllisonPearson

"Let's relax and accept the risk."

@ClarkeMicah

"Over 42 million [UK citizens] must have had it and are thus ‘effectively vaccinated’ and cannot transmit."

Sure.

@LanceForman

"They're still doing a lot better than us."

@JuliaHB1

"I'm happy with Sweden, thanks."

@JuliaHB1

"Endemic seasonal virus. Causing respiratory disease. In winter."

@JuliaHB1

"I wish we'd done what Sweden did."

@JuliaHB1

"A not-very-severe outbreak of disease which is largely over."

@ClarkeMicah

"What I can tell you is that we truly did everything we could."

@BorisJohnson

"Winter respiratory viruses have one, or two, winter peaks. The fact every country has falling cases is wonderful news and evidence of endemicity."

@ClareCraigPath

"Endemic seasonal virus. Causing respiratory disease. In winter."

@JuliaHB1

Well.

https://twitter.com/eberlmat/status/1371192209236754435

"Do lots of tests, you'll get lots of positives. But it will only mean that you have... done lots of tests."

@ClarkeMicah

"The rates of both deaths and hospital admissions will soon dwindle to nothing."

@AllisonPearson

"The fact every country has falling cases is wonderful news and evidence of endemicity."

@ClareCraigPath

"It is absolutely undeniable that Brexit has saved lives."

"The virus kills. It just isn’t causing excess deaths anymore."

@JuliaHB1

"Always happy to mention Sweden."

@JuliaHB1

"Winter resurgence has collapsed resoundingly in Europe."

@FatEmperor

"Respiratory disease cases go up in the autumn and winter in the northern hemisphere."

@JuliaHB1

"Deaths will go up in January because they go up in January EVERY year. It's called 'winter'."

@JuliaHB1

"Who's joining me on a delegation to Stockholm to ask the Swedes to take charge of our Covid policy?"

@JuliaHB1

"If people were dropping dead in the street we would notice."

@MorrisseyHelena

"The summer squashes the viral activity."

@FatEmperor

"Herd immunity is closer than we think."

@toadmeister

"Be not afraid. Take off your mask."

@LPerrins

"It's now a seasonal endemic virus."

@JuliaHB1

"There is and was no pandemic."

@LPerrins

"COVID will be another seasonal infection from now on."

@ClareCraigPath

"Nobody talks about Uruguay, even more impressive than Sweden."

@DaFeid

"Have confidence in your immune system, it's old enough."

@denisrancourt

"Embrace viruses and abandon fear."

@denisrancourt

"Thank you seasonality and natural community immunity for turning the winter resurgence curve down."

@FatEmperor

"COVID will be another seasonal infection from now on."

@ClareCraigPath

"Respiratory disease cases go up in the autumn and winter in the northern hemisphere."

@JuliaHB1

https://twitter.com/eberlmat/status/1384083980186578945

"A seasonal respiratory disease."

@toadmeister

"The UK never recorded even close to 2,000 deaths a day."

@JuliaHB1

"There is and was no pandemic."

@LPerrins

"The thing is endemic with loads of immunity (e.g. see massive extent in India)."

@FatEmperor

"India is bristling with antibodies."

@FatEmperor

"The other novel coronaviruses this millennium have not produced second waves and there's been no second wave of this novel coronavirus anywhere in the world."

@toadmeister

"Thank you seasonality and natural community immunity for turning the winter resurgence curve down."

@FatEmperor

"The other novel coronaviruses this millennium have not produced second waves and there's been no second wave of this novel coronavirus anywhere in the world."

@toadmeister

"Germany reached herd immunity weeks ago."

(from August 2020)

@Tony__Heller

"Respiratory disease cases go up in the autumn and winter in the northern hemisphere."

@JuliaHB1

"Thank you seasonality and natural community immunity for turning the winter resurgence curve down."

@FatEmperor

"It was not vaccination that brought down the number of Covid cases in the UK, it was herd immunity of disease."

@OsmarTerra

"Pandemics end with herd immunity without a vaccine, as is now the case in Sweden."

@OsmarTerra

"A seasonal endemic virus."

@dockaurG

"Respiratory disease cases go up in the autumn and winter in the northern hemisphere."

@JuliaHB1

"There should be no expectation of a large scale ‘second wave’ with smaller localised outbreaks when the virus contacts pockets of previously uninfected populations."

(from September 2020)

@LD_Sceptics @toadmeister

"What evidence *was* there, precisely, at the end of August that there would be a 'second wave'?"

@ClarkeMicah