THREAD: Want an example of spiking the pandemic football too early? Look at Mt. Vernon, Ohio a century ago.

Nov. 26, 1918: All health orders lifted, flu reports "exaggerated"

"It is believed that by the end of the week the disease will be practically stamped out in Mt. Vernon."
(The text from the 2nd screenshot above literally sounds word-for-word from what we hear from COVID-19 skeptics in 2020.)

Just weeks later on Dec 10, 1918: Turns out the virus was not "practically stamped out." An outbreak closed a local government office.
And finally, March 11, 1919: A citywide outbreak led the local officials to re-issue all the health orders and shut down the city again.
I found a few examples of newspapers observing that local Spanish Flu occurrence rose after families gathered for Thanksgiving (1918)

This clipping made me sigh very loudly.
If you missed my earlier thread outlining the interesting/tragic/frustrating similarities between 1918 and 2020, you can read it here.

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More from @Tylerjoelb

24 Nov
Today is a good day to remind you "Hillbilly Elegy" is a movie about Appalachia based on a book written by a venture capitalist who is not from Appalachia
Remembering the time in early 2020 that J.D. Vance made a big splash announcing a venture capital firm that would aid underserved areas such as ... Atlanta and the Research Triangle
Also remembering this tweet, which has not gotten any less weird since the first time I read it:

Read 4 tweets
23 Nov
After I pointed out all the times in 2020 that Ohio native Kyle Lamb (who was just hired as a Florida COVID-19 data analyst) laughed & mocked the notion of us hitting 10k cases in a day...

...Lamb blocked me and deleted all those tweets. But don't worry Kyle, I have screenshots. Image
Crap, better go scrub all those tweets where I spent months insulting Dr. Acton, the state health department and all the people who warned Ohio could spiral out of control without proper mitigation strategies....hopefully nobody sees these at my Florida COVID-19 office... ImageImage
Nailed, it Kyle! (part 1) ImageImageImageImage
Read 6 tweets
21 Nov
THREAD: History repeats itself.

Spent some time reading Ohio news clippings from 1918-19 about the Spanish Flu pandemic. The parallels between then & now are remarkable — the health orders, the public backlash, people wearing masks wrong...

Let's take a look:
It would take too much time to give a comprehensive overview of how Ohio responded to that pandemic, but there are many constructive moments.

October 1918: Spread recorded throughout the state. Women asked to make masks at home for hospitals. Headline: “VIGILANCE, NOT HYSTERIA”
What to do with the schools? In Cleveland: “school authorities believe that closer supervision of the children can be accomplished in the school room than if they were at home or wandering about the streets. Special steps are being taken to air the school rooms thoroughly…”
Read 13 tweets
19 Nov
Some important testimony in Ohio Statehouse this morning as health officials, including the new chief medical officer of @OHdeptofhealth, speaking out against SB311

Bill would prevent ODH from issuing widespread quarantine orders & allows lawmakers to rescind other orders.
311 has already passed Senate. It's moved quickly thru House committee this week ahead of today's floor session.

90 minutes of opposition testimony allotted this morning. Important bill to keep an eye on today.
Folks, I cannot tell you how different it feels to hear actual expert testimony on a COVID-19 related bill

Last night's SB311 testimony came from anti-vaxxer groups, with one fellow claiming contact tracing involved ppl with guns going door-to-door threatening Ohioans.
Read 4 tweets
17 Nov
SB311 testimony ongoing. While Ohio sets record after record of new cases/hospitalizations, bill sponsor Sen. Kristina Roegner says about 'flattening the curve' -- "you don't hear that term anymore"

Cases are absolutely spiking
More -- Sen. Roegner tries to make the case we're in good shape on hospitalizations; "we're not in any danger certainly as of yet"

Again, Ohio has a record number of people in the hospital for COVID-19 at this very moment and the # just keeps going up
More -- Sen. Roegner then points to a chart showing "hospitalization per reported case"

It is common knowledge re: COVID-19 that hospitalizations are a lagging indicator and, despite our recent hospitalization increase, that doesn't even include all the recent surge in cases
Read 7 tweets

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