1/

NEW REPORT

Following 14 months of research, deliberation, interviews and consultation, the Working Group on Unification Referendums on the Island of Ireland launches its interim report.

Report: bit.ly/3nWfRiC

Here is the report distilled into a summary thread 👇
2/

What’s the report about?🤔

It explores how any future referendum on Northern Ireland’s constitutional status would best be designed and conducted.

The Group is neutral on whether a unification referendum should be held & on what the outcome should be.
3/

What is the Working Group?

The Group comprises researchers at universities in Belfast, Dublin, London, & USA, chaired by Unit Deputy Director @alanjrenwick

It is independent of both governments and all political parties.

Alan explains more in this 📹
4/

The report examines the legal rules for referendums north and south of the border, and assesses different ways of designing them based on the following criteria:

▪️ procedural legitimacy
▪️ stability
▪️ simplicity
▪️ informed choice
▪️ inclusivity.
5/

Key 🔑conclusions from the report 👇

Unification could come about only through referendums in both Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland.
6/

Referendums on the future of the island of Ireland should only be held with a clear plan for what follows.

Such a plan would be agreed by the two governments, working closely with the full range of actors
7/

The framework for holding a referendum in N.Ireland is in the 1998 Belfast/Good Friday Agreement. It says that a majority of 50% + 1 would be required to change the status quo.

Planning of referendums & what comes after should be as consensual as possible.
8/

In deciding whether to call a referendum in N.Ireland, the Secretary of State for N.Ireland would have to reflect on a range of evidence, including election results, opinion polls & votes in the NI Assembly. The report makes suggestions on how to approach this judgment
9/

After analysing dozens of possible referendum configurations, the group has identified three warranting an in-depth an analysis, as summarised by Working Group member @haywardkaty in this video

vimeo.com/483515293
10/

It would be for the Irish government to develop proposals for the form of a united Ireland. Either it could propose a model in advance, or it could propose a process through which a model would be worked out afterwards.
11/

If voters opted for unification, the British & Irish governments would negotiate the terms of the transfer of sovereignty. The governments should consult widely and seek as consensual an approach as possible. @EtainTannam gives us the overview on British-Irish cooperation.
12/

The rules for referendum and election campaigns are badly out of date in the UK & Ireland, and urgently need to be strengthened.

This is just one of the many legal questions that will need to be considered before any referendum, as explored by WG member @dkennytcd
13/

Read the Working Group’s detailed analysis and conclusions in the full report or short Executive Summary here: bit.ly/374xRQZ
14/

Check out a NEW blogpost authored by the Chair of the Working Group and Deputy Director @alanjrenwick here:
bit.ly/3q5DneX
15/

The report kicks off a consultation period, running until 18 January. Find out more: bit.ly/3pRximd

ENDS

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More from @ConUnit_UCL

25 Nov
1/

📢NEW EVENT SERIES 📢

To launch the Working Group on Unification Referendums on the Island of Ireland’s interim report the Group is convening a series of webinars.

The webinars are an opportunity for discussion of the report’s purposes, analysis, and conclusions

Details👇
2/

The Unit is hosting one of the webinars

3 December @ 1pm

Chair of the group @alanjrenwick will be joined on the panel with Working Group member Alan Whysall, former senior civil servant Clare Salters & @martinkettle

Chair: Meg Russell

Book: bit.ly/2HDNyGa
3/

The Unit is co-hosting a webinar with partners @TriCONDublin @tcddublin and @ucddublin for audiences in the Republic of Ireland on 1 December.

Sign up here: bit.ly/3fAc0EE
Read 4 tweets
24 Nov
This looks bad. Government using its control of the Commons agenda to manipulate debate on whether MPs can participate virtually in proceedings during the pandemic.

Which is surely, if anything is, a matter that MPs themselves should be able properly and fairly to decide.
A reminder that the government has form on this.

This open letter to Jacob Rees-Mogg was sent in June by a group of democracy experts including @RuthFox01 @McEwen_Nicola @Smith1966G @estrangeirada @TimJHughes and @anthonyzach

constitution-unit.com/2020/06/08/end…
Oddly, this fails to mention Conservative @CommonsProcCom chair Karen Bradley, & the Conservative co-sponsor of @RhonddaBryant's amendment, & that they all supported that amendment in order to open up virtual participation to a larger number of excluded MPs but JRM blocked it.
Read 4 tweets
24 Nov
🚨EVENT: 'Reforming the House of Lords'🚨

Unit Director Meg Russell is joined on the panel by @Tanni_GT and @LordNortonLouth for what looks like will be a fascinating discussion on the House of Lords and reform @MileEndInst

Today at 12🕛

Sign up: us02web.zoom.us/webinar/regist…
Meg explains that debates on Lords reform have long been a feature of British politics. Going back as far as 1911 there have been incremental reforms to the chamber.

One of the more recent changes occurred in 2014 which allowed peers to retire. Image
Meg reminds us that debates concerning reform of the function and role of the second chamber is not unique to the UK.

Neither is the view that the second chamber is undemocratic, nor the failure to agree on reform.

So, what makes reform tricky?
Read 9 tweets
20 Nov
1/ Big publication coming next week👀

The Working Group on Unification Referendums on the Island of Ireland launches its interim report on 26 Nov.

This will contain a wealth of considered analysis.

But first, here’s what you need to know about the report and the Group 👇
2/
What’s the report about?

It explores how any future referendum on Northern Ireland’s constitutional status would best be designed and conducted. The Group is neutral on whether a unification referendum should be held & on what the outcome should be
vimeo.com/444466668
3/

What is the Working Group?

The Group comprises researchers at universities in Belfast, Dublin, London, & USA, chaired by Unit Deputy Director @alanjrenwick. It is independent of both governments and all political parties.
vimeo.com/439174225
Read 6 tweets
19 Nov
🚨 Government defeats in the House of Lords 🚨

Our website has been updated with two government defeats yesterday in the House of Lords on the UK Internal Market Bill.

To check out summaries of their effect and voting breakdowns see our website ⬇️⬇️ ucl.ac.uk/constitution-u…
These are in addition to the three record-breaking defeats on the Bill the government at second reading and committee stage ⬇️⬇️

Two more days of report stage for the UK Internal Market Bill are to come next week. The government was also defeated on two amendments to the Fire Safety Bill earlier this week, and are currently debating Commons amendments to the Private International Law Bill.
Read 4 tweets
18 Nov
🚨Starting now!🚨

Meg Russell joins the final #OxfordPutneyDebates🗣️

Meg will be discussing all things parliamentary sovereignty. Get involved: bit.ly/OxPD2020

The debates have been fascinating so far🧠
Meg Russell @UKandEU Senior Fellow opens by saying parliamentary sovereignty is confusing🤔 and Brexit made it even more so...

Meg explains that this stems from fundamental disagreements about what parliamentary sovereignty is. Image
Meg explains five different variants of parliamentary sovereignty. Meg states that what distinguishes them is ‘sovereignty over whom’.

Are we talking about sovereignty over the judiciary, the executive, devolved bodies, the people, or international affairs?
Read 6 tweets

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