Sorry got the name wrong, it's not cup and handle, it's a cup (sideways pattern) after a run-up of probably 50%+ before it's occurrence. This set up is called powerplay.
The power play setup.
some traits that are required for a valid power-play setup are-
1.Stock should be up more than 50% from the lows. 2. The rise period should be less than 4-6 weeks.
3.Pullback (sideways pattern or cup) should be less than 0.38 retracement level. the deeper
the pullback the worse it gets. 4. 7-10 days of sideways action is required for this pattern to be valid.
5.Buying level is above the midpoint of the cup.
7.The reason for saying that a pullback less than 38% is better because it shows that there is demand even at high levels.
8.If the stock pullbacks more than 0.38 retracement, then it has less chance of giving good returns. 9. Sl will be twice of 20 day ATR.
There is also another form of this pattern which is called squat entry which I will talk about on some other day.
Some examples of power play setup.
Shallow pullbacks are preferred in this setup because it shows that the stock has demand even on high prices, and because we are not waiting for the cup to complete, so using shallow pullback will increase the chance of success for the trade.
Failed trade also attached.
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How position sizing can affect your trading performance-
Assuming that you are trading a Trendfollowing system with Big RR and low winrate.
For example, assume that you risk one percent per trade on a 100,000 account
and you have 20 straight losses.
That one percent is of your remaining equity and at the end of 20 losses, you would be down to 81,790.60.
, Now if you got a 30R winner and you are risking one percent of your balance of 81,790.60, your
new equity would be 106,327.90 You’ve had 20 losses and one winner,
but you are still up 10R and your equity is up by 6.3R percent.But let’s say you risk five percent per trade on your balance. At the end of 20
straight losses, you would be down to 35,772.89 or down 64 percent.