COVID Update December 2: There’s only so long you can be indifferent to people dying before people figure out you’re an asshole. 1/
In a public health emergency, you don’t need a bad guy. After all the pathogen is the real problem. 2/
And there’s a legit discussion one could have about the wisdom of lockdowns, the cost on the economy, on isolation, and on the fatigue of the public. 3/
Social media is not the best place for that. (Hence, the word “discussion.”)
One would hope that discussion is informed by data. But passions understandably run high in conversations like this. 4/
So let’s look at some data about what happens when we just completely minimize the measures we take to prevent the pandemic growth.
The Scott Atlas approach to be clear has been the track we’ve been on. And let’s see how it’s gone. 5/
In May most states took down the public health measures.
30k people died in June— the first month after the major restrictions were limited.
65k in July
62k in August
38k in Sept
66k in Oct
95k in Nov 6/
Test positives are up—
5% in June
8% in July
6.5% in August
5.3% in Sept
6.5% in Oct
11.3% in Nov
7/
Now a lot of things happened in September.
-Colleges started up.
-It got colder.
-We got tired.
And Scott Atlas arrived & our communication to those who follow Trump was— it’s not real, it’s not serious, it’s ok to give up. It didn’t help.
8/
Scott Atlas’s brother-by-another-mother Anders Tegnell who masterminded the “just ignore it” strategy in Sweden is also out.
Again— only so long your strategy can kill people before you either get fired or compared to Nazi. Or both. 9/
If 200,000 people getting COVID each day was the Tegnell-Atlas fantasy, here are are.
But all we have to do is protect the “old people”— one of the most dangerous myths these guys started. All theory. With people’s lives. 10/
Turns out with that myth, deaths among “old people” skyrocketed in both countries.
Nursing home deaths have topped 100,000 in the US. Multi-generational households are losing older adults fast. 11/
More reasons—
Hospitals are jamming up. Nursing homes are having a harder time moving patients in.
Essential workers are unable to avoid the luxury.
The inhumanity to ppl with disabilities 12/
This herd immunity theory is the modern medical equivalent of blood letting, leeches, arsenic, DES, thalidomide of our time. 13/
Yes the pathogen is the enemy. Was the only enemy. But people with murderously selfish ideas— driven by an unwillingness to sacrifice & wrapped in phony intellectualism— entered the scene. 14/
This slow motion drip-drip-drip herd immunity has led us to a sharply different place than in the rest of the world. 15/
And lo & behold, it turns out you can’t keep an economy open with mass hospitalizations and deaths. So the herders shut the economy down too.
Morally economically mentally & physically bankrupt. And now finally-politically.
Hear just one small part of the day to day of an ER today. Today we crossed 100,000 COVID hospitalizations.
Here’s what the docs & nurses are experiencing. 17/
When you have some people saving lives and others with theories costing lives, it’s hard to feel like we don’t have people fighting the greater good. 18/
Well, as of today, both Atlas & Tegnell, are where they belong— out.
These people have their days I suppose. These theories have their moments before they are exposed.
That we let the influence of Trump’s indifference win out is a lasting mark on us. 19/
As much as we’ve been fighting the virus, we’ve been fighting the people fighting those trying to fight the virus.
Never thought it would be a relief to getting back to just fighting the virus. /end
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“Ron DeSantis is taking the politics of being a bully to a different level,” Sykes tells me. “He’s decided he's going to move as hard and demagogically to the right as he can. He’s learned something from Donald Trump: you don’t need to be a nice guy.” 2/
Sykes says DeSantis is exploiting the culture wars in order to tap into Republicans’ grievances, and that the GOP sees the Florida governor as a “younger, smarter” but equally combative replacement for Trump. But DeSantis stands out from other conservatives for a reason. 3/
Some thoughts on using Twitter:
With Musk inviting back people who use the platform to threaten rape, to lie at scale & become whatever else his whims decide, here are some actions worth considering …
-Mute all advertisers in your feed. I’m not going to be a revenue source & don’t want those who advertise here to be encouraged.
-If you have a lot of followers or post a lot, consider moving the bulk of your content elsewhere. Post looks promising. (I’m @ASlavitt there.)
-I’m also on Mastadon to check it out & until Post is done with its waitlist & will eventually pick one.
-I continue to occasionally check the news feed here & promote things on Twitter minimally & will cross-post for a short time as people decide what they want to do.
COVID Update: It’s time for one as we look ahead to the winter.
The real question is whether we will have another 2021 with a lot of disruption— on a more modest wave— or nothing at all.
There is early data to help answer this question. 1/
Currently there are lots of Omicron sub-variants co-circulating around the globe.
Household names like:
BA.4.6
BQ1.1
XBB
While it’s all a little hard to follow, there’s something interesting about the nature of these variants. 2/
Variants: 1- These are all variants of Omicron. This is good. Better than dealing with a Delta variant emerging. Makes progression more closely resemble the flu. 2- Each are growing in different parts of the world without 1 being dominant. We could have a mix this winter.3/
NEW: COVID vaccines will now be recommended annually, with the flu shot.
I spoke to the White House yesterday about the plan. 1/
Rather than an ad hoc schedule which confuses many as to when to get vaccinated, the thinking is that an annual shot will result in many more people getting vaccinated.
They point to 2/3 of adults who take the flu vaccine vs 1/3 of adults over 50 who have been taking COVID. 2/
We have infrastructure, outreach, and habits that can be capitalized to get people their flu and COVID vaccines together.
This is the prime benefit.
But of course it comes with some questions they are preparing to address. 3/