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Mangy Jay Profile picture
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5 Dec, 5 tweets, 2 min read
I've been happy since Biden nominated @neeratanden to be his OMB director & the more I review her work over the past year, the more excited I become. Tanden has been a strong proponent of responding to this crisis by truly expanding the safety net. This is great vision for OMB.
I know I have some kind of rep as a member of Neera Defense twitter & that's prob true! That said, I don't even mean the above statement to be a part of it. I'm just reading everything Tanden has written about an intersectional, climate-oriented New Deal package & I love it
The way Neera has approached this crisis is not just how we can put bandaids on the specific wounds of the pandemic, but to actually respond on a deep, structural level to the fragility this crisis has revealed in how our systems treat people. That's great.
If you want to be inspired too, I would recommend this piece Neera wrote. You might not agree with every proposal, but you will see someone who has bold vision for how we can make our country more equitable & who is decidedly anti-austerity.
To add to this, CAP, under Neera, has done really great work that is informed by knowledge of how our solutions to problems too frequently exclude people, especially women, minorities, and disabled people.

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More from @magi_jay

Mangy Jay Profile picture
6 Dec
I just want to point out that the exit poll data we have on race X education pertains to white people only @nytimes nytimes.com/2020/12/05/us/… Image
Also, again, the exit polls on which this analysis is based are problematic. When you look at the data that we have in aggregate (exits + county results, etc), there is evidence of Dems losing ground w/ some subsets of Latino voters. This evidence is patchier for Black voters.
I have issues w/ extrapolating too much at this point in time from exits, but I will cite them here to demonstrate how spurious the claim about Black voters is. Using CNN (%Dem vs. %GOP):
2016: 89%-8%
2020: 87%-12%

These diff's are *unlikely* to be statistically significant.
Read 4 tweets
Mangy Jay Profile picture
5 Dec
Pelosi passed the Heroes Act, which included expanded UI, stimulus $, credits for employee retainment, hazard pay for essential workers, & many other provisions. It was a 3T package & McConnell wouldn't bring it to the floor

It would be nice for him to be framed as an agent here
For me, this is less about defending Pelosi and more about how terrible the media has been at identifying *who* is holding up aid for the American people. We want Americans to be aware of what's on the table & who opposes it.

If they are unaware, that's an institutional failure
Why do we constantly see tweets/headlines about Pelosi turning down deals or taking bad deals and we *rarely* see headlines like, "McConnell opposes unemployment." "McConnell opposes stimulus checks." "McConnell opposes increased food benefits"

??
Read 5 tweets
Mangy Jay Profile picture
4 Dec
When Pelosi wouldn't accept a GOP deal, she was called a ghoul. Now, if she accepts a deal, she is also a ghoul. I see very few explicit arguments that acknowledge we have to negotiate w/ the GOP & what we should deem as non-negotiable vs. what is up for compromise.
Would you accept a temporary liability shield for employers in order to ensure people get UI or can pay their rent? I might. It's a difficult pill to swallow & I hate it. But, again, we are negotiating w/ the GOP. We can't pass anything w/out their help.
I'm tired of seeing just a self-righteous scream instead of an actual ethical argument here. We have to negotiate with the GOP. I don't want to. But we have to. There's no other way. So: make an argument about what we should sacrifice & what we should hold sacred.
Read 6 tweets
Mangy Jay Profile picture
4 Dec
Well, maybe you shouldn't have wrapped your untenable & wildly unpopular economic policies in a big racist science-denying bow for the past 50 years news-herald.com/opinion/conspi…
Maybe if y'all wanted a robust American economic conservatism to serve as a balance to economic progressivism, you could have sold this conservatism on its actual "merits" rather than using other methods (racism & other assorted bigotries) to get people to vote for it.
Cause it sure looks to me like "conservatives" have been using bigotry, innuendo, and lies as their main appeal to voters and you know what? Maybe that's created a nice hotbed of radicals whose motivations cannot be appealed to through reason and/or truth.

Just a thought.
Read 5 tweets
Mangy Jay Profile picture
4 Dec
These data are interesting & I recommend taking a look at them. Of course many are using them rather illogically to confirm their priors. In a highly polarized electorate, you would expect the upper left/lower right quadrants to be relatively less dense.
I see a lot of people using the observation that the lower right quadrant is *more* sparse than the upper left quadrant as evidence that Dems' electoral strategy is broadly "bad," w/out following through on some of the logic.
If you argue that Democrats should focus on the upper left quadrant, you need to establish at least two things:

1. Does the fact that these voters are more numerous entail the red-voting ones are more persuadable? (The answer is no)
Read 5 tweets
Mangy Jay Profile picture
3 Dec
This article raises a number of different ethical Q's that functionally overlap. 1st is the prioritization of placebo recipients for the real vaccine. 2nd is the quality of the data. If placebo recipients receive the vaccine too soon, will that compromise efficacy results?
One thing that is of potential concern is how well the researchers defined the length of the placebo trial--both for themselves in terms of data quality & for participants who chose to enroll in the trial. Were participants fully informed of how long the placebo trial would last?
Additionally, it should be noted that participants should be able to get the vaccine regardless of the length of the placebo phase. This could just generally involve them dropping out of the trial. If they want to be prioritized, however, that involves a more complicated process
Read 7 tweets

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