On the UN Climate Change Conference, which the UK is hosting next year, it has become increasingly unsustainable for Alok Sharma to be its PART-TIME president, ministers tell me, when US president-elect @JoeBiden has appointed John Kerry as America's FULL-TIME negotiator. As...
I understand it, @BorisJohnson would dearly love @David_Cameron to take over from Sharma. But Cameron can't, on principle, because he is hopping mad about Johnson cutting the commitment to spend 0.7% of national income on overseas aid. Another fine mess
PS a source close to the PM tells me that the PM does not in fact want David Cameron to be COP26 president. Which is not what well-placed sources told me. But I am very happy to record the disclaimer! For what it's worth, that is not quite the same as saying the PM is happy...
to continue with Sharma as part-time president
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There is a ton of contradictory stuff flying around about what @MichelBarnier says is the EU's bottom line for fair competition in any free trade agreement with the UK. As I understand it, what follows is the EU's position. For the "level playing field commitments" there...
should be "non regression" - ie on standards for working practices, environmental etc, the UK must stick to current EU rules, subject to tests and the risk of legal challenge if there is a perceived breach of the obligations. And the non-regression rules apply to the EU as...
well as to the UK. They are mutual symmetrical obligations in that sense. The requirements not to give unfair subsidies to businesses, the state aid rules, are different, and more complicated, because subsidies to businesses given out of EU funds (as opposed to national funds)...
When shaping policy to protect us from Covid-19, the government relies on data from @ONS to provide the scientific basis for its actions. The weekly @ONS coronavirus survey is supposed to be the information gold standard - and in particular it underpinned...
@BorisJohnson's controversial announcement at the end of October to put England back into national lockdown. No other course of action seemed sensible, given that the ONS survey on 30 October showed the incidence of coronavirus in the community in England had surged...
from 4.3 per 10,000 people on 2 October to 9.52 on 17 October, the latest date for data then available. This was a terrifyingly fast doubling rate. So the advice from @uksciencechief and @CMO_England to the PM was unambiguous: lockdown was the only reasonable course of action...
It is worth watching deputy CMO Jonathan Van-Tam explain why the COVID 19 vaccines have come to market in 9 months, compared with 10 years for a typical vaccine - because he is in essence indicting capitalism and the market economy. His entire argument is that...
commercial pharmaceutical companies always move in baby steps, to minimise the risk of financial loss. Whereas governments can move much faster to save lives because they have bottomless purses. In a way he has no other plausible argument, because the only other credible...
argument is that the vaccines are being rushed through at risk to our lives - and he plainly does not believe that. So the implications of the putative Covid19 vaccine breakthrough are massive - and in part because they must surely spark a debate about the...
I normally defer to @CER_Grant on all things EUish. But my London and Brussels sources give me a different version of the obstacles to that never-quite-reached free trade agreement. I am told there is a potential deal in view on fishing, but that on state aid,...
non-regression of environmental, social and other “level playing field” standards plus enforcement mechanisms, there are still differences of serious principle. The stress by @DavidGHFrost that British sovereignty must be respected is manifest in the UK’s proposal on these...
largely competition issues falling well short of what most EU governments can tolerate. Or at least so I am told. So @MichelBarnier has tonight arrived in London uncertain whether he is wasting his time. No deal is certainly not seen as an impossible and unlikely outcome...
In order for the global economy to avoid a slump as a result of premature fiscal consolidation by UK and other developed economies, it would be incredibly helpful if the G7 and other wealthy nations could collectively convert their incremental Covid debt into...
the equivalent of 100 year war bonds. If they all issued these bonds, then the normal beggar my neighbour that goes on between sovereign borrowers, and which could be devastating for individual nations and collectively sub-optimal for global recovery, could be avoided. It...
would also allow most rich nations to avoid growth impairing and public-service damaging austerity, on the important path back to fiscal sustainability - which would avoid strife and civil unrest in divided country like the UK, but would also be good for poorer nations, in...
Cutting the aid budget from the symbolically important 0.7% of national income to 0.5% seems weird for a PM who said Brexit was about creating Global Britain - and when the UK is about to chair the G7 and COP26. Not at all clear why @BorisJohnson wants this fight...
especially with his own party. This is what @David_Cameron said about the plan to @Telegraph on Saturday: “Abandoning the .7 target for aid would be a moral, strategic and political mistake. Moral, because we should be keeping our promises to the worlds poorest...
not breaking them. A strategic error, because we would be signalling retreat from one of the UK’s vital acts of global leadership. And a political mistake because the U.K. is about to chair the G7 and important climate change negotiations”. Since the 0.7% is law and...