Thread by @ariehkovler

I'm reading through the petition now. It's pretty funny so far.

https://twitter.com/ariehkovler/status/1336240275182772224

The Texas SCOTUS petition opens like the closing speech at a high school debating society. A bad one.

The Texas Complaint asks SCOTUS to delay the date the Electoral College meets. This is clearly not something that's going to happen.

Despite Breitbart's claim that this suit was purely about questions of law, the complaint does make a number of claims of fact relating to "suspicious" stuff. Much of this has been heard in other courts already and found false or innocent.

The only thing I can say to this 'statistical analysis' is "wibble". You're really going to present this to the Supreme Court, Texas? Really?

As @Professing_Prof suggests, this analysis is maybe treating each ballot as a coin-flip and doing some binomial distro stuff? It's SO wrong that it's actually interesting how to get that wrong.

What is Texas asking for? First off, a declaration that PA, GA, MI and WI appointed its electors "in violation of the 14th Amendment".

...and instead, get the State Legislatures to just appoint electors. Which, apparently, isn't a Fourteenth Amendment problem (unlike vote curing in Dane County, which apparently is.) Hmm.

Here's the problem: half the Texas brief argues the right to vote is so sacred that it's unfair if PA postal voters get better treatment. The other half argues that voting in Presidential elections is meaningless because the legislatures can just pick Electors.

"Different Michigan counties used different ballot procedures. This means Texan voters were treated unfairly. Treating voters unfairly violates the 14th Amendment. So please throw out all the votes in four states kthxbai"

Texas wants to keep the case alive past 14 December, the day the Electoral College votes, by asserting that SCOTUS can retroactively invalidate votes until Congress counts them on 6 January. So don't expect Trumpworld to acknowledge Biden's win next week.