1/My public comments to the @BVSDcolorado board meeting on 12/8. I am an engineering professor @CUBoulder and an expert in engineering controls for airborne infectious diseases. @DougChem@epibuff
2/I was instrumental in helping CU Boulder open its campus safety. we have had ~50 cases of COVID-19 positive students in the classrooms and not a single case of transmission.
3/This pandemic is uniquely defined by superspreading events. These account for a majority of the cases but are caused by <20% of the infectious. This is through long-range exposure and mitigated by reduced occupancy indoors and improved ventilation and air cleaning.
4/but then most infectious people do not transmit at all or transmit to one or two within their household - this is through short-range exposure and is mitigated by masks and distancing.
5/My comments are directed at schools using the case rate per 100,000 or the positivity rate to decide when to go to remote learning. context is important. Sadly, prisons, skilled nursing facilities and food processing plants have had strong surges of late in CO.
6/University campuses have had surges as well. But those are isolated outbreaks (if handled appropriately). So those raw numbers can be misleading. The metrics were a negotiating tool between districts and teacher unions. They hold no real “value” w/o that important context.
7/We must look at all the available data that we have accrued over the past 9 months. We have not seen evidence of clusters of infections from open schools. Most teachers’ infections can be traced to a spouse or community exposure.
8/The best metric for whether to have in-person learning is whether the school can implement appropriate safety measures. And these are mandatory mask wearing, reduced occupancy indoors, increased ventilation and supplement with filtration, use of carbon dioxide sensors to ensure
9/...adequate outside air ventilation and a good plan to contact trace. Applying more targeted quarantine guidelines is also important, to quarantine if in close contact for more than 15 min.
10/I want to end with an anecdote from my COVID musicians research project sponsor - He lives in Indiana. In his county this week's positivity rate is 19%. The Schools are open. The positivity rate since Aug in the schools in his county is 1.4%.
11/This is consistent with published studies and the data on the Brown University dashboard. The schools are a much safer place for the students and staff to be than out in the community for many reasons not to mention that their chance of getting COVID-19 is much lower.
12/When the district tried to close the schools in Indiana because of the high positivity rate, all the school administrators said “no” we are not closing. and they are keeping the schools open. school cases are almost always acquired within the community.
13/I wish we had this kind of commitment and leadership @BVSDcolorado. But we have not seen much leadership and a lack of ability to make policy decisions that elevate the wellbeing of our kids.
14/This remote learning is devastating to their mental health. And there is no reason to subject them to this any longer – districts across the country are operating safely. Europe bent their curve with open schools.
15/I strongly urge @BVSDcolorado to step, move schools to in-person learning w/ proven layered mitigation approaches, just like the surrounding school districts in the area, as called for by the CDC, Dr. Fauci, and @jaredpolis (NOTE private schools in @bouldercolorado are open)
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1/13 MOST HOMES ARE POORLY VENTILATED. WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR COVID-19? Most homes in the US are are poorly ventilated. There is no mechanical system supplying outside air indoors and exhausting indoor air outside. Read the entire post here: shellym80304.com/2020/11/02/mos…
The way homes are typically ventilated is by opening a window and/door, or by air leaking in (or infiltrating) through unintentional openings and cracks in the building shell. Homes recirculate indoor air through coarse filters when the heating or cooling system is operated.
Why is this important? Because the risk of infection with SARS-CoV-2 increases substantially when you are sharing the air in a poorly ventilated space with an infected person. The majority of transmissions happen within the household.
1/5 The bottom line is that on school openings many districts are still operating as if it were Mar not Oct. In Mar most of us did not know how the virus was transmitted (too bad WHO did not tell us in Feb). Now we know & we know what do to do minimize airborne transmission
2/5 The goal is not to suppress every single case, but construct our indoor environments to minimize the potential for large spreading events. Schools can be safe low-risk spaces if they are following our (@linseymarr@j_g_allen@jljcolorado@CorsIAQ) recommended protocols.
3/5 That doesn’t mean that cases are not going to occur and be brought to school. What we don't want is spreading wishing school. We’re trying to support the idea that we need to live with this virus. There is not enough political leadership or will to do otherwise in the US.
1/4 Just so you know: my entire motivation for talking about how COVID is transmitted is to keep people safe. If it was clearly transmitted via fomites, then I would be talking about washing your groceries. And that is what I would be doing (I am not)
2/4 If it was only transmitted by large spray droplets then I would focus on supporting efforts to get acrylic partitions and shields on everyone. (and I would have a shield but I don't, I do wear glasses/googles with my mask)
3/4 I am not happy that this thing is airborne, that you can inhale randomly floating viruses when you spend time indoors from some asymptomatic person w/o following suggested guidelines for reducing risk. I follow the science. (I don't share the air with others)
Dear colleagues,
I am hiring a postdoctoral researcher for a new 3-y NSF project. The short version of the position is below and the longer version is described at this google form. Applications are accepted via this form also. forms.gle/71B8hFHoiVw2DD…
"Postdoctoral Researcher position available in the Miller Research Group to lead a 3-y NSF funded project at the University of Colorado Boulder and work with a cross-disciplinary team of engineers, computer scientists, sociologists, community members and community organizations."
Project Title: Empowering Environmental Justice Communities with Smart and Connected Technology: Air and Noise Pollution, Social Relations and Wellbeing in Times of Disruption
Project PI: Shelly L. Miller, Professor Mechanical Engineering
1/4 Riley et al in 70s assessed measles outbreak in a NYC school, from a 2nd-grader and spread to 60 pupils. Data on ventilation rates, time spent in classrooms, and air samples were collected. They modeled using Wells-Riley equation the probability a student would get infected.
3/4 Note at the ASHRAE recommended 6.7 L/s/p for a middle school classroom (at full occupancy of 35 students), translates into 3.5 ACH. Shows increasing to 6 ACH can decrease risk to below 5% but cutting occupancy and wearing masks is really key to reducing risk.
1/4 UV air disinfection is a good technology & useful for creating safer indoor environments during this pandemic. I fully support its use. (e.g.I recommended that a local correctional facility, a good application, look into its use as a means to control spread of COVID.)
2/4 I have given webinars and speak often about how upper room UV and in-duct UV are great technologies for many applications where there is crowding, unsuspected infection present etc. shellym80304.files.wordpress.com/2020/05/isiaq-…
3/4 UV systems need to be designed by professionals and maintained just like HVAC systems. I don’t usually recommend air cleaners w/UV as the UV disinfects the filter media, which you really don’t need to do–and it can add cost, but it is not harmful and its fine for air quality.