Think people are underrating the possibility that the SCOTUS takes up this case, and holds that the original intent is that state legislatures DO have plenary authority over allocation of electors. That doesn’t overturn this election but sets the stage for a future GOP takeover.
It would be hard or impossible for a state legislature to reassign electors this year without it being perceived as an outright coup. But if the Supreme Court changes the law, the DC political and media class will spend a few years treating this as just a new election twist.
That means, by the time 2024 rolls around, the previously unthinkable idea that a state would simply reassign its electors would be normalized, just like so many of Trump’s abuses were. Horse race coverage would simply reorient to PA legislative stuff - new rules, same game.
What people are missing is that the fact that Trump lacks the state legislative votes to overturn the PA and WI elections makes it MUCH easier for the Supreme Court to say those legislatures have the power to overturn those elections.
“We’re just clarifying a legalistic matter of constitutional intent, with no effect on the 2020 election result - who knows what the future may hold” would be the tone they adopted while eliminating popular democracy in the US

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More from @whstancil

9 Dec
"When Republicans are in charge, it's important to understand why they're governing like extreme partisans. When Democrats are in charge, it's important for them to govern with conservatives in mind."
"It was very bad when that guy robbed you at gunpoint and gave me half your money, but I just think the solution here is understanding why he did it. If you take the money back you're just like him"
Never Trumpers like Douthat are conservatives. That doesn't inherently discredit their views on the Trump GOP, but it creates a quandary: Trump's GOP accomplished a lot of conservative goals, just in corrupt, undemocratic, indefensible ways. Do they want to give that back?
Read 6 tweets
9 Dec
??????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????
One of the worst tweets I've read all year. "You reinstitute rule-oriented behavior by following rules even when others don't" is total illogical nonsense even if we didn't have plenty of historical proof that it's nonsense.
But don't sleep on the absurd posturing masculinity of lecturing people to be "stoic and adult," as if the goal here is to be the sternest stern daddy in the room, rather than, you know, actually fixing anything.
Read 4 tweets
8 Dec
Really think the underlying problem of US politics is accountability for the GOP. The party never has to face any consequences for anything it says or does, from the smallest hypocrisies to sweeping attacks on the state abetted by foreign enemies.
Even with Trump (hopefully) leaving office, the problem of GOP unaccountability is getting worse. Their legislative majorities are protected by anti-majoritarian systems. Without the White House, their bad-faith scheming happens mostly out of the public eye.
Even when the GOP’s gleeful and reckless nihilism leads them to commit actual crimes, they usually don’t get prosecuted by timid Democrats. And just in case, their president is gearing up to offer sweeping pardons, just placing a big chunk of malefactors beyond the law.
Read 6 tweets
4 Dec
A basic failure of Democratic leadership is that they don't even know where to begin looking for their failures. They treat the correct POLITICS as obvious and perceive shortcomings as coming from the technical, operational, organizing side of campaigns.
But there's limited evidence that campaigns matter at all, whether run well or poorly. Lots of fabulously-run campaigns flop, lots of awful campaigns succeed.

The Democratic flop is deeper. It's IDEOLOGICAL and RHETORICAL in nature.
Democrats have spent so long as the party of triangulation, consultants, and focus groups that they've completely lost the ability to be effective at basic politics and political rhetoric. They don't know how to take good fights or tell compelling stories or make good enemies.
Read 10 tweets
2 Dec
The other thing about “defund the police” is that even if you assume that it’s uniquely a killer for Democrats (something, to be clear, there’s literally zero actual evidence of), REPUBLICANS WOULD ACCUSE DEMOCRATS OF SUPPORTING IT REGARDLESS OF WHAT DEMS ACTUALLY SAY
I mean, is Obama just dense? “Oh if you describe this in nice, neutral terms you’ll get everyone to come along with you.”

Your landmark health care laws was demonizing as containing actual execution panels. There’s a lesson there, my man
Yeah, the key for winning swing voters is raising the portion of Democrats who refuse to say “defund the police” from 99% all the way to 100%, this makes sense
Read 7 tweets
2 Dec
the funny thing about centrist idiots claiming "defund the police" is a magic code phrase that uniquely loses elections is that essentially no democrats of any stature used or cared about that specific phrase until those exact same centrist idiots began losing their mind over it Image
anyway note the trick: they can't claim that police reform itself is difficult, because then they'd be in the awkward spot of telling civil rights advocates go away and shut up, so instead they're arguing that the exact, specific phrase "defund the police" has evil magic powers
"oh no, someone in our 85 million voter coalition used a phrase that polls badly, that's why we underperformed in the election! I am a very serious thinker about politics."
Read 4 tweets

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