Just uploaded a new version of our paper with @GerhardToews, #Enemies of the people. Time for another thread. Link to pdf here: drive.google.com/uc?export=down… Old thread from two years ago linked👇
Enemies of the people were the educated elite, targeted by the Soviet authorities for they posed a threat to the propaganda-dependent regime. Along with millions of other non-political criminals, they were sent to forced labor camps scattered across the Soviet Union, the Gulag. Image
Here's a painting depicting the ships that took prisoners to camps near Magadan, in the Far East. It's in a museum in Magadan, and from an amazing NYT article: nytimes.com/2020/11/22/wor… Image
Since enemies were the educated elite, and accounted for about 30% of the prisoners, the Gulag had a more educated population than the rest of the USSR. And camps with more enemies were the most educated. ImageImage
And these education levels persisted across generations. The grandchildren of enemies are more likely than others to have a tertiary educated today, and so were their parents. Image
And this education persistence translates into better local development outcomes in the long run. Firms near camps which had a higher share of enemies pay higher wages today, and make more profits per employee. Image
This is also reflected in brighter night lights per capita, a proxy for local development captured by satellite pictures. ImageImage
Our paper can be seen as a natural experiment that identifies the long-run persistence of higher education and its effect on long-run prosperity. Sadly, it also highlights how atrocious acts by mad individuals
can shape the development path of localities over many generations. Image
Need to add that this new version was made possible by the awesome work or @GerhardToews and our RAs Liliia Shevchenko and Eugen Ciumac finding and digitizing microfilms from the State Archive of the Russian Federation (GARF). Image
Paper is here: drive.google.com/uc?export=down… And the abstract just in case 👇 Image
And another link to the paper: drive.google.com/file/d/1QhP0-U…

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More from @pl_vezina

14 Nov 19
Just read the first chapters of Banerjee/Duflo and get the same impression! The part on migration is full of positive vibes. On trade the tone is so downbeat. On migration they cover papers with cool data and superb natural experiments. On trade... 1/9
On trade they focus on a theoretical model of the small gains from trade for the US. To think of it this might be because the leading migration literature is much “cooler” than the leading trade literature. 2/9
But there are plenty of cool stuff on trade and development they don’t mention, like the Suez canal closure as a natural experiment, the rise of East Asia via global value chains, the success of some export-oriented industrial strategies. 3/9
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