.@justLBell and I wrote a little thing on the five market lessons we've learned in 2020.

It actually got me thinking about one big lesson I've learned in life and in markets this year...losing control.

ally.com/do-it-right/tr…
(am writing more but my maintenance guy swung by)
OK...losing control.

I'm a super type A person, to the point where I've had pretty debilitating anxiety for a while.

It's been a rough year for all of us, but it's been a special kind of awful for those who struggle with anxiety and other mental health issues.
One big thing I've worked on in therapy is letting things happen and reacting, instead of trying to control everything around me.

2020 really put that to the test. Every day looked different in the headlines and in my home. And *definitely* in the markets.
By some measures, it's been the most turbulent year in the stock market in recent history.

Totally UNPRECEDENTED (if I had a nickel for every time I wrote that word).
I also pull a lot of historical data on the markets, so of course, when stocks started dropping, I thought I could logic my way into thinking what happens next.

Bad, bad decision. Logic doesn't apply in extraordinary times.
Of course, that goes back to my "trying to control everything" weakness (that I'm working on).
Sometimes, you just have to go with the flow, even if the flow wants to make you vomit.

What does that look like in investing?
Remembering why you're invested, and when you need that money you've invested.

Preparing yourself for an emergency (keeping cash so you don't have to sell when an unexpected expense pops up, and to keep you sane).

Ignoring daily moves.

Not relying too much on history.
A lot of that translates to life, too.

Roll with the punches.

Don't try to guess what happens next. It's wasted energy.

Lean on what you've (hopefully) done to prepare for the unexpected.

React when you need to. Save your energy for that.
Anyways, I hope everyone reading this is safe and healthy. Sending all the good vibes out there.

2020 has been one hell of a year.

Here's to 2021.

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More from @callieabost

29 Dec
It’s been a crazy, wild, wacky, tragic, ~unprecedented~ year.

And @justLBell and I have written some 🔥 notes as we’ve tried to make sense of it all.

A 🧵 with some of my favorites ⬇️
Some background: we're a team of two writing research for a scrappy lil brokerage.

When I started in February, our plan was to eventually put out weekly notes as we built out our content.

A few days later, the market peaked. And we wrote our first of many weekly notes.
(you know that saying, the best laid plans often go awry?)

Anyways...
Read 11 tweets
18 Sep
The IPO market is on 🔥 and everybody wants a piece of it.

Just look at Snowflake’s debut this week: it was the best for a >$1 billion IPO since 2013.

Are these IPOs worth the hype, though?

@justLBell and I take a look (and serve up some tasty data)

ally.com/do-it-right/tr…
2020 is on pace to be the strongest year for IPO activity since at least 1990 (the beginning of our data). Image
It's also been an especially good year for the IPO class of 2020.

In 2020, about 73% of all IPOs have climbed on their first day of trading, including *every* IPO larger than $1 billion. Image
Read 6 tweets
16 Sep
You may be seeing a bunch of economic charts these days that look like a broken V (right side of the V is cut in half).

Retail sales isn't one of those. Consumer spending, while slowing (and in a tenuous spot), has fully rebounded back to pre-pandemic levels. Image
(screenshot from my BBG because I just cannot even today)
Here's a look at retail sales going back to 1990 (red bands are recessions).

You'll see that the "V-shaped rebound" in consumer spending didn't happen during the Financial Crisis, but it did in the early 2000s recession. Image
Read 4 tweets
15 Sep
I'm looking at 52-week highs data today.
Only 186 of the S&P 500's 505 members (37%) has reached a 52-week high from 3/23 until yesterday.
Read 8 tweets
8 Sep
OK, I’m three cups of ☕️ in today.

Here’s where we stand on the selloff.
The S&P 500 is down 2.2% today.

Total selloff since Wednesday = 6.4%
This has been quite the selloff, but remember — we scaled the mountain to record highs pretty quickly.

The S&P 500 is STILL:

👉 1.4% above its 50-day moving average
👉 6.6% above its 100-day moving average
👉 8.3% above its 200-day moving average
Read 7 tweets
8 Sep
Hey Twitter! Got a little pupdate for you.

Meet Ozzy, the newest member of the Cox quarantine crew 🐕

He’s a 10.5 week old fawn pug and the goodest boy! Image
We named him after my favorite technical indicator, the oscillator!
JK, I would never do that. Sorry techies.

For real, we named him Ozzy because “little bear” in Spanish is osito and he’s our little 🐻.

We’re excited and smitten and exhausted all at the same time!
Read 6 tweets

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