If Trump does forge a role as some kind of "shadow president" after leaving office, it will be a natural extension of his basic worldview: he has never subscribed to cliched, bipartisan "American Exceptionalism" dogma. Which drives a lot of people crazy
unherd.com/2020/12/enter-…
"Obama is the real shadow president!" some commenters proclaim. The way I define "shadow president" here is a former president who overtly makes a competing claim to the presidency. Which Trump is likely to do. Obama wields power, but Trump's situation would be unique in history
Trump's lack of fidelity to dogmatic "American Exceptionalism" is in some ways the prime mover of his presidency. Explains his popularity, because this dogma has long been used as a justification for unpopular policies. Also explains the rage he provokes from "institutionalists"
Not believing there's anything particularly "exceptional" about US Democracy is foundational to why Trump has spent six weeks declaring the 2020 election intrinsically fraudulent and corrupt. And this same disbelief will further guide whatever "shadow president" posture he takes
This interpretation of Trump doesn’t fit neatly into any partisan narrative which is why you never really hear it expressed. But it has huge long-term significance and will clearly persist - - maybe even intensify, depending on what exactly he does after leaving the presidency
The closest historical parallel to Trump in his post-presidency might be Theodore Roosevelt, but as far as I know Roosevelt didn't claim he was fraudulently deprived of his rightful victory in the 1912 election
Andrew Jackson wasn't a former president from 1825 to 1828 though. So T. Roosevelt seems more apt. Although there's no exact parallel, really. That's the point.

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More from @mtracey

6 Dec
The “spread” in today’s print edition of the NY Daily News is a highly thoughtful consideration by me of Trump’s key election fraud claim nydailynews.com/opinion/ny-ope…
I would hope that my track record over the past four years establishes that I'm not interested in performatively "debunking" Trump for its own sake. That's not the point. I had the same posture post-2016 when legions of Dems also lost their minds. See: nydailynews.com/opinion/anti-t…
Additional facts:

- Biden "netted" a grand total of 858 more votes than Clinton out Detroit

- 3,001 more votes out of Milwaukee

- And 4,227 *fewer* votes out of Philadelphia

And yet fraud theorists obsess with these cities as if they were integral to Biden's win. They weren't
Read 4 tweets
6 Dec
It's totally false by every conceivable metric that Biden only over-performed Hillary in swing states -- which is supposed to be a very suspicious "statistic." Trump just repeated this phony claim once again, because his "coup" plan is going nowhere
A giveaway about the futility of these "fraud" claims is that a central theme of them is so trivially easy to disprove, as long as your brain isn't melted by rage-infused confirmation bias
Everyone who wants to live in a perpetual election fraud dreamworld is welcome to do so, but ultimately you're only damaging yourself
Read 4 tweets
2 Dec
Trump's raw vote total increased in the city of Milwaukee by a greater percentage (6.6%) from 2016 than Biden's increased compared to Hillary (3.2%)

If whatever partisan outlet you're getting election info from omits these easily-findable facts, they are purposely misleading you
City of Milwaukee 2016:

Clinton: 188,657
Trump: 45,411

2020:

Biden: 194,661
Trump: 48,414

Biden netted only 3,001 more votes than Hillary out of Milwaukee. Which really is mediocre/bad given Dems' relentless post-2016 emphasis on Milwaukee. Statewide margin in WI is 20,682
Obama got 227,384 votes in Milwaukee in 2012 while Biden got 194,661 in 2020 so no, once again, Biden did not outperform Obama in Milwaukee
Read 4 tweets
29 Nov
Detroit election results, 2016:

Clinton: 94.95%
Trump: 3.11%

2020:

Biden: 93.93%
Trump: 5.02%

I've yet to hear an explanation for how the fraud algorithm caused Trump to over-perform in Detroit
Obama received 96.93% of the vote in Detroit in 2008, with a total of 324,895 votes. Biden received 240,936 total votes in Detroit, a 34.8% decrease -- some but not all of which you can attribute to population decline. Biden did not out-perform Obama in Detroit by any metric
The total number of votes cast in Detroit increased by 3.9% compared to 2016, which amounted to 9,626 additional votes. This was far less than the statewide increase in votes cast (15.4%). The margin separating Biden and Trump in Michigan is 154,188 votes
Read 4 tweets
26 Nov
You have to be seriously delusional (or slept through the past four years) if you're remotely surprised that there's this campaign to declare the election fraudulent. Because it may be the most predictable thing ever. Other than that, Happy Thanksgiving
mtracey.medium.com/the-most-predi…
The 2016 post-election insanity was a direct precursor to the current situation. BTW, to say that certain events create conditions that give rise to future events isn't to say that those events are "the same" -- but I understand how difficult of a concept this can be for many
The bipartisan trend toward delegitimization of US election outcomes has taken different forms. Dems maneuvering/machinating with surrogates, weaponizing intel agencies -- GOP/Trump just outright screaming wholesale fraud. But it's the clear trend, and it's rapidly accelerating
Read 7 tweets
25 Nov
I knew it would be widely denied that prominent liberals floated an Electoral College coup in 2016, which is why I contemporaneously saved a bunch of examples
Plenty more where that came from
Could do this all day, folks
Read 10 tweets

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