1/10 What should happen next with the tiered restrictions and the proposed Christmas relaxation? Our new media statement just issued. Full statement is attached and new twitter thread of the key messages is set out below.
2/10 Having spoken to a number of our NHS trust members over the last 48 hours, three things are crystal clear. First, there is a ring of areas around London – for example, in the Home Counties – where trusts are alarmed at the rise in infection rates and hospital admissions....
3/10 ...The Government has rightly put London and parts of Essex and Hertfordshire into tier 3 earlier this week. It must now urgently consider adding other areas to that tier where infection rates are similarly worrying. Speed is of the essence here.
4/10 Second, there is real concern in many northern trusts about leaving Tier 3 prematurely. It is good news that infection rates are dropping, in some cases significantly. But we can’t afford to let up. As soon as infection rates rise, excess death rates rise too....
5/10 ...Controlling infection rates is about limiting patient harm. At the same time, most hospitals in the North of the country still have very high levels of covid-19 patients, just as we go into winter, the NHS’s busiest period....
6/10 ...Given this level of covid demand and the number of beds lost to ensure appropriate infection control, even a small increase in the number of covid patients will put those hospitals under significant pressure. Extreme caution needed before moving areas down tier 2.
7/10 Third, the Government has clearly said it's not going to change its position on Christmas regulations. On that basis, trusts want Govt to think very carefully about what further advice/restrictions may be needed to minimise the risks between December 23 and 27...
8/10 ...We welcome the fact that the more informed debate we called for on Sunday has now materialised. The obvious next step for the Government is to set out more detailed advice on who is most at risk, given the looser regulations, and what we can all do to minimise that risk.
9/10 It’s also important to understand that these decisions are completely linked. If the Government is going to stick with its current approach to the Christmas regulations, it must also ensure that its decisions on which area is in which tier are as robust as possible....
10/10 ...That means no delay in adding any area to tier 3 that needs to be in that tier, and no premature removal of any area from it, either.
1/17 Very technical thread for those interested in detail of NHS finances. We've been discussing how to move to more system focussed finances in 2021/22 with members and @NHSEngland. We've turned that work into the following asks: nhsproviders.org/media/690684/f…. Asks in thread below.
2/17 If funding flows change before ICSs are put on a statutory footing, @NHSEngland must clearly set out the legal underpinning for how funds will flow to and within ICSs. Including how this will align with the formal responsibilities of accounting officers & trust boards.
3/17 @NHSEngland must publish its full methodology for determining the size of each ICS funding envelope. This should account for how each constituent element is calculated, including the logic behind any provider level allocations so this is fully visible to all within the ICS.
2/18 Three requests to the Prime Minister in our letter. 1. Extreme caution in moving any area to a lower tier. 2. Move areas to Tier 3 as soon as needed, without any delay. 3. Personally lead a better public debate about the risks inherent in the guidance for 23-27 December.
3/18 Letter based on current evidence and conversations with members over last few days. Whilst there are good signs of progress on infection rates in some parts of country, overall, current trajectory is at bottom end of hopes and expectations trust leaders had a month ago.
1/9 Just to give a sense of how the 50 hospital hubs are actually managing their covid-19 vaccination campaigns, here's an anonymised plan from one trust we have been talking to today. Gives good picture of complexities, inter-dependencies and huge effort at pace involved.
2/9 Their local CCG and GPs are providing the hospital with a list of over 80s who are able to attend the hospital site. The hospital's appointment bookers will then ring those people to book them into a timed 15 minute slot. Number of people per slot will obviously vary by trust
3/9 Vaccination will take place in a separate dedicated clinic building. This is deliberately sited next to a car park to allow easy access by car for over 80s. This is obviously, and importantly, separate from main clinical space where there may be covid-19 patients.
1/5 Today's COVID-19 vaccine logistics question is how and when will it be possible to break down the "large pizza boxes" of 975 Pfizer vaccines into smaller batches to use in care homes? Our latest understanding set out in short thread below.
2/5 This is a complex, highly specialised, task that can only be done in large sized -75C fridges. These are not usually found on hospital sites. So it needs to be done by appropriately expert wholesalers. In an analogy from the increasingly legendary Jonathan Van Tam....
3/5 It's not like taking a six pack of yoghurt out of your home fridge, breaking it up on the kitchen worktop, putting one in your bag, taking it to work and then storing it in the work fridge. Obviously vital to protect integrity of vaccine in this batch creation process.
1/4 Just to clarify this: telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/12/0…. I said in my twitter thread: "We therefore have to work on the precautionary basis that this initial batch of 800,000 could be the only batch we receive for some time." ....
2/4 ...The key words are "precautionary basis" and "could". The principle is that we should act on the basis that this could be the only batch we receive for some time. We are all hoping and are very confident that there will be a lot more doses than 800k.
3/4 Every day that goes past, we become more confident we will get a lot more and get them soon. But acting on a precautionary basis means that we should use the initial batch as much as possible for care home staff / residents and over 80s - the JCVI priorities.
1/18 From early next week, probably Tuesday, 50 of our NHS hospital trust members will start to administer Pfizer vaccine. Who will they vaccinate, where, and what are issues involved? Explainer thread follows. Spoiler alert – large, complex, important logistical challenge!
2/18 Despite challenge, key to remember we’re lucky to be one of the first countries in the world to be able to start mass COVID-19 vaccination at this point. However challenging the actual delivery of the vaccination will be, this is a fantastic development we need to welcome!
3/18 At a top level, the challenge is to match yesterday’s JCVI prioritisation of who should receive vaccine first with yesterday’s @MHRAgovuk conditions of authorisation. This authorisation sets out complex requirements on how the vaccine can be transported, stored and used.