Another poll has support for independence at over 50% & the SNP on course for an overall majority.
I have thought about how deal or no-deal affects this & I think that the SNP are in a win-win situation. A no-deal makes the tearing apart of the Union 1/
scotsman.com/news/politics/…
even more harmful and we have seen some of the Indy supporters spout the same nonsense about a British border being seamless as the DUP & ERG said about the Irish Border. However, the anger at Scotland being forced out of the EU without a deal "against its will", may be 2/
enough to carry a "Yes" to independence through to victory. Thus a win for the SNP.
In a deal situation the economic effect of a British Border is much less and even with less anger against Westminster, it becomes easier for the SNP to argue for independence.
Again a win. 3/
I have always preferred a confederal approach to the UK and also as a way to bring Ireland closer to the point it becomes an alternative to the sterile Union/United Ireland tribalism.
However, I am beginning to wonder now for that to happen, does the UK need to break up first?end

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