🚨 As we deliver the vaccine to the most at risk groups, the public needs to see how this will translate into a return to normal life, with restrictions being lifted at every stage & a clear roadmap to all our freedoms being restored as soon as this work is done
💡And a new Public Health Act with these broad features:
1) The powers in relation to people reasonably believed to be infected or premises reasonably believed to be contaminated should be unchanged from the existing PHA.
2) The powers in relation to other people and premises and in relation to “gatherings” can be taken from the specific powers in the Civil Contingencies Act, including powers to control people, premises, businesses and travel, but subject to 3) below.
3) The powers at 2) above should be exercisable only if (a) an impact assessment has been prepared and published covering at least the social, economic, educational and health-related impact of the measures proposed; ...
...(b) the measures proposed are believed on reasonable grounds to be necessary and proportionate having regard to the impact (i) on those matters and (ii) on personal liberty; ...
... and (c) the proposed regulation has been laid before Parliament and approved under the positive resolution procedure before coming into effect.
4) If the case for exercising the powers at 2) is too urgent to wait for an impact assessment or Parl'y approval, the Secretary of State may make regulations having immediate effect but with a limited provisional validity (say 7 days) subject to Parl'y approval within that period
5) Any regulation in the exercise of the powers at 2) are to expire after a period specified in the regulation not exceeding 30 days. Thereafter they may be renewed by a further regulation complying with 3) and 4) above. ...
... In that event, the impact assessment must report on the impact of the measures taken to date.
6) Parliament may amend a draft or actual regulation before approving it, and may revoke it at any time.
(I am most grateful to the senior lawyer who provided the advice above 🙏)
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At one-minute past midnight on Saturday, Wycombe, and the whole of Buckinghamshire, will enter Tier 3. As disappointed & frustrated with the decision as I am, I encourage all to comply.
I know how devasting the impact of these additional restrictions will be for local business.
I understand that Buckinghamshire Council is currently exploring what additional support they can provide to local businesses based upon the Government’s financial Tier 3 support.
UKIM: Government statement on notwithstanding clauses - Published 17 September 2020
"HMG will ask Parliament to support the use of the provisions in Clauses 42, 43 and 45 of the UKIM Bill, and any similar subsequent provisions, only in the case of, ..."
"... in our view, the EU being engaged in a material breach of its duties of good faith or other obligations, and thereby undermining the fundamental purpose of the Northern Ireland Protocol. Examples of such behaviour would include:"
"a. insistence that GB-NI tariffs and related provision such as import VAT should be charged in ways that are not related to the real risk of goods entering the EU single market;"
Yesterday, I asked Sir Charles Bean from @OBR_UK if he agrees analysts have not adequately taken into account the behavioural impact of coronavirus on the economy and on healthcare.
Sir Charles said the impact of the pandemic onto the economy comes through two routes…
@OBR_UK I then asked Richard Hughes, the Chair at @OBR_UK, to join me in calling on economists producing analysis of the costs to be careful not to fall into the error of miscategorising the source of harms.
Watch his response here:
@OBR_UK In my third question, I asked Andy King if he thinks it’s realistic @OBR_UK’s forecast doesn’t contain public spending on Covid from March 2022.
“That will emerge over the course of the next year as we learn more about how effectively the vaccines can be rolled out”.
1. A lack of public review: models often contain internally inconsistent and non-replicable numbers.
2. Poor characterisation of statistical uncertainty: uncertainty bounds are either not reported at all or have extremely wide ranges.
3. Non-existent or circular model validation: some scientists have argued that few healthcare models can ever be validated against reality, yet they should still be used to make decisions. Research papers can pre-suppose their own conclusions.