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Brendan Nyhan (@BrendanNyhan on 🟦☁️) Profile picture
@BrendanNyhan
Dec 20, 2020 • 5 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
Seems pretty important to understand this before you tweet about why the CDC is wrong to 3.6M followers. Image
The issue of how to prioritize vaccines is genuinely complicated and one where science doesn't provide definitive answers - lots of ethical and logistical concerns as well.
the problems with the above are captured perfectly here
see also Image
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More from @BrendanNyhan

Brendan Nyhan (@BrendanNyhan on 🟦☁️) Profile picture
Jul 27, 2023
New @nature: Like-minded sources on Facebook are prevalent but not polarizing
(open access!)

Our key findings:
-Median FB user gets 50.4% of content from like-minded sources
-But reducing exposure by ~1/3 for 3 months had no measurable effect on attitudes https://t.co/IpaHQ0bnGznature.com/articles/s4158…



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Increased polarization and hostility are often blamed on echo chambers on social media.

We therefore look at the sources people are exposed to on Facebook to see (a) how slanted they are toward people's political leanings & (b) what effect changing those sources would have.
We estimate user political leanings with a validated classifier and categorize other users, Pages, & groups as "like-minded" (sharing user's leanings), "cross-cutting" (on other side), or neither (in the middle). Exposure data are June-Sept. '20, experimental data Sept.-Dec. '20.
Read 14 tweets
Brendan Nyhan (@BrendanNyhan on 🟦☁️) Profile picture
Apr 22, 2023
Inducing all of the 1M+ follower accounts to denounce your product is some god-level marketing genius Image
Being treated by huge accounts like it's a virus Image
They're going to teach this in business school someday Image
Read 9 tweets
Brendan Nyhan (@BrendanNyhan on 🟦☁️) Profile picture
Dec 6, 2022
Here's a whole pseudo-panel on our YouTube paper (sites.dartmouth.edu/nyhan/files/20…) featuring synthetic @j_a_tucker, @AdamBerinsky, @emilythorson, @AliceMarwick, and @duncanjwatts. The real people are of course way better but it's a pretty good summary of key points!
Next I pressed ChatGPT to make synthetic @j_a_tucker,
@AdamBerinsky, @emilythorson, @AliceMarwick, &
@duncanjwatts more critical & to draw on specific research. Again not nearly as good as the real folks but how long until we're evaluating R2 on value above ChatGPT (VOCG)?
Here's a review written by synthetic me. I gave my paper an R&R, which I guess is a good sign?
Read 4 tweets
Brendan Nyhan (@BrendanNyhan on 🟦☁️) Profile picture
Dec 1, 2022
How many technical class syllabi are now going to include recommendations to query ChatGPT with questions? Simple example - look how clear this is Image
Holy cow Image
Read 22 tweets
Brendan Nyhan (@BrendanNyhan on 🟦☁️) Profile picture
Nov 30, 2022
Academics: Papers that say they are preregistered must (a) attach the prereg as filed and/or (b) provide a working link to the full prereg. Anything else should be bounced by the journal or rejected by reviewers. Otherwise prereg just becomes a totem people invoke w/no content.
I ran out of room but this too! Reviewers HAVE to look at the prereg. Writing down a few vague hypotheses and then saying the whole study is preregistered is not a preregistered study. Telltale signs: lack of description of deviations & what is exploratory
If you are an editor or on an editorial board, you need to include these checks in your post-submission workflow. Don't let papers get to the review stage that don't provide full preregistration information if they claim it!
Read 4 tweets
Brendan Nyhan (@BrendanNyhan on 🟦☁️) Profile picture
Nov 9, 2022
What a s***show. Come on.
All a joke until something real happens
Read 16 tweets

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