Alright, this will be one of my least controversial, most "normie-friendly," "no-brainer" tweet storms of all time.
People love "government" when "government" means a simple, non-means-tested entitlement. Everyone loves social security and medicare. UBI is now popular, etc. On the other hand, many people hate complicated, unfair welfare programs, and most everyone is suspicious of foreign aid.
If government just created a $500 billion bill to send $2,000 to everyone over the age of 18, the whole country would be united at Christmas. It's that simple. (Rich people who don't need the cash could be guilt-tripped into donating it to charity or whatever.)
People love this kind of "government" but hate "Washington"—that is, politicians and lobbyists who use the pandemic as cover to send billions to Israel and Ukraine and promote feminism in Pakistan, and whatever else is going in that 5,000-page bill.
The politician or party who recognizes this reality is the one with a chance to transcend polarization. Trump has *always* understood this at a gut level. But he lacks the imagination or political will or ruthlessness to break through polarization, as opposed to leaning into it.
Trump's fundamental failure in 2017—which resulted in a kind of "fools mate"—was his embrace of the GOP and Paul's Ryan's speakership. They enacted some of the most unpopular policies imaginable: incoherent healthcare reform, tax cuts, etc.
The means of transcending polarization was to dump the GOP, which only recently accepted him and never really loved him. Trump should've focused on major infrastructure initiatives (including "The Wall") and national healthcare. The obvious partners were the Democrats.
Yes, this might seem off-the-wall, but it was Trump's means of transcending polarization by combining his base with Democrats, who are actually interested in national policy. Instead, he embraced "conservatism," so-called "populism," and other platforms that have minority appeal.
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"[Trump] built his entire empire in defiance of core Tea Party principle. It's time for those conservatives who've been flirting with Donald Trump to get serious themselves...
"Getting emails from conservatives 'welcoming' Ronald McDonald Chump. Would be refreshing to see more conservatives telling him to f— off."
It is remarked how unified the American Right is right now. There has not been (at least not yet) a post-Trump “crackup” of any kind.
I randomly flipped on Sean Hannity on the radio. He’s interviewing Bill O’Reilly (!). They’re saying the same fundamental thing as Alex Jones (just with less bombast). They were even warning of violence if the “truth about the elections” gets out.
Much like the “Boogaloo” movement, they seem to imagine average normie conservatives taking to the streets—or even taking over the government—once the assumed corruption is revealed and the people learn that their sacred election was stolen from them.
Good background on Esper’s opposition to Trump utilizing the Insurrection Act to suppress BLM and Antifa rioters. nytimes.com/2020/11/09/us/…
In the decisive period last summer, Trump failed to act.
He now recognizes this obvious fact and lashes out at the guy who gave him bad advice and publicly opposed him.
Way too little, too late.
It’s clear that the riots and looting helped Trump politically. Biden did explicitly denounce rioting, but he just couldn’t disassociate himself from BLM. So it becamea a partisan, polarized issue. As frustrating as it is, the “This is Joe Biden’s America” memes sorta worked.
As hilarious as a “shadow presidency” or “Great Schism” would be, I just don’t see him doing it.
Trump’s past behavior indicates that he’ll leave his biggest fans high and dry...but then benefit from an ambiguous situation in which they’re still fighting and sacrificing for him (e.g., The Proud Boys and The Birthers).
Biden’s isn’t just promising centrism; he declares that polarization is a “choice,” and he can end it through empathy or good ol’ fashioned can-do or something.
This is extremely naïve rhetoric, and from what we know about potential cabinet appointments, Biden seems to mean it.
As I said in my forecast for the election, “back to normalcy” (whatever you think about it as an ideal) will fail. Biden will be attacked by forces within the general Left coalition (if not exactly Democrats).