Sam Trabucco Profile picture
Dec 24, 2020 19 tweets 5 min read Read on X
'Twas the night before Christmas, and try though they may
Not a token was mooning, not even AAVE
Market buys getting sent by the apes without care
In hopes that new all-time highs soon would be there Image
Our traders were summoned post-haste from their beds
While visions of making bank danced in their heads
SBF in his sweatshirt, and I in my tee
Had just downed something we're gonna label "coffee"
And amongst all the chaos, amongst disarray
Amongst the red numbers borne out of the fray
From all of the carnage arose one big loser
A coin with a regulatory accuser Image
For days, XRP has been in the gutter
Because of the claims from Jay Clayton the FUDder
U.S. folks had to spew their positions before
The exchanges could manage to shutter the door
Exchanges like Coinbase -- they threw up their hands
What to do when your government comes with the bans?
To delist or restrict? Or just pause for a while?
It was clear they'd react -- that's Coinbase's style
Trading got pretty crazy because no one knew
Would withdrawals make it past the the phase "under review"?
The markets on Coinbase got quite out of line
Sometimes rich, sometimes cheap -- a trader's goldmine Image
And elsewhere! Premia were just as sky-high
Japanese XRP was percents good to buy
Derivatives markets moved sort of at random
Arbs arise when the products do not move in tandem!
Insane though it was, there was also a trend
Each XRP market tended to descend
To prices lower than we've seen in some time
Since before Thanksgiving and crypto's big climb Image
Crypto has high leverage! Which many traders love
It gives them positions many times above
Their net worths with which they could easily gain
The crypto exposure they seek to attain
This magnifies winnings, of that there's no doubt
That carries a cost, and that cost gets borne out
When markets decide to move the other way
It magnifies losses traders need to pay
When a coin's cut in half in the course of a week
The outlook for longs can get pretty bleak
At this point I believe that I've set expectations:
XRP got destroyed amongst liquidations
EVERYWHERE traders got too aggressively long
On BitMEX, on Binance, on Huobi -- all wrong
Positions insta-sold into thin walls of bids
Since traders are off spending time with their kids
Orders always dry up when the market's away
And that is especially true Christmas Day
Impact from aggression gets much more intense
Causing MORE liquidations -- and then even more hence
But all hope was not lost, crypto stayed above zero
The selling fest ended -- no need for a hero
Every coin gained back ground it had recently lost
The buyers were back and bid/ask spreads were crossed
On Bitcoin! On SUSHI! SRM, FTT!
On Chainlink and Ether! And on XRP!
To the top of the graph! Where you were 'fore the fall!
To the moon! To the moon, to the moon, one and all! Image
I beg you, dear reader -- recall what we've learned
What happens when the downturns for coins are not earned?
When the selling is not the holder's inclination
But instead the result of a liquidation
The market swoops in -- no one wanted to sell
Anywhere near the min price to which the coin fell
So we KNEW this rebound was likely on its way
A repeat benefactor -- Santa Claus on his sleigh
Now we all understand the critical reason
The crypto markets fell this holiday SZN
Some selling was real but the future seems bright
HAPPY BULL RUN TO ALL, AND TO ALL A GOOD NIGHT
Ugh fucked up the meter here, it should be "downturns" instead of "the downturns"

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More from @AlamedaTrabucco

Aug 24, 2022
On happiness:
Last year, when @SBF_FTX announced that Caroline and I were Alameda's co-CEOs, the goal for all involved was to bring titles in line with reality -- the two of us had been acting as CEOs for quite some time, and we wanted our outside image to reflect that.
It's with the same goal that I'm announcing today that I am stepping down as co-CEO of Alameda Research -- @carolinecapital will continue on as Alameda's CEO. I will stay on as an advisor, but otherwise will not continue to have a strong day-to-day presence at the company.
Read 11 tweets
Jul 20, 2022
Reminder, “sold” and “will sell” are not the same just like “bought” and “will buy” are not the same; typical discourse around this kind of thing tends to be almost totally flipped (not investment advice etc etc)
When people hear “X bought” they tend to have thoughts like “buying means UP” (and sometimes follow-on effects exist! so it’s not all wrong) but they tend not to remember “oh and maybe they’ll sell eventually”
Position closing doesn’t have that latter effect so I tend to think of it as basically nothing in terms of expected move for fundamental reasons
Read 4 tweets
Jul 5, 2022
why can't every game that has:
- creatures / minions / characters / etc.
- health / toughness / etc.
- power / attack / etc.
just pick one of those terms to use industry-wide?

@StorybookBrawl has joined the ranks of games which plague me in this specific way
creature / attack / health is definite the best combo but i'm not sure any game uses all 3 of them
i couldn't actually tell you though because i can never remember which it's called in a given game
Read 4 tweets
Mar 22, 2022
There's been some chatter about the recent @StargateFinance auction, and I wanted to clarify a few things about Alameda's involvement.
First off: we did indeed buy all the tokens. We love the team and what they're doing, and we believe this space and the technology they're building is really important.
The cross-chain asset management opens up a wide array of possible DeFi use cases, makes capital allocation for firms like Alameda more seamless, and aids in making the crypto markets more efficient -- among many other benefits @StargateFinance is creating.
Read 7 tweets
Mar 9, 2022
Let's dig a bit deeper into this -- why did the market react the way it did, and what makes it "inefficient" exactly?

A thread about news.
Obviously, the big story lately has been Russia/Ukraine -- I don't have anything new to say about the conflict itself, but global markets, including crypto, have mostly revolved around this for the past few weeks.
So any price impact from Biden's executive order does need to be considered in context:
- it's important to separate out price impact from e.g. crypto's SPY beta
- it's important to consider how Russia/Ukraine might have influenced the EO (and opinion of it)
Read 16 tweets
Feb 23, 2022
I initiated a wire and @Chase canceled it and locked my account due to suspicious activity until I call them, and the wait time is 90 minutes! I'm so happy my funds are protected.
Update: they called me back after 80 minutes, immediately transferred me to a 20 minute-long hold, and when someone answered they immediately hung up.
Part of their identify verification process was me giving them a phone number and then them sending a code to the number I just told them? What?
Read 4 tweets

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