Finland detects UK & SA variants. As immune pressure on virus grows, evolution will speed up & any variants that escape that immunity will have selective advantage. Both variants huge worry, variant described SA, may already evade mAbs, variant UK more transmissible
We have to reduce transmission through physical distancing, public health measure, masks, handwashing, behaviour, infection control, plus T-T-I, treatments & vaccines. And these tools available globally. theguardian.com/world/live/202…
Making Tests,Treatments,Vaccines available globally is a moral imperative. It is a scientific imperative.If not variants that may escape immune control via infection/vaccination that arise in one part world will reverberate everywhere. Truly no one is safe until we are all safe
World is playing with fire, & does not control the evolutionary path of a virus circulating at this level & under this pressure globally. 2021 may be less predictable than 2020. Is in our hands reduce transmission,use all tools equitably & as an urgent public heath imperative.
Mutations in receptor binding domain (RBD) in S Africa described variant a massive wakeup call on just how plastic Spike RBD can be. All vaccines & mAb treatments target this single protein.
This pandemic is not over, having vaccines & treatments only helpful if available to all & used urgently and before further evolution & evasion of protective immunity. Also critical that work on second generation treatments & vaccines progresses urgently.
And that needs to be funded. The ACT-A is still scrabbling around for the money to do the R&D, Manufacturing & Distribution. Have to speed up availability Tests, Treatments, Vaccines, Oxygen, PPE, - globally.
Plus invest second generation vaccines/treatments. Not impossible to imagine interventions only targeting Spike Protein rendered much less effective in months/years to come. Variants driving increased transmission & possible immune escape already circulating. Will not be the last
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Plus @wellcometrust Discovery Research all aspects curiosity, investigator/team science plus opportunities Infection Challenge Area-New targets and/or antibiotics,Stewardship Policies, Surveillance, @CARB_X, Vaccines, Diagnostics with a commitment of £16Bn wellcome.org/news/wellcomes…
An absolute commitment to Discovery Research, open, investigator/team based curiosity driven research - wellcome.org/news/unlocking…
1/2 Personal view 1) I'll wear mask public transport & crowded indoors 2) Enhance ventilation work places/schools/homes 3) Ensure vaccinated & boosted 4) Support employees/education stay home if symptomatic or testing positive bbc.co.uk/news/health-62…
5) Make Test-Treat accessible & available 6) Prepare now for Flu/COVID in 2022/23, support staff in and enhance capacity of NHS, Care facilities Essential services & all employment/education for higher levels of illness and disruption through 2022/2023 bbc.co.uk/news/health-62…
7) Increase investment in R&D, Distributed manufacturing and equitable access for Tests, Treatment, 2nd/3rd Generation Vaccines that reduce transmission & prevent severe illness. 8) Prevention & response to another event or crisis & resilience to cope with more than one event
@jburnmurdoch@ewanbirney Underlines "Vaccine Plus" strategy & need 2nd & 3rd Generation Vaccines that are transmission blocking & reduce illness/death Plus New Therapeutics, Access Tests, & Non-Pharmacological Public Health-Test, Masks, Community Surveys, Reduce contacts if symptoms/+ve test. Ventilation
@jburnmurdoch@ewanbirney Perspective @washingtonpost "What if we’re in middle not the end of pandemic?" What do we need to do & no regrets. Just hoping it is over, or only planning for some apparent easy transition to endemicity is not wise. Need to prepare for multiple scenarios. washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/…
@jburnmurdoch@ewanbirney@washingtonpost The seductive political narrative is a transition to endemic infection, a less severe infection, "living with COVID". That is only one possible scenario.There are others. We cannot only prepare for the one we all hope for. We need to prepare for multiple scenarios.
Summary of comments 1) Events in east Europe over the last 12 hours remind us all if we needed it of what an uncertain, troubled and turbulent world we live in. 2) Pay tribute to Paul Farmer who passed away this week, who made such a huge contribution to so many.
3) Tribute @WHO Leadership, World Health Emergency Programme, @rd_blueprint Team & Health Care & Essential Workers,Researchers globally. 5) Tribute @WHO@rd_blueprint Meeting Feb2020 which set the spirit & tone of the collaborative approach public health, researchers, clinicians
Huge respect all authors & agree with conclusions- "Entering new phase pandemic. All over world an assessment measures most suited to this phase. Top of list- Vaccination, good indoor ventilation, monitoring of SARS-Cov-2 & other possible pandemic threats. dailymaverick.co.za/article/2022-0…
Every country/region will need to do this,timing will vary as pandemic waves shift globally. Personal additions - Reasonable to plan for the most likely scenario but we must also have the humility to prepare for other scenarios
1: Equitable access, sustainable access to all tools needed Dx,Tx,Vx,Surveillance,Health Systems. 2: Shift to ensure utility all the time & beyond SARS-Cov2 by building stronger horizontal disease systems agnostic to specific type whilst not losing impact of vertical programmes