Thread by @ervstours

@KjetilTronvoll Your thread echos the callous doom and gloom prediction by USIP "the largest state collapse in modern history." The operation has successfully been concluded and the hard task of winning the peace and national healing is underway.

https://twitter.com/KjetilTronvoll/status/1344256738812424192

There is no war in Tigray. The law enforcement operation has been concluded and the new administration has begun its work in Tigray. @AbiyAhmedAli reported this to the Ethiopian parliament. A war that does not exist cannot go unfettered as you seem to claim.

The is no active engagement in Tigray now. The Mekelle-Adigrat-Wukro road is open as we speak as is the Alamata-Mekelle road. You seem to be running an alternative reality here as are you claim of an election, which, apparently you were the 'sole international observer.'

The 'civilian atrocities' you claim are baseless and you keep on repeating them following the foot steps of the infamous TPLF propagandist Berket Simon who is behind bars now for crimes committed during TPLF's reign of terror. The youth are looking for work, not war.

The core TPLF leadership are either on the run; wounded/dead and some captured. Please check/contact @SOEFactCheck for more timely info.

Even the most powerful nation on earth did not capture Saddam Hussein right away albeit its vast technological capabilities. It should not come as a surprise that TPLF might have pockets of hiding places in Tigray.

I do agree TPLF did underestimate its adversaries. Its fateful decision to cross the Rubicon was the last nail that scuttled through its own lifeboat. The level of desperation to make Eritrea part of this operation can only be matched TPLF's anatomy of terror.

Your number on the humanitarian front is way off mark and quite troubling for a 'scholar' of your stature. The widely circulating figure is 50,000 refugees in the Sudan of which a considerable number are fleeing justice after taking part in the #MaiKadra massacre.

Access to Humanitarian assistance have been granted and the Ethiopian government has been at the forefront of that. Some aid workers have tried to act roguishly for which the @UN did apologize for an incident over checking points being overrun by UN vehicles.

The election you are referring to and were part of was an illegal one and was made null and void by the House of Federation and @FDREHOPR The feeling of Tigray's encirclement was TPLF's punchline since day one and as obsolete as the now moribund TPLF itself.

You cannot equate arresting criminals and suspected criminals with ethnic profiling. It is like saying why are most Nazi criminals Germans and the victims are Jews. The former are members a criminal enterprise most of whom happened to be Germans while the latter are victims.

Quisling is the ultimate personification of TPLF itself, not @prosperity2022, which butchered the very soldiers who have bled; built schools and houses; intermarried; helped in harvesting their fields. Civil disobedience is more of a figment of your imagination than a reality.

The recurrent sparks over the last 30 years and their intensification over the last two have largely been engineered by TPLF in tandem with some foreign adversaries.

You cannot speak of nationalism in Ethiopia without nations. Nation and nationalities have been mentioned in the Ethiopian constitution without clarity. There have never been nations called Tigray; Amhara or Oromo. There were regional kingdoms and power centres.

As stated earlier, there is no tangible evidence Eritrea has been an active participate. True, our forces retreated and regrouped to fight back TPLF. The border issue with the Sudan has been a lingering one for decades.

Your dismissive comments about @AU and other African intergovernmental organizations is reminiscent of the "White Man's" burden whose light is still needed to shine over the Dark Continent. I would suggest William Easterly's 'the Tyranny of Experts.' for some modesty.

Ethiopia has already resumed its normalcy. Your doom and gloom prediction of 'the largest state collapse' has evaporated as has the TPLF.

I would suggest leaving the science of statecraft and reconfiguration for the experts of the global south. Your insinuation of a loose confederation itself implies either a profound ignorance or ivory tower hubris.

Your assessment of the Ethiopian conflict misses a fundamental point: have you ever wondered why so many sparks have not turned into a protracted fire?