In April, 1947 New York City faced a terrifying smallpox outbreak. 23 days later the City had vaccinated 6 million people.
We need to massively ramp up our COVID-19 vaccination.
We did it in 1947. We can do it now. A thread on how. 1/
So far NYC is averaging 40k covid vaccine doses per week. To get to herd immunity by mid-2021 we need to be doing at least 400k/week. (including 1st & 2nd doses)
We need a 1947-level mobilization to make this happen. 2/
In the 1947 smallpox outbreak the federal gov’t was largely MIA on the organization, planning, and administration of vaccination. (Sound familiar?) New York City was on its own then, but we rallied. 3/
In 1947 the smallpox vaccine was distributed not just out of hospitals but Health Dept clinics, public and parochial schools, police and fire stations, community centers, union halls, and more. 4/
In 1947 many vaccination sites were open 24/7. (By contrast covid vaccination so far in NYC is almost exclusively being done during business hours, with few done on weekends and almost none on holidays.) 5/
In 1947 the City enlisted an army of 1000s of workers for the vaccination program, drawing not just from the Health Dept but other City agencies, contracted health care professions, and many volunteers from the general population. 6/
Handling covid vaccines is of course vastly more difficult than dealing with the smallpox vaccine.
That argues for a robust City role in vaccination, because with the right commitment and resources it can bring the scale needed for this huge logistical challenge 7/
NYC should set up 100s of points of distribution (PODs) for covid vaccination in school gymnasiums, community centers, houses of worship, and public housing complexes. 8/
There will be many roles in the PODs which don’t require specialized medical training. (like signing people in, or managing lines). Why not hire young people or NYers out of work for these jobs? It could serve as a launching pad into the world of public health careers. 9/
The City should also offer logistical support to enable vaccination by smaller private providers like community clinics. This could include providing freezers, disposable supplies, IT system for scheduling/tracking, and specialized staff as needed (e.g. pharmacy techs). 10/
Does all this sound too ambitious? The NYC Health Dept has a plan on the shelf for emergency response to a bioterror attack such as anthrax. It calls for delivering antibiotics to the entire NYC population in **72 hours**. (in part by mobilizing 1000s of City workers). 11/
Yes implementing a mass-scale covid vaccination program would be extremely expensive. SO WHAT?!? Lives are on the line. And every week we shorten this pandemic is worth billions of dollars in economic activity. 12/
To recap: NYC doesn’t need an unprecedented mobilization on covid vaccination. Because there *is* a precedent in smallpox 1947.
We do need a massive investment of resources and energy to increase our current vaccination rate by 10x.
We did it before. We can do it again. 13/13
Learn more about NYC’s epic response to the 1947 smallpox outbreak, and the visionary leadership of Israel Weinstein, the health commissioner at the time: nytimes.com/2020/12/18/nyr…
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There are many important questions about who will get vaccinated when and where, and what it all means for you and your family.
Here are some answers….
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Who will get vaccinated first?
* Today NYC hospitals are receiving first batches of the Pfizer vaccine—several 100 per hospital. Being given first to staff in ERs & ICUs—not just docs & nurses but also support staff who have covid contact. Will be staggered over several days. 2/
What about nursing homes?
* Vaccination in nursing homes starts 12/21. Will be handled through a national partnership w/ Walgreens & CVS, so the nursing homes themselves do not have to deal with the complex logistics. Residents will be vaccinated in their individual rooms. 3/
NEW: Early details from NYC Health Dept on vaccine distribution, expected to begin with first shipment on Dec 15.
* Health Dept has ultra-cold storage capacity (needed for pfizer vaccine) for up to 320k doses. Most hospitals have or are acquiring their own capacity.
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* Early focus will be on essential workers
* Appointments scheduled and eligibility assessed online
* Recipients will have to affirm on day of appointment that they are symptom free
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* Every time a vaccine is administered it will be recorded in the City's existing vaccine registry (used now for things like flu shots).
* City will monitor if certainly communities are not receiving at adequate levels
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Covid hospitalization in NYC is increasing fast. And this does not yet reflect any post-Thanksgiving surge.
Continuing with the status quo is not an option. We need dramatic city-wide measures to slow this.
NYC needs to immediately:
* Pause indoor dining
* Close gyms, salons, etc.
* Urge those who can to work from home
* Secure direct financial aid for impacted businesses
NYers shouldn't wait for official action to change their behavior in light of this mounting threat.
* Work from home if you can
* Be judicious about indoor dining
* If you are high-risk, limit non-essential activity outside the home.
BREAKING: NYC announced reopening plan for public schools.
* Dec 7: Pre-K & K-5
* Dec 10: D75 special ed programs
* Moving to 5 day/week in person where possible
* Mandatory random testing weekly in schools
* No longer using 3% pos threshold
* No timeline for middle/high yet
* In-person learning only open to student already enrolled in blended learning.
* Student will only be allowed to return if their family completes a testing consent form, or has medical waiver.
* Plan is that 20% of students in each school will be randomly tested each week
* Parents can complete the testing consent form here: mystudent.nyc
Your post-Thanksgiving to-do list may include testing and/or quarantining:
==> If you gathered with people outside your household, you should get tested in the coming days, even if you don't feel symptoms (may take a few days after exposure before you test positive). [cont...]
==> You don't need to wait in line at CityMD to get tested. Sites run by @NYCHealthSystem have shorter waits and usually return results in 24-48 hrs.
Under-appreciated reason to get a Covid test in NYC: if you test positive it will unlock a whole menu of supportive services.
* To help you quarantine at home, City will provide delivery of food and Rx if needed. Free dog walking and pet drop-in services also available.
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* You will receive two at-home test kits for people in your household or other contacts
* You will receive a package including a digital thermometer and pulse oximeter, plus masks, hand sanitizer, and wipes.
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* You can access a free hotel room to safely isolate from your family, which include meals, Rx delivery, free wi-fi, medical staff on site, and transportation to and from hotel and medical appointments (3/)