Why are Senate Republicans undertaking a quixotic mission to block Biden’s election? There could be lessons from Mexico...🧵
In 2006, left candidate Andrés Manuel López Obrador of the PRD narrowly lost to right candidate Felipe Calderón of the PAN by less than 1 percentage point. AMLO cried foul, which was not a crazy thing given a precedent of rigged elections in Mexico
For a long time AMLO refused to recognize the official election results. He declared himself the winner, set up a shadow cabinet, and held meetings as the legitimate president.
This split his party. PRD officials couldn’t recognize Calderón as president or interact with his cabinet. Certain officials became designated go betweens but most had to choose between loyalty to AMLO or working with the de facto government.
One would think this would have ended badly for AMLO. But today, AMLO is president and his old party is a shell of its former self, largely replaced as the party of the left by AMLO’s own party, Morena.
So if Trump is forcing senators to choose between him and party institutions, it isn’t so crazy that some are choosing him, since it isn’t necessarily clear that the GOP as we know it will come out on top.
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I read the Venezuela chapter of John Bolton’s book, which covers the first few months of 2019, from the January declaration of Juan Guaidó as acting president, to the failed April 30 coup/uprising. Some highlights (thread):
Trump’s attitude toward Venezuela policy vacillates between eagerness for a full on military invasion (opposed by his advisors) and open admiration for Maduro and disdain for Guaidó.
Trump had proposed an invasion of Venezuela in a speech in Aug. 2017. He also proposed meeting with Maduro in person. Bolton and Pompeo advised him against both.
“Why are Trump’s approval ratings for his response to COVID-19 so high when he’s (clearly messing up/spreading misinformation/exploiting it for partisan purposes)?”
1.Nearly all the heroin (and cocaine and meth) that enters the US today comes in through official ports of entry, i.e. legal border crossings and airports. It isn’t snuck in across the desert. Building a wall would do nothing to change this. See @adam_wolawola.org/analysis/four-…
2.“Millions of guns illegally pass via the border “ is deliberately misleading. The guns crossing the border are guns from the U.S. going to Mexico, fueling Mexico’s drug war. Estimates vary from 583 to 2,000 per day, including AR-15s favored by cartels. academic.oup.com/joeg/article/1…