Thread by @Noahpinion

1/I wanted to know how likely it was that America would have another civil war.

So I asked an expert: @pstanpolitics of the University of Chicago, who studies political violence for a living!

noahpinion.substack.com/p/will-the-us-…

2/Staniland thinks protracted low-level right-wing violence is likely.

3/But he thinks the likelihood that the military will split up into warring factions is unlikely.

4/His final words are a bit worrying, seeing that we now have Cruz, Hawley, etc. embedded in our government.

5/Anyway, you can read the whole interview here! It's only reassuring if you expect an imminent repeat of 1860.

Thanks so much to @pstanpolitics for the interview!

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noahpinion.substack.com/p/will-the-us-…