Bojan Pancevski Profile picture
Jan 5, 2021 10 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Some facts on EU vaccine procurement:
1. The EU only ordered 200m doses from @BioNTech_Group & @pfizer on *November 11,* when it was already behind in the queue (the US ordered on July 22). The EU *refused* an offer to order 500m doses. Image
2. Despite the BioNTech/Pfizer jab winning the global race, the EU stuck to 200m. On November 17 however it ordered 400m doses from CureVac, German firm that hadn't even started Phase3 trial. Only on *December 29* did the EU order additional 100m, again trailing the US
3. Data indicating that BioNTech/Pfizer were ahead of the pack emerged already in July. On *October 6* the EU regulator EMA started a rolling review based on extremely promising late-stage trial data, which was obviously available to EU officials wsj.com/articles/germa…
4. As a result of this strategy, the EU is left with only 300m doses (to be delivered by late this year *if* all goes well) of the first vaccine developed on its soil. For a population of ~450m. Earlier orders - by the US etc - will be delivered first.
5. EU, normally fond of subsidies, failed to muster a joint vaccine effort that would support its industry. @BioNTech_Group only got €50m in loans and some €9m in grants (over 10 years). Germany stepped in with €375m. In contrast, the US poured €18bn into OperationWarpspeed
6. There’s reporting - which has been denied by the Commission - that the EU didn’t order more doses from Germany’s BioNTech because they wanted to balance the sheet with orders from France’s Sanofi. That seems rather implausible: the EU then ordered 400m from Germany’s CureVac
7. Perhaps unsurprisingly, the companies themselves were puzzled by the EU procurement strategy
8. Meanwhile, EU’s regulator is seemingly having issues with authorising the Moderna vaccine, of which the bloc ordered 80m. A decision was expected today but it has been postponed Image
9. The BioNTech/Pfizer vaccine has a 6th, extra dose in the vial. That’s millions of extra doses. The use of that extra dose has been approved by the US, Britain, Switzerland - but not the EU. The EU is taking its time to decide.
10. The EU went from “we have more than enough doses” to “we are buying up to 300 million extra doses from BioNTech-Pfizer” in a matter of days. Following outrage in the German media.

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More from @bopanc

Mar 17
Ukraine's running out of ammo but will now get huge shipments of shells it needs most.
Not from the U.S., or any big power, but thanks to Czechia, which clinched a global deal because it operated outside EU/NATO bureaucracies & used Cold War relations
wsj.com/world/europe/a…
EU talks, Czechia keeps Ukraine in the fight:
Prague activated Cold War relations to source ~800,000 artillery shells from a diverse suppliers spanning the globe and identified another ~700,000 that could be secured with extra funds
wsj.com/world/europe/a…
Ukrainian forces are so depleted that they now only fire ~2 shells for every 10 Russia fires at them, according to Western intelligence estimates.
“The Czech initiative will help Ukraine stabilize the front and regain the upper hand,” said @nicolange_
wsj.com/world/europe/a…
Read 7 tweets
Oct 8, 2023
A young German woman was murdered by Hamas while attending a music festival in Israel before the militants desecrated and paraded her body on the back of a truck.
Some even claimed she was an Israeli soldier
via @MailOnlinedailymail.co.uk/news/article-1…
Video of Hamas gunmen sitting on the young woman's lifeless, naked body on the back of a pick-up truck, their supporters running alongside and chanting "Allahu Akbar" while spitting on the victim's head.
An innocent civilian attending a festival in Israel.
cdn.jwplayer.com/previews/mOobx…
The mother of the victim pleading for help after seeing the video
Read 4 tweets
Sep 10, 2023
Putin Wants His Hit Man Back

Russia’s ruler personally ordered his chief aide to seek the return of a covert killer serving a life sentence in Germany, possibly in exchange for US prisoners including @WSJ reporter @evangershkovich

With @AlanCullison

wsj.com/world/putin-wa…
Moscow has since mentioned Vadim Krasikov in hostage diplomacy.
Some officials said a multilateral deal to swap Russian detainees in Western countries for Western citizens held in Russia, as well as imprisoned dissidents such as @navalny, was possible.

wsj.com/world/putin-wa…
@navalny Many German officials dismiss the possibility of swapping Krasikov.
But there is a precedent: Iranian hitman Kazem Darabi got a life sentence for the 1992 murder of 4 opposition figures in Berlin. He was freed in exchange for a German hostage n 2007

wsj.com/world/putin-wa…
Read 4 tweets
Dec 22, 2022
Europe is struggling to produce enough ammunition for Ukraine and for itself, jeopardizing ⁦@NATO⁩ defense capacity and its support for Kyiv, officials and industry leaders say. My report via ⁦@WSJwsj.com/articles/europ…
Lack of ammo production capacity & specialized workers, supply-chain bottlenecks, high costs of financing & even environmental regulations are putting a brake on efforts to increase output, presenting the West and Ukraine with a fresh challenge wsj.com/articles/europ…
Ukraine’s battle against Russia's invasion is consuming ammunition at rates unseen since WWII. At the height of the fighting in Donbas, Russia was using more ammo in two days than the entire stock of the British military, according to @RUSI_org wsj.com/articles/europ…
Read 9 tweets
Nov 12, 2022
How does Russia lose in Ukraine?
After Ukraine's triumph in Kherson, let's recall how other relatively recent invasions by the Russian/Soviet Empire against weaker opponents ended in disasters that could offer lessons for Moscow's current war of conquest:
1. Russo-Japanese War of 1904-5
Moscow severely underestimated Japan, partly due to racist misconceptions and its own corruption, and proceeded to lose virtually its entire Eastern/Baltic fleets before suffering a humiliating defeat and suing for peace
britannica.com/event/Russo-Ja…
2. Russo-Polish War of 1919-21
The Bolsheviks tried to overrun Poland to spread their revolution westward under the motto “the road to world conflagration leads over Poland’s corpse,” but got hammered instead in a war that cemented the reborn Polish nation
britannica.com/event/Russo-Po…
Read 5 tweets
Nov 11, 2022
Eight months later, Ukriane’s flag is hoisted again over government buildings in Kherson as the city is being liberated from Russian occupation
Liberated Kherson celebrates the Ukrainian army t.me/hueviyherson/2…
Ukrainian people freed of Russian occupation crying for joy and throwing flowers at their liberators
Read 7 tweets

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