Some facts on EU vaccine procurement: 1. The EU only ordered 200m doses from @BioNTech_Group & @pfizer on *November 11,* when it was already behind in the queue (the US ordered on July 22). The EU *refused* an offer to order 500m doses.
2. Despite the BioNTech/Pfizer jab winning the global race, the EU stuck to 200m. On November 17 however it ordered 400m doses from CureVac, German firm that hadn't even started Phase3 trial. Only on *December 29* did the EU order additional 100m, again trailing the US
3. Data indicating that BioNTech/Pfizer were ahead of the pack emerged already in July. On *October 6* the EU regulator EMA started a rolling review based on extremely promising late-stage trial data, which was obviously available to EU officials wsj.com/articles/germa…
4. As a result of this strategy, the EU is left with only 300m doses (to be delivered by late this year *if* all goes well) of the first vaccine developed on its soil. For a population of ~450m. Earlier orders - by the US etc - will be delivered first.
5. EU, normally fond of subsidies, failed to muster a joint vaccine effort that would support its industry. @BioNTech_Group only got €50m in loans and some €9m in grants (over 10 years). Germany stepped in with €375m. In contrast, the US poured €18bn into OperationWarpspeed
6. There’s reporting - which has been denied by the Commission - that the EU didn’t order more doses from Germany’s BioNTech because they wanted to balance the sheet with orders from France’s Sanofi. That seems rather implausible: the EU then ordered 400m from Germany’s CureVac
7. Perhaps unsurprisingly, the companies themselves were puzzled by the EU procurement strategy
8. Meanwhile, EU’s regulator is seemingly having issues with authorising the Moderna vaccine, of which the bloc ordered 80m. A decision was expected today but it has been postponed
9. The BioNTech/Pfizer vaccine has a 6th, extra dose in the vial. That’s millions of extra doses. The use of that extra dose has been approved by the US, Britain, Switzerland - but not the EU. The EU is taking its time to decide.
10. The EU went from “we have more than enough doses” to “we are buying up to 300 million extra doses from BioNTech-Pfizer” in a matter of days. Following outrage in the German media.
🚨A New Spy Unit Is Leading Russia’s Shadow War Against the West
We identified the lethal unit behind plots to send firebombs via @DHLGlobal and murder western executives such as the @RheinmetallAG, as well as sabotage and cyber-strikes
The operations of Russia’s GRU Department of Special Tasks or SSD have included attempted killings, sabotage and a plot to put incendiary devices on planes.
The department’s creation reflects Moscow’s wartime footing against the West, the officials said. It was set up in 2023 in response to Western support for Ukraine and includes veterans of some of Russia’s most daring clandestine operations in recent years, according to two European intelligence chiefs and other U.S., European and Russian security officials.
The Kremlin sees the West as complicit in Ukraine’s attacks on Russia such as the sabotage of the Nord Stream pipelines, the killings of senior officials in Moscow, and Ukrainian strikes using long-range Western missiles, according to these officials. Ukraine has denied it was behind the sabotage of the Nord Stream pipelines.
“Russia believes it is in conflict with what it calls ‘the collective West,’ and is acting accordingly, up to and including threatening us with nuclear attack and building up its military,” said James Appathurai, deputy assistant secretary-general of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization in charge of hybrid warfare.
“These are, as usual, completely unsubstantiated accusations,” said Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov. wsj.com/world/europe/r…
Our exclusive with @JDVance ahead of @MunSecConf: -On Ukraine, he says there will be a good peace deal that will guarantee the country’s long-term sovereignty - and Putin will face sanctions and military measures if he doesn’t play ball.
-On Europe, he will tell mainstream leaders in Munich that they’ve become Soviet-style enemies of free speech and democracy who ignore voters and fail to stop mass migration. Some Germans will be particularly shocked when he calls for ending the firewall against the far-Right @AfD and embracing the populist vote.
With @alexbward via @WSJ wsj.com/world/europe/v…
“There are economic tools of leverage, there are of course military tools of leverage” the U.S. could use against Putin, @JDVance told @WSJ .
The @VP remarks, coming a day before a meeting with Ukrainian President @ZelenskyyUa , offered the Trump administration’s strongest-yet support for Kyiv in the face of Russian demands that it disarm and replace the current government.
“The president is not going to go in this with blinders on,” Vance said. “He’s going to say, ‘Everything is on the table, let’s make a deal.’”
“It’s really about censorship and about migration, about this fear that President Trump and I have, that European leaders are kind of terrified of their own people,” @JDVance told the @WSJ.
EU and @NATO leaders are eagerly aviating Vance's speech at the @MunSecConf, hoping he will talk about Ukraine and the transatlantic relations. But the @VP said he would tell leaders that Europe must embrace the rise of antiestablishment politics, stop mass migration and curb progressive policies.
He said he would urge German politicians to work with all parties including the far-right and anti-immigrant @AfD
🧵Must-watch for understanding Germany's current challenges: @ronzheimer talks to Chancellery Minister @W_Schmidt_, one of the most capable European politicians/officials who kept the disparate Berlin coalition together. He commands *every single policy detail* across govt.
Schmidt, key aide who got @OlafScholz elected, summarizes Germany's predicament that fuels the rise of @AfD: 1. Economic decline 2. Mass migration 3. Growing rejection (esp in east ) of the support for Ukraine because of economic concerns, war angst or pro-Russian sentiments
Schmidt explains that his government actually helped slash new asylum arrivals by a whole third. They get 0 credit (like for other achievements). One reason: the numbers are still high (230k sought asylum in 2024) & the amount of refugees already here is huge ~4m in 10 yrs
Angela Merkel Wants Her Memoir to Save Her Legacy. It’s Backfiring.
In her book, the former German chancellor stubbornly defends decisions that have become increasingly unpopular, alienating even some of her allies
My piece via @WSJwsj.com/world/europe/a…
Energy, migration, Russia: “Her key policies have all been exposed as wrong by the passage of time,” said Andreas Rödder.
“Only a few years later her era feels like ancient history.” wsj.com/world/europe/a…
Merkel says it's fully irrelevant whether migrants "had a right to stay in Germany or not.”
The consequences—failed integration, ballooning welfare spending, rising crime, political polarization—can be partly blamed on Germans’ lack of “will to change.” wsj.com/world/europe/a…
Christmas market suspect was anti-Islam activist seemingly suffering from paranoid delusions who posted an @elonmusk video minutes after the attack wsj.com/world/europe/s…
This is what the Christmas market suspect’s account posted minutes after the attack: rants about German police persecuting him, Socialism, Socrates - and a repost of a post about @elonmusk
German elections: record far right/left surge in Thuringia/Saxony. But this is no eastern phenomenon.
Despite scandals, in *every state* except Hamburg AfD gets double digits; in wealth bastions BW/Hesse ~18%.
Voters demand policy change, esp on migration wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landt…
The government has been hammered, but the opposition conservatives can hardly rejoice.
President Steinmeier, veteran of many govts that presided over a rise in irregular migration, said today that reducing it must be a cross-party priority in coming years welt.de/politik/deutsc…
Germany's now openly talking about a ling between crime and irregular/asylum migration that has been ignored for years, just like in Sweden/Britain etc.
Crime overall is reducing, yet knife attacks, sex crimes, violence in schools or against first responders is surging.