“So far, [Georgia] counties that have fully reported are on average three points more Democratic than the presidential election results in those counties.“ - @gelliottmorris newsletter

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More from @DKThomp

16 Dec 20
I wrote about how “niche partitioning” in the news media industry has shattered the possibility of a shared political reality in America

theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
The rise of Newsmax and OANN at Fox News’ expense is a reminder that Trump devotees are going to buy tickets to whatever media universe tells best story, the Trumpiest tale.

The news landscape across TV and social is honeycombed to the point that every fantasy gets a home base.
From scarcer broadcasts and communal reality...to abundant broadcasts and privatized reality

It’s notable that this 21st century shift in the news industry describes the evolution of the broader entertainment industry, as well.
Read 4 tweets
14 Dec 20
Netflix draws viewers to unknown shows because it is a service they already have.

Disney+ draws viewers to a service for shows they already know they want.

stratechery.com/2020/disneys-i…
Netflix as the default streaming media infrastructure, whose consumers expect content of varying quality, genre, and novelty

vs.

Disney as a leveraged bet on the eternal return of the familiar, entertainment as IP ouroboros
… I don’t think it’s that simple, but I also don’t think it’s *that* much more complicated.
Read 4 tweets
9 Dec 20
I wrote about what today’s headlines and statistics are already telling us about the future of work, cities, and the economy in 2021

theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…

Overall, I think remote work will be bigger, cities will be weirder, and the economy will be stronger than most ppl think
1. The future of work

The transit-pocalypse in every major city is going to slow the return to big metro HQs, which could elevate remote work, even in the rest of the country where basically everybody drives to the office. Image
2. The future of cities

The combination of depleted transit and residents' risk-aversion will lead to city fragmentation, and developers are already looking to take advantage of that shift with hyper-convenient "15 minute city" projects, like this one—> Image
Read 4 tweets
4 Dec 20
As always these debates—eg, Should Covid guidelines treat big box retailers the same as restaurants?— would be helped if we started from a simple true premise.:

The disease's main vector of transmission is TALKING—followed by stuff like sneezing and coughing ...
I don't think this has ever been properly understood. I proposed Library Rules For America to help keep more indoor spaces open and safe and emailers accused me of calling for some kind of vocal-cord theocracy.

theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…

Sorry! But it's mostly a talking disease!
As a result, it—tragically!—totally makes sense to single out restaurants, because couples and groups don't go to bars to receive silent services (like at salons) or browse merch (like at big box retailers).
Read 4 tweets
3 Dec 20
Q: Why is Kansas moving left?
A: Education polarization rules everything around me

Here are the states with above-avg share of bachelor's degrees. They're all voted for Biden, except for Kansas. (And, yes, Utah.) Image
As I've written, polarization around diplomas and density are the electoral stories of the year

theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
Btw: This is how densest states voted (meaning: states with higher-than-average Census-defined urban share) Image
Read 4 tweets
28 Nov 20
I wrote a big piece about how Democrats have become the party of the superstar city (and its richest suburbs)—and why that seemingly positive demographic trend is also at the heart of the party's biggest political, electoral, and cultural problems

theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
Biden won
- all of the 20 largest cities
- 80% of the vote in Manhattan, Boston, & SF
- metro Atlanta by 800k votes
- the 4 major TX metros by 900k votes

That sounds pretty good! But there are three big risks in Democrats' metro coalition:
1. The electoral problem

The Democrats’ metro reliance is a horror-show in the Senate, given the low density of so many small states. In 2018, Democratic Senate candidates won 18 million more votes than Republicans nationwide; and Dems still LOST two net Senate seats.
Read 8 tweets

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