Here's the reality the GOP is facing: They encouraged the radicalization of their base which resulted in said base having less loyalty to the party than to their Cult Leader. They also can't win w/out this base, but their radicalization just cost them Georgia. Thrice.
Even better: the behavior of their Cult Leader over the past 2 months probably gave a boost to last night's historic loss. Turns out aiding a coup both depressed their own base & displeased marginal swing voters. Going full-KKK wasn't enough to make up the difference.
I fully expect the GOP will not course correct & will become more fully populated w/ Q-Anon types. The question is whether or not this is a path to larger electoral victory for them outside of deep red zones & the occasional electoral fluke.
Trump's (& the GOP's) biggest strategic error after 2016 was not to recognize the event was statistically improbable & required multiple marginal factors to occur. They did *nothing* to expand their appeal. But just leaned further into their radical base.
Now they lost Georgia.
Now they lost Georgia.
Also, they are now facing the reality that the November election featured historically high turnout on their end and they *still* lost. And not only did they lose. They lost AZ & GA, previous strongholds.
Now, do I have confidence that the future is bright? No. There are enough structural disadvantages to help their minority rule.
That said, regardless of the future, *today* they are panicking & w/ good reason. reliance on structural disadvantage ain't where you want to be.
That said, regardless of the future, *today* they are panicking & w/ good reason. reliance on structural disadvantage ain't where you want to be.
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