Over the years, I’ve had a lot of discussions with Facebook officials about how engagement-based, algorithmic social media changes people.
They tend to argue it doesn’t: It just reveals what’s there. If you don't like how people really are, well, sorry!
But this great @CWarzel/@StuartAThompson piece shows otherwise. Yes, social media works with the raw material of people’s interests and temperament. But it rewards some of parts of us, and not others. nytimes.com/2021/01/14/opi…
We all like the feeling of praise, likes, retweets. That's *particularly* true if we're not getting enough validation in other areas of our life. And so we lean harder in those directions. The parts of us that work online become bigger.
This happens in non-political arenas, too. And often it's good -- you find communities, belonging, prestige, a voice, that your physical location or life circumstances wouldn't have afforded. This was, and often still is, amazing. Ie, Sea Shanty TikTok!
But I'm most interested in the way it changes our politics at scale: The parts of our politics and political personals that work online grow. The parts that don't work fade. That changes the agenda, it changes us. (Tl,dr: Marshall McLuhan was right.)
Biden is the exception that proves the rule. He didn't need to compete on social media for attention because he was Obama's VP. I think the consensus is that's been an advantage for him. But very few politicians, or media figures, can act that way now.
And Biden was also different because he rose up in politics before the era of social media, and so wasn't shaped by its incentives, by what it rewarded and what it ignored. That won't be true in the future.
I'm not saying social media is all bad here. Nor that this is new — television changed us, and every medium before it. But social media does change us, and this is an unusually good window into some particularly clear examples: nytimes.com/2021/01/14/opi…
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The media faced a version of this for years. Ignore Trump's worst comments, his most noxious followers, and you're normalizing horrifying behavior. Cover them and you're giving them exactly what they want: Attention, energy.
It was always lose-lose. There was no good strategy.
The same is true with the platforms. Allow Trump and his minions untrammeled use and you become planning and promotional infrastructure for, eventually, a murderous insurrection. Kick them off and you're censors, wielding power few are comfortable you have.
You should read this whole piece by @TimAlberta. One thing it makes clear: It's not just that "the fringe" no longer exists. It's that what was recently seen as the fringe is now the majority of, at least, the House Republican Conference. politico.com/news/magazine/…
But Washington is full of incentives — from wanting to be seen as evenhanded, to wanting to book House Republicans on shows, to wanting to maintain good sourcing, to wanting House Rs to vote for your bills or meet with your lobbyists — to face that fact clearly.
.@NormOrnstein and Thomas Mann have talked about the consequences that followed their book, the way the media boxed them in as partisans, rather than, as was the case, experts whose reputations should've been burnished for taking professional risk to voice their true conclusions.
I've been thinking about this great @sarahkliff@sangerkatz piece on what Senate Democrats can and can't do on health care, which dives into what budget reconciliation allows.
It's true that budget reconciliation has all kinds of weird rules that make ambitious policy hard. And for the record, I loathe the budget reconciliation process. It's enormously stupid and destructive.
Rather than getting rid of the filibuster, senators abuse an unrelated legislative process that protects bills from the filibuster at the cost of worsening them substantively, and warping the priorities of the entire institution. See argument 6 here. vox.com/21424582/filib…
I want to be careful in how I say this because obviously you can't just break into the Capitol and desecrate offices and hit police officers with pipes. People should be arrested. But I don't think they should be our focus.
These people were lied to, over and over, by officials at the highest levels of the American government, people with power and, presumably, knowledge. They trusted the President, and Republican members of Congress, to tell them the truth, and they believed what they were told.
And what they were told was that a crime of astonishing proportions had been committed. Power over the US government itself had been stolen, in broad daylight. And the thieves were just going to get away with it. Electoral politics had failed.
"where the key division is all about who rules rather than what is done with power"
This is why the identity politics discourse is so backwards: The GOP is increasingly built on pure identity politics, while the Democratic coalition is still built on policy transactionalism.
Because Democrats have to mediate between different groups with different interests to hold their party together, they have to ground their politics in actual policy deliverables.
It's a disciplining internal structure, and there's no real analogue on the GOP side.
I make this argument in my book, but the thing we call "identity politics" is often most visible when it is weakest — when there's competition between different groups with different interests, the role of identity is obvious. When one group is hegemonic, it's often ignored.
So Brian Deese will likely lead the National Economics Council. Deese spent the last few years running "sustainable investing" at BlackRock, which kicked off controversy among climate activists, but I think this is good news for climate policy, for a simple reason:
Even if Deese isn't your ideal of climate policymaker, he's the only plausible candidate for NEC whose actual focus and expertise is climate policy. And a WH where the NEC is led by a climate hawk is going to be quite different than one where climate is siloed elsewhere.
To lay my biases on the table first: I reported on Deese's work throughout the Obama administration, and have a lot of respect for him as someone who gets hard things done in government, wants to do the right thing, and grasps policy debates unnervingly fully and quickly.