I think this is psychologically unrealistic. I agree that this is what should happen, morally. But it's extremely unlikely.

We all have trouble fully believing what's happened, even though we can describe it. You've said many times, "It's a cult."

Yes. It is. Ergo--
--The belief system isn't rational. Heaven's Gate members didn't revise their beliefs because extraterrestrials didn't contact them when the Comet Hale-Bopp passed. To the contrary.

Adherents to a cult won't renounce it no matter what happens.
It's meeting psychological needs at a very different level from any part of the brain with which we can have a debate.

You've observed many times, I think, that this is a cult, yet you can't quite believe it: You're still trying to remonstrate with the adherents. It won't work.
You can't reason them out of it because they weren't reasoned into it. You can't shame them out of it because all that does is activate their defense mechanisms. Talking about their oaths is pointless; they're in the grip of a religion that supersedes it.
This really is what you say it is: a cult. That's not just a figure of speech.

I don't know what will work to get them back, but definitely, this won't.
You won't get the satisfaction of hearing them say, "I was wrong." The best we can hope for is that with the diminished visibility of the cult leader, he loses his grip on people's minds.

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More from @ClaireBerlinski

17 Jan
Mesmerizing, eerie photo of Washington for this article. By Stefani Reynolds, who doesn't seem to be on Twitter--probably a good decision--but if someone knows her, tell her I thought this photo was a true work of art. nytimes.com/2021/01/16/us/…
I can't stop looking at it: the composition, the color, the beauty and the sense of menace. Tells a whole story without a single human face. I wonder how much of that was accidental and how much of it Reynolds' genius? I always wonder about that, with photography--
even though it's clear that some photographers have many more happy accidents than others, and thus that photographs like this aren't an accident.
Read 9 tweets
16 Jan
The blockbuster claim is, "The U.S. government has reason to believe that several researchers inside the WIV became sick in autumn 2019, before the first identified case of the outbreak, with symptoms consistent with both COVID-19 and common seasonal illnesses." But ...
The phrasing is weird. The US government has reason to believe that several researchers exhibited symptoms in August 2019 consistent *both* with Covid19 and "common seasonal illnesses." Does this mean they have reason to believe researchers had a cold?
It's not a blockbuster claim unless there's special reason to think these were Covid19 symptoms. People used to get colds all the time--before we all went into lockdown and began compulsively sanitizing ourselves.
Read 7 tweets
14 Jan
We answer all the common questions that newcomers to coups might have. Such as: claireberlinski.substack.com/p/coups-succes…
Is it normal to have mixed feelings about your coup?

Help! We had a coup and now I'm embarrassed to admit I supported it!
Do coups make democracy better? A guide for the perplexed.

Hey, wasn't there a big-deal coup in Russia after the USSR collapsed, with Yeltsin? How'd that turn out for Russia?
Read 6 tweets
14 Jan
The other day @DovSFriedman sent me a link to this mesmerizing newsletter by
@Patrick_Wyman. patrickwyman.substack.com He sent it to me because of the post you'll see first, if you look. But last night, before falling asleep, I looked at the older posts:
and I found them riveting. patrickwyman.substack.com/p/the-americas…

Much more interesting, in a sense, than the first post. I knew almost nothing about Clovis culture; and still know almost nothing except that it would be fascinating to know more.
And all of this took place very recently, if you think of it in any logical way. And there's something calming about thinking of these things--as the title of the blog suggests--in a bigger perspective.
Read 6 tweets
14 Jan
Turkification too. And many other parliaments, including the Taiwanese. The question I'm asking myself is not, "Why is this so shocking," as much as, "Why are are so shocked?" The US had a civil war! In almost generational memory, with untold bloodshed! bbc.com/news/av/world-…
Why do we not have this historic memory at *ready* access when we ask ourselves "What is the world like?"

I certainly had it *at access,* which is a different thing. I've studied that war avidly; I was and remain fascinated by it; but my perspective was so distorted:
I thought "we" defeated the Confederacy (and became the United States into which I was born in 1968--a child whose grandparents had all arrived there after the turn of the century) But that *is* the genius of historic forgetfulness--
Read 8 tweets
12 Jan
Pompeo is a perfect example of this thing that just baffles me. He owes America *everything.* His grandparents immigrated from dirt-poor regions of Italy at the turn of the C19th. He graduated *first in his class* at West Point.
He has a law degree from Harvard. He was the editor of the Harvard Law Review. Went to DC and joined a blue-chip firm. Also made a fortune in private enterprise. America gave the grandson of dirt-poor immigrants the opportunity to do all of that.
He knows *damned well* what the Constitution says.

He's also seen enough of the world to know *damned well* how lucky he was to grow up in a country at peace, governed by that Constitution--and to know *damned well* what happens to a country in a civil war
Read 17 tweets

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