It's Monday, so that means the latest real estate data from @AltosResearch and man the leading indicators are all aligning for another big year of home price appreciation.
1/5
On the inventory watch, we're down to just 389,000 single family homes on the market. Many new listings are getting offers so quickly they're bypassing our active market data and just going straight to pending-contract. 2/5
What's inventory going to look like throughout the year? Fingers crossed that we get a more seasonal pattern in listings this year, trough in a couple weeks at 370,000 or so, peak in 3Q at only 5670,000 or so. A million would be healthy/normal.
3/5
All this means that home prices and the leading indicators of where transaction prices will take place in Feb/Mar/Apr are spiking. The blue line here will surpass last year's peak in just a few weeks.
4/5
More details and context in this week's 6 minute market data video. Real estate data geeks, don't miss!
5/5
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
Available inventory is of course still the story. We're starting the year with just 419,000 homes one the market. Last year was 763,000. It wasn't that long ago when we'd start the year with 1 million or more active inventory. 1/5
New Years' is always the lowest listing volume and this year we're at just 23,000 new listings. That'll jump this week. Fingers crossed that inventory follows a more normal pattern this year so we can meet some of the demand out there. 2/5
US single family home prices ended 2020 up 10% over 2019. Unreal. Like all the booming financial markets, real estate remains unhindered by any pandemic negative impact. Keep an eye on the gray line here for the steep jump that'll happen next week.