Groupthink - a thread

1. Imagine where you are in a group & someone asks what is 3 + 3? You know the answer is 6. But everyone in the group says it’s 7. You know they are wrong, but you go along with them anyway. You’re doing something that’s wrong for the sake of conformity.
2. If you are in that situation, and many of us have been in such situations, you are a victim of Groupthink. This is a way of thinking whereby an individual member of a group sacrifices his viewpoint in favour of what he/she perceives to be the consensus of the group.
3. The theory was first coined by social psychologist, Irving Janis in 1972. It helps to examine why even intelligent people in a group end up making wrong, even calamitous decisions when they knew or should have known better. They put aside their beliefs, in favour of the group.
4. The trouble with Groupthink is that it shuts off alternative ways of looking at issues and decision-making. The louder or more powerful ones set the tone & the rest are forced by social pressures to conform even if they have better ideas.
5. Janis pointed out several signs of Groupthink. They include self-censorship: even when they know better, members keep quiet & follow the group. They cannot even bring themselves to accept that the leader is wrong. They have an illusion that the group can’t be wrong.
6. Another is the presence of so-called “mind guards”. Their role is to police the boundaries of the group, stamping down on dissent & killing off alternatives. They vehemently defend what the leader and his/her associates say, for that sets the tone for the whole group.
7. Groups that are susceptible to Groupthink tend to have a powerful and charismatic leader. In such groups, the leader holds a strong moral & authoritative position. It is taboo to say he/she is wrong. He/she speaks and everyone follows because they can’t possibly be wrong.
8. Problem is that Groupthink often leads to poor decision-making because there is no room for or tolerance for dissent. The individual’s faculty of critical thinking is sacrificed for Groupthink. Even if one knows this is wrong, they just go along with it anyway, for the group
9. One solution is to encourage critical thinking and independence of thought. Individuals must unlearn Groupthink. They must escape the shackles of conforming when they know that the group or the leader is wrong. This is not easy especially in a cultic environment.
10. Critical thinking means questioning things; going beyond the surface. Question the assumptions or evidence upon which assertions are made. Consider the evidence & ask if it adds up. Ask if the speaker has the expertise & if what they are saying makes any logical sense.
11. As I said, we are all victims of Groupthink at one point or another, so this is not to mock. It simply requests us to be more aware of this phenomenon and how it affects us. When we do that we will be able to confront the great questions of the day & make informed decisions.
12. There has been a lot of Groupthink in this time of the pandemic. It’s good for people to question things, to be critical, but it’s also important to be responsible, to present evidence-based arguments especially for those who are in positions of power. Or we risk more harm.

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More from @Wamagaisa

18 Jan
1. Senator @MKomichi my attention has been drawn to your public post below. We have worked together well in the past, so the respect is mutual. However, I have to say it has been much diminished by your conduct last year when you joined in the subversion of the people’s will.
2. The arrogance and pleasure with which you & your chums wielded the axe against fellow MPs & councillors was a most horrendous & disagreeable sight. A man does not urinate on the heads of people & then ask them why they are unhappy with him. It was you who threw stones first.
3. Therefore, Senator, with great respect, you’re not in a position to take the moral high ground as you’re trying to do; playing the humble servant when there’s utter carnage behind you. You should look those people - voters, MPs, councillors - in the eye & at least apologise
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16 Jan
1. If it hasn’t dawned on the regime, then its security apparatus is sleeping on the wheel. The pandemic is a national security risk. Instead of pursuing coercion against political opponents, the regime should be prioritising the COVID19 defence strategy.
2. Last year, a colleague said the pandemic has the potential to cause a fundamental rearrangement of the political landscape. At the time, the risk seemed low. The regime & everyone went about their business as if it wasn’t a big problem. Not anymore.
3. Some in the regime defied the very laws they had crafted, part of the arrogance that comes with too much power. They even held parties. But even as they applied the law selectively against the poor, they forgot that this pandemic does not discriminate based on power or wealth.
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12 Jan
1. Looming Chitungwiza Demolitions & the Hand of ZANU PF

There are two types of pandemics in Zimbabwe: the COVID19 pandemic & authoritarianism. I have written before about the structure of governance in local authorities & how ZANU PF has Power but takes no Responsibility.
2. Information at hand reveals plans for demolitions in Chitungwiza in the middle of the COVID19 pandemic. This letter dated 12/01/21 on demolitions is from the Director of Works to the Acting Town Clerk. These are ministerial appointees. The CSO is the Chief Security Officer.
3. For the source of all power you have to go to the office of the Minister of Local Government. Minister July Moyo tells the Mayor what to do, including to reverse a council resolution & to supply a list of properties for demolition. I told you the Minister has all the power.
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9 Jan
1. Today, the regime’s propaganda machine @HeraldZimbabwe published a story with a picture of celebrated human rights lawyer Beatrice Mtetwa. But this wasn’t the Beatrice Mutetwa who is a senior government official. Technically, the paper published a falsehood. Any charge? No ImageImageImage
2. It was either an error or mischief. If it was an error, these things happen in journalism. Sometimes you just get things wrong, however careful you might be. It’s not a crime. The irony is that the regime is persecuting Hopewell Chin’ono & Job Sikhala for alleged falsehoods.
3. They posted a story which scores if not 100s posted because they genuinely believed it was true. It turned out it wasn’t. The Herald also published a falsehood. Even if they changed the picture, they had done what Job & Hopewell had done. But no one is arresting the editors.
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8 Jan
1. Remember the strategy of Lawfare? It’s a favourite of the Mnangagwa regime. It has normalised selective application of the law aided by the lack of resistance to it. That’s why Fantan & Levels are in jail while ministers like Mutsvangwa & Kazembe who violated same laws aren’t.
2. That’s why Hopewell Chin’ono has been arrested and Job Sikhala is threatened with arrest for something that was in the public domain & was done by scores of people. State media journalists lie everyday, nobody arrests them. The targeting is political, no doubt.
3. So far we have seen Lawfare at the level of arrests & denial of bail. But the Fantan & Levels’ case represents something more ominous: conviction & sentencing. This is the next stage of Lawfare. That case is the start of normalisation of convictions and jailing proper.
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5 Jan
1. The COVID19 pandemic is a reminder of the scourge of global inequality. Zimbabwe and the U.K. announced new national lockdowns within a day of each other. The U.K. government is offering more grants so firms can stay afloat. The Zimbabwean government is offering nothing.
2. Wealthy countries have spent billions of dollars intervening in their economies to save businesses. Free market fundamentalism is in abeyance during the crisis. Poor countries on the other hand have not done much to cushion their populations. They simply don’t have the means.
3. The same pattern applies to vaccines. Wealthy countries bought millions of vaccine doses well in advance. They have already started the roll outs. Their poorer cousins are waiting, many of them have to rely on handouts. After all their health budgets are funded by donors.
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