Thread by @CoronaReduit

1/n
economics expert group of @SwissScience_TF asks for feedback on recent document on trade-offs.
here is ours.
@Marius_Brulhart @rlalive @MonikaBuetler
cc: @davidstadelmann
sciencetaskforce.ch/policy-brief/w…

2/n
vaccination is stimulus: yes.
the paper is built around the axiom of rapid vaccination of the vulnerable and everybody else.
is this realistic? prove it!
head of Swiss vaccination commission, Christoph Berger, expects herd immunity in 5-10 YEARS.
nzz.ch/schweiz/kurzin…

3/n
A. cantons HIDE vaccination data
B. anecdotal evidence show there is hesitance among the general population and nurses
C. low temperature logistics are complicated
D. elderly vaccination is complicated due to consent requirements from legal guardians
nzz.ch/zuerich/corona…

4/n why not mention natural immunity?
We have over 500'000 cases and probably 3x more infections = 17% of population
Virus does not care how antibodies and T cells were acquired
Antibody tests have synergies with vaccinations
Only non-exposed need vaccination @davidstadelmann

5/n collapse of the health care system. NO evidence for that.
measures were tightened on January 18th again.
Hospitalizations and deaths are down 70% and 50% since mid November with milder measures. no data to advocate for more now. B117 was present in October.

6/n costs of excess mortality are calculated using life expectancy values for the avg 84 (M) and 87 (F) year old. specificities of elderly care are not taken into account at all. we briefed the task force about this in June 2020. frailty > comorbidities

https://twitter.com/CoronaReduit/status/1349786548397617155