Brian Beutler Profile picture
Jan 23, 2021 16 tweets 6 min read Read on X
Three thoughts recurred reading this.

1. The theory that ex-presidents can’t be tried by the Senate is fake, conjured in bad faith to give GOP sens cover to acquit without stating the truth: they’re OK with the right using violence to subvert democracy.
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2. If and when Republicans acquit Trump on false pretext, Democrats must pivot immediately to a measure disqualifying insurrectionists from office under the 14th amendment—they might even warn Republicans that they’ll face this vote before the trial ends. nytimes.com/2021/01/12/opi…
3. This whole saga is an object lesson in the pitfalls of timidity and foot dragging. The original sin here was recessing the House in the hope of turning the page instead instead of voting on the impeachment within hours of the insurrection.
This was utterly predictable and predicted, beginning on the evening of Jan 6, before Dem leaders agreed to recess Congress.
Quibble: it isn’t just a talking point. It’s a knowing lie. None of them believed it until they realized they’d have to vote post-presidency, at which point they (with the help of dishonest legal “scholars”) began pretending it was a long-held principle.
Can’t overstate the importance of reporters conveying that this position was fabricated rapidly to give Republican senators dishonest cover to acquit Trump. Clearly evident in the genesis of the talking point.
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With a h/t to @steve_vladeck, the fact that Turley held the opposite view until Trump faced a post-presidency impeachment trial, and then fabricated an argument for Republicans who want to lie about why they'll vote to acquit HAS to be part of the story.
Remember, they don’t believe this argument, they invented it over the past three weeks to obscure the true meaning of their coming votes to acquit: that they are OK with the right-wing using corruption and violence to subvert democracy.
Would be helpful to note that not a single Republican senator claiming to be certain that trying a former president is unconstitutional is telling the truth. They invented this idea in the last few weeks, with the help of a handful of unscrupulous legal “scholars.”
Today would be a great day for the MSM to discover that the Republicans pretending to believe you can’t impeach a former president more or less invented that idea a few weeks ago to cover their asses and help Trump get away with it. It’s all made up.
Exactly. I believe the coverage of the GOP position has been more than a bit too credulous, but this presentation may be overwhelming enough to persuade the refs to acknowledge that those Republicans are lying. One can hope anyhow.
Remember, all the Republicans voting no are lying. Every one of them.
If Republicans acquit Trump then run to the press to claim they were obligated to because of the lie they invented about the trial's unconstitutionality, Dems really must bring legislation disqualifying insurrectionists under the 14th amendment to the floor immediately.

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More from @brianbeutler

Jun 11
Recent reporting suggests Biden world understands that his abysmal approval is rooted in a rotten info environment more than material reality. That’s the good news. The bad news is they’ve developed a defeatist mentality, instead of trying more things. offmessage.net/p/joe-biden-im…
The short version is Biden turned the page on Trump too quickly, allowing Trump to revise the history of his presidency AND pin blame for everything post-Jan 20, 2021 on Biden. Three-plus years later, that’s not an easy problem to fix without time travel. offmessage.net/p/joe-biden-im…
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But I think there’s a way: conceptualize the universe of people who might be persuaded that the CW about the economy is wrong, and speak to them in a different register than Dems typically use. offmessage.net/p/joe-biden-im…

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Read 4 tweets
Jun 10
New: Republicans hope to intimidate Democrats out of abandoning their advantages with aggressive posturing, but they’re really just leading with their chins. offmessage.net/p/republicans-…
The bad news: this has clearly worked on some Dems (cf @PaulBegala). The good news is, once you spot the con, it’s easy to detect in later instances. h/t @joshtpm offmessage.net/p/republicans-…
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When @EWErickson and @JDVance1 insist they’re mad about Joe Biden campaigning on democracy and attacking Trump’s contempt for veterans, it’s not because they think Biden did anything wrong. It’s because they know Biden hit his target. offmessage.net/p/republicans-…
Read 4 tweets
May 31
1. @GregTSargent is obviously right that “A guilty verdict is powerful new information,” and that, “We should hold institutional Democrats responsible if they don’t use it, and use it ruthlessly and effectively.” newrepublic.com/article/182111…
2. But I think we’ve already reached that point.
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3. Call it the eruption of a political supervolcano! Devastating, shameful, humiliating news for the GOP, which has lashed itself to a felon—the biggest crook in US political history by a mile. What’ll make this a nothingburger is Democrats’ apparent determination to make it one.
Read 4 tweets
May 29
New today: Business leaders cozying back up to Trump don’t just offer up laughable excuses. They also evince terrible critical thinking skills. The logic is there, it just reflects poor logical reasoning and reckless risk tolerance. offmessage.net/p/why-are-thes…

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One thing people like Stephen Schwarzman might consider is: What would’ve happened if Trump’s coup attempt had been even just a bit more successful: No certification on Jan 6, a scramble to transfer power after January 20, more street violence. offmessage.net/p/why-are-thes…
But even stipulating that a second Trump term will be relatively “normal”—no crises or coups, just familiar erraticism and partial success implementing his agenda—why do any of these guys think they’ll be better off than just continuing the Biden era? offmessage.net/p/why-are-thes…

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Read 4 tweets
May 22
As it happens, before Durbin’s most recent preemptive surrender this week, I wrote about specific ways he *could* use his power now. To wit: unearth Alito’s unlogged votes and unstated reasoning wherever the Court has done quiet favors for Trump. offmessage.net/p/expose-the-s…
Biden, who has also been inert here, could do his part by lifting his embargo on exploiting Trump’s criminal exposure, making it easier for Senate Dems to hold Alito, Thomas, Cannon, et al accountable. offmessage.net/p/lacking-camp…
Then on Politix, we discussed the institutional asymmetries between Dems and Republicans that makes it necessary to apply pressure in this way, where Republicans would just know to react aggressively. politix.fm/p/big-alito-li…
Read 4 tweets
Nov 15, 2023
New: I don’t know how things will shake out early next year, but I think it was a mistake for Dems to agree to decouple certain domestic appropriations from defense (sorry, the “ladder approach”) as ransom to the GOP to avoid a Thanksgiving shutdown. offmessage.net/p/shoots-and-l…
This all happened very fast, and because the Freedom Caucus is mad and Republicans are cosplaying Street Fighter, most of the coverage has taken it as a given that Mike Johnson caved. I’m not so sure. offmessage.net/p/shoots-and-l…
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Democrats have conceded “take it or leave it” leverage that comes with omnibus bills and clean CRs, allowing Republicans in principle to demagogue their way to full defense appropriations while shutting down or gutting other departments. offmessage.net/p/shoots-and-l…
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Read 5 tweets

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