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25 Jan, 4 tweets, 1 min read
So if this does happen, my guess would be that a stay-at-home order would remain in place in LA County because we approved one before the state’s was imposed. Same with outdoor dining. But I guess we’ll find out tomorrow!

Never a dull day during the pandemic...
Things in LA are trending in the right direction, but they’re still bad! There are still 6,697 hospitalized with COVID in LA County. At the peak in the summer, there were 2,200. Easing up now, before things are fully better, would set us up for that dreaded surge upon surge.
The only reason we were able to turn things around in LA is because people reallyyyy cut down on their activities. And that’s great and we should be proud of ourselves. But we all know by now what happens when we stop doing those things 👀
this is what happens when the virus is widespread and we let up!!!!!! latimes.com/california/sto…

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More from @skarlamangla

Soumya Profile picture
26 Jan
So Gov. Newsom announced that the stay-at-home orders are being lifted. I talked to a bunch of epidemiologists to see what they were thinking about the news. Just like the public, their reactions varied widely
Some experts thought it was too soon. California has just started to turn around its numbers and it doesn't make sense to reopen things before they get lower, they said, because if there's another surge it will build upon this one that isn't over yet
UC Berkeley's Dr. John Swartzberg said that California has reopening too soon too many times.

“It’s like we’re climbing this mountain. We go two steps up and we just take one step back, and we take two steps up from there and one step back and we keep just having more cases."
Read 11 tweets
Soumya Profile picture
25 Jan
A happy San Francisco Mayor London Breed says that Gov. Newsom's lifting of the stay-at-home order is good news. The city's COVID numbers are all trending downwards and outdoor dining can resume. "It's good news."
"You can get your hair done, you can get your nails done," starting on Thursday, Breed says. Outdoor museums, zoos, outdoor entertainment like skateparks and indoor funerals for up to 12 people were all banned but now will reopen on Thursday.
There will also be capacity increases at grocery stores and retail shops, Breed says.
Read 5 tweets
Soumya Profile picture
25 Jan
Gov. Newsom just started his press conference. It's gonna be a doozy!
Newsom says that ICU capacity will be above 15% across the state by Feb. 21st Image
Gavin is really Gavin-ing today: "The goal of this announcement is to socialize our projections as well as illuminate and further advance an understanding, a deeper understanding, of what today means and it doesn't mean."
Read 7 tweets
Soumya Profile picture
25 Jan
after California instated stay-at-home orders for most of the state in early December, our mobility -- a measure of how much everyone is moving around -- dropped to the lowest level since May. that undoubtedly helped turn around our terrible surge
maybe the rules can be loosened as things are improving, but they're barely improving! there are still way too many people in the hospital and health care workers are still stretched so thin ... like, look at this graph Image
the worst-case scenario we talked about so much, the surge-upon-a-surge, was about what would happen if there was a Christmas or NYE surge on top of the Thanksgiving/fall surge. as in, what happens when cases are already really high and they start growing again...
Read 13 tweets
Soumya Profile picture
25 Jan
California officials just announced that the regional stay-at-home orders have been lifted across the state.
There were three regions that were under the order as of today – San Joaquin Valley, Bay Area and Southern California -- and are no longer. Sacramento already exited on Jan. 12.
“Californians heard the urgent message to stay home as much as possible and accepted that challenge to slow the surge,” said state public health officer Dr. Tomás Aragón. “Together, we changed our activities knowing our short-term sacrifices would lead to longer-term gains."
Read 9 tweets
Soumya Profile picture
23 Jan
I just realized that an Indian folktale my dad told me when I was a kid prepared me to cover COVID and my mind is blown. so this is how it goes:

(stay tuned if you want to understand how COVID outbreaks seem to suddenly become unstoppable!)
an Indian king made all of his subjects give him the rice they grew every year and didn't leave them any of the surplus. then there was a famine and the villagers had no rice and the king wouldn't give them any because he wanted to save it for himself
a smart little girl convinced the king to give her just one grain of rice today and then for the next thirty days, double the rice he had given her the day before. so tomorrow, he'd give her two grains, the next day four grains, and so on for thirty days
Read 12 tweets

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