First, it's not an impasse, because there's no duty to bargain over things that are already in the CBA.

Second, the Commissioner cannot unilaterally suspend the opening of the season.

The only way MLB is going to get MLBPA to the table to negotiate over a later season start 1/
expanded playoffs, and the other bells and whistles, is if it agrees to something similar to the MLBPA's proposal from 2020 regarding the split of additional playoff TV revenue, maybe also other revenue such as streaming too. I don't say this based on any insider info. 2/
It's based on the status quo labor agreement, what the PA wants in the next round of term negotiations, and how it can leverage now to get what it wants moving forward. It has no incentive to agree to something less now. It only has disincentive. The deal to change things now 3/
can't just be for one year. It must be the template agreement for the future too.

This is what is most complicated for any new negotiations now and what will eventually the biggest issue for the term CBA.

It was the biggest issue in 2020 also, but it was obscured by a lot of 4/
hue and cry about other things. Eventually the real issue came to the surface publicly when all of the BS was eventually conceded by management.

Expaned playoffs means expanded revenue. If that revenue is not linked directly to player salaries it won't be passed along. 5/
That's especially true if winning is disincentivized in the regular season, which it is by expanding the playoffs.

It's actually a lot of interrelated issues. MLB wants to book the win on them in advance. The PA has no reason to do so, unless it's a reasonable, long-term 6/
deal, making progress on the things it doesn't like in the current CBA. It can just let the CBA run its course, get its members 100% of their salaries this year and telling them to start saving their money for next year's potential labor stoppage. /end

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More from @EugeneFreedman

25 Jan
There are two paragraphs in this article that are frustrating. The first:
"A typical negotiation includes offers and counter-offers, but the league’s proposal did not lead to further discussion. Only last week did the league learn that the union had rejected its offer," 1/x
"and that the union would not counter it."

The second: Players last season received a combined $25 million in salary per day league-wide, so eliminating 26 days in April would cost them $650 million. But the league probably can make up a chunk of those days with split" 2/x
"doubleheaders, play into mid-October and possibly get to 154 games, at full pay. The players might want other benefits. The postseason would then extend into November, perhaps forcing the league to take a hit in its network television deals. But all of the elements" 3/x
Read 10 tweets
12 Jan
I just linked to my previous thread on this subject. I probably should also create a long thread in which I analyze the CBA provision related to national emergencies. I had some dialog with a national baseball writer that I will now thread for others to read. 1/x
I took a screenshot of the provision b/c it's too big to fit in one tweet. 2/x Image
The first thing that’s notable about it, compared to other force majeure provisions, is that it is in the Uniform Players Contract, not the CBA. The UPC is an appendix to the CBA, so it has the same force and effect, but applies to each player individually, not all players 3/x
Read 24 tweets
16 Jul 20
Here we are. We have an agreement, the season is moving forward, and @BNightengale is still carrying owners' water and posting their outrageous opinions about how it's all the Union's fault. Let's break it down in a thread.

Jerry Reinsdorf is one of the key architects of 1/
collusion. For those who don't remember, from 1985-87 MLB engaged in a violation of the CBA to prevent free agents from receiving any offers from any team other than their original team. It was a direct violation of the CBA. Andre Dawson had to offer a blank contract to the 2/
Cubs. Tim Raines, who was perhaps the best player in baseball at the time, was not offered a single contract and missed an entire month of play before returning to the Expos. Over three arbitration cases the owners had to pay millions of dollars in damages. Reinsdorf was on 3/
Read 18 tweets
23 Jun 20
Apparently there are a lot of columns declaring a pox on both houses today regarding MLB/MLBPA failing to reach an agreement. What's missing in that superficial analysis is that they DID reach agreement. The reached it nearly 3 months ago. The parties are now agreeing to live
with the agreement they reached, which provides MLBPA represented players with pro rata pay and the Commissioner with the authority to set the schedule after meeting certain criteria and discussing things with the PA. It did not require negotiations.

This outcome is a win-win
Here is a thread explaining why this is a win-win at this point:

But, there's more than that. And, it's an analysis based on the outcome and not the methods of achieving that outcome.
Read 15 tweets
17 Jun 20
This article by @KenDavidoff may have set a new low for both-sidesim. It completely ignores facts and doubles down on a completely and utterly debunked "smoking" published by @Joelsherman1. A short retort 1/
Davidoff: "With Major League Baseball dangling on a branch on the side of a cliff above shark-infested waters, in the wake of Manfred’s announcement Monday that he won’t unilaterally implement a 2020 restart schedule after all"

Wait, what? MLB is reaching out an olive branch
Actually, what has happened is MLB has walked itself back into a corner & needs a way out. MLB has attempted to renegotiate a mutually agreed March agreement. There is no reciprocal duty for the parties to do that, so the PA has said "no" about two dozen times publicly
Read 17 tweets
16 Jun 20
This article is a series of management falsehoods, presenting itself as a path forward. It's scary how a reporter would have missed everything that has gone on over the past few months, but apparently this one has. Let me hit the high notes in a thread 1/
Nightengale: "You don’t need a Twitter account to know the union and players are furious at Manfred. You don’t need to turn on the TV or radio to know that owners are incensed with the union." Why would the owners be incensed with the Union? Because they want to adhere to 2/
the contract they agreed to March 26? We hate that you agreed with us. We don't agree with ourselves anymore, so we are incensed with you. This is classic both-sides garbage. One party wants to break the negotiated agreement. The other party should be furious. 3/
Read 17 tweets

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