Did Schumer win the fight with McConnell? I'm less certain on this than others. He certainly didn't lose it. Sinema and Manchin simply said what they've said before on the filibuster. On that level, McConnell got nothing new.
But another way of looking at it is this: McConnell engaged in the most blatant, ridiculous act of obstructionism imaginable, and instead of telling him that if he kept it up, they'd take that power from him, key Dems reassured him that they'd never take that power from him.
I'd have much preferred to see this end by Manchin, Sinema, and other Democrats saying they didn't want to get rid of the filibuster, even on organizing resolutions, but if McConnell didn't cut it out, they'd have no choice.
McConnell's demonstration here is that in a 50-50 Senate with a filibuster, he can make anything miserable for the Democrats, even the simple resolution to organize the Senate. And while he backed down, he wasn't punished for it.
So did McConnell get what he wanted here? No. Democrats didn't agree to a resolution further protecting the filibuster. But did this episode augur a Senate that will get much done in the next two years? Also no.
The key thing I heard today was Schumer telling @maddow that he's ready to use budget reconciliation to pass most of the Rescue Act, and it certainly seems Democrats are considering expanding that workaround. Where Manchin and Sinema stand on that would tell us a lot.

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More from @ezraklein

27 Jan
This is a good @mattyglesias post about techno-politics but I want to quibble with the part of it that’s about my essay on the policy feedback loops you can build by Just Helping People Fast. Matt writes: slowboring.com/p/you-cant-bla… Image
Over at Mischiefs of Faction, @smotus makes a similar point: mischiefsoffaction.com/post/too-much-… Image
I want to be clear here: I’m saying that the Affordable Care act was, from a political perspective, badly designed, and that *a different health care plan* might’ve led to a better Dem performance in 2010. But these arguments don't grapple with that.
Read 17 tweets
26 Jan
This is a point I've been making forever but people refuse to believe it. The filibuster *diminishes* the incentive to compromise because it lets the minority kill bills and nominations outright. Without it, the choice is a protest "no" vote or compromise where you get something.
So much of the confusion in filibuster discourse comes from thinking that bipartisanship is something the majority needs to be incentivized to seek, rather than something the minority needs incentives to seek. But the reverse is true.
There's obvious reasons for the majority to want bipartisan support: Things are more popular if they're bipartisan, and the majority benefits from popular governance.

The minority has the reverse incentives: they lose if the majority is seen as governing well.
Read 8 tweets
26 Jan
First episode of my new podcast is up! It's with @vivek_murthy, co-chair of Biden’s coronavirus task force, and you can listen to in full here. But I want to pull out some of what he told me in this thread. nytimes.com/2021/01/26/opi…
I asked him whether the FDA was being too conservative on approving rapid, at-home testing (Hi @michaelmina_lab!). “I do think we've been too conservative,” he said. “I do.”
“There's a difference between public health/surveillance testing and diagnostic testing…The FDA to me speaks to our failure to think broadly enough about the kind of testing that we needed.”


Encouraging! Hopefully they can change that, quickly.
Read 12 tweets
25 Jan
I’ve been doing a bunch of reporting on vaccine distribution, and there are a few things that experts inside and outside the administration seem to agree on:
Welp, something failed in the posting here: let's try again!
1. The Trump administration did some real good with Warp Speed, but did very little planning for distribution. The situation the Biden admin walked into was chaotic.
Read 11 tweets
25 Jan
“It was the harassment of my wife, and particularly my children, that upset me more than anything else. They knew where my kids work, where they live.” nytimes.com/2021/01/24/hea…
“One day I got a letter in the mail, I opened it up and a puff of powder came all over my face and my chest. That was very, very disturbing to me and my wife because it was in my office.”

Jesus.
Putting aside the grotesque harassment Fauci received, the whole interview is a window into how lethally dysfunctional the Trump White House was on COVID. How many people could’ve been saved by a competent president and a coordinated response?
Read 4 tweets
21 Jan
I think there’s good evidence that visible, tangible policies create feedback loops - Clinton failing to pass HC isn’t contrary evidence on this score.

But even if I’m wrong, then at least you passed good policies and helped a lot of people before losing!
One other possibility I take seriously but don’t argue in the piece: The book “Stealth Democracy” has a lot of evidence for the idea that what people hate is long, drawn out, angry legislative fighting. Policy preferences are weak, but process aversion is strong.
I suspect that getting rid of the filibuster and just passing lots of big stuff is a better looking process, for all the carping Republicans will do, then fighting in Congress endlessly and not getting much done.
Read 6 tweets

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