(THREAD) If you missed the FB Live, there were 3 very important clues that a tornado was imminent north of Birmingham last night. And @NWSBirmingham saw those clues, reacted quickly, and provided a world-class, lifesaving service to the people in the tornado's path...#alwx
First, there was a pocket of enhanced helicity over northeast Alabama...likely a remnant of the "wedge" front that had brought cooler air into north Georgia and NE Alabama. See that bullseye over Rome, GA? It extends back towards Birmingham. #alwx
Secondly, the reflectivity data showed this storm "tilt" - the overall line was clearly oriented from SW to NE, but just before the tornado formed, it assumed a more S to N orientation. This is often a clue that a QLCS/embedded supercell is about to produce a tornado. #alwx
Finally, the lightning! Lightning mapping showed a very intense, very rapid increase in lightning output as the storm approached I-65 north of Birmingham. This has been shown to be associated with increased rotation.

See for yourself here: #alwx
My friend @cschultzwx links a paper on this: Here's a vital excerpt: "...a consistent pattern of lightning jumps prior to intensification of the low-level mesocyclone either before tornadogenesis or during early intensification of strong-to-violent tornadoes was observed." #alwx
Read the full paper here, if you're into that kind of thing. Hint - if you're a broadcast meteorologist - be into that kind of thing. #alwx

journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/… #alwx

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More from @JoshWeather

26 Jan
(1/x) National media, my name is Josh. I am here to help you cover this story accurately.

1. January tornadoes are not rare in Alabama. Here are the number of tornadoes we've had in the past 5 Januarys:

1/2020: 5
1/2019: 5
1/2018: 0
1/2017: 21
1/2016: 0

31 in 5 years. #alwx
2. This tornado did NOT hit without warning. A Tornado WARNING was issued 8-10 minutes before it hit. A Tornado Watch was issued hours prior

If you want to say it hit with little warning, OK.

If you want to say that some people in the path didn't get the warning, OK.
3. If you air sound from people who say it hit without warning, that's still bad journalism.

If you interview me & I tell you that Papa Smurf sent the storms to take over our mayonnaise supply, you won't air it. Because it's not true.

This matters because its harmful. #alwx
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