Thread by @JC_AFC

Thread | Arsenal Top 4: By the Numbers 🔴⚪️

With Arsenal having won 5 of their last 7 games in the league on the current unbeaten run, talk has quickly shifted from relegation to the chances of making top 4. While our league position has greatly improved, top 4 is still a (1/8)

very unlikely (but not impossible) task that will demand a performance in the last 17 games that would rival a league winning side. Here are the numbers: (2/8)

Over the previous 10 PL seasons, the team finishing in 4th position finished with an average of 71.3 points. Arsenal currently sit with just 31 points through 21 games. (3/8)

That means that over the remaining 17 PL fixtures, Arsenal will need 39 points to reach the 70 point barrier, or 2.3 points per game. The equivalent of an 87 point full season. (4/8)

That is a tall task for a team sitting 9th in the table at the time of this tweet. Especially when you consider that 1st place Man City has only accrued 2.2 points per game this season. (5/8)

In terms of results what that means is that Arsenal would need to rack up 11 wins, 6 draws, and ZERO losses in their remaining games to hit 39 points. Obviously another win would allows for a loss or two, but that would also mean potentially needing to win 12 of 17 league (6/8)

games while also competing in the Europa League. So while top 4 isn’t completely off the table, it will require an unbelievable league run. This is why I have said previously, and continue to say that the Europa League is our best route into Champions League. (7/8)

While I hope we continue to make a good run in the PL, if we lose 2-3 games, we need to immediately shift all our energy to the EL as top 4 at that point would be statistically, a near impossibility. (8/8) #Arsenal 🔴⚪️