The one wrinkle to this I'd add is that there's evidence for a third group (separate from "people who follow rules" and "people who don't") who will follow rules conditionally.

Specifically if they don't see that other people *aren't* and getting away with it.

1/
These are called "contingent cooperators", and the fastest way to lose their cooperation (e.g. free-riding in a tax game) is for them to see other people refusing to cooperate.

And that seems to be a spectrum, with different thresholds for cooperation loss.

2/
Most people feel like fools if they follow the rules and other people don't. Which is both a support for Lane's argument (don't make rules you won't/can't enforce) but also a support for rule-enforcement as a way to encourage cooperation.

3/
Not as a way of deterring people not inclined to follow the rules, but as a way of reassuring those who are *inclined* to follow the rules, but also *strongly* adverse to feeling like they're being made a fool of.

4/
Broadly I agree with Lane that simply passing more laws to prohibit more behavior doesn't help stop someone who already doesn't care about the rules.

But even those of us who otherwise *do* care about the rules are less inclined to follow them when we see them being abused.

5/
It's why audits and tax enforcement are *important* even if they only audit a small number of people and only prosecute an even smaller number: contingent cooperators *need* to see that the rule is "real" and being enforced.

6/6

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More from @apark2453

3 Feb
Oh goddamn the comments responding to this.

Let's rapid-fire some of these, but to begin with the most basic principle:

A sincerely held belief is protected the same as any other, there is no threshold of legitimacy for either the religion or the tenet.

1/
Yes, it costs more money to abide by constitutional and statutory rights than to disregard them. The fact that the source of his belief comes from Wikipedia rather than the Dead Sea Scrolls is irrelevant.

2/ Image
The precedent that "the courts do not assess the legitimacy of a religious belief, just its sincerity" is long-standing.

People imprisoned by any government *should* take advantage of the right to religious accommodation.

3/ Image
Read 14 tweets
1 Feb
I'm not wont to defend Bernie. But come the fuck on.

"The crotchety old Jewish guy dressed for the cold because it was January in Washington D.C didn't seem excited enough" is not white privilege.

But let's look at how to construct a (very dumb) narrative.

1/
First: deploy recognition of white supremacy not as a matter of real inquiry (analysis of what white supremacists advocate, align themselves with, or portray themselves as), but as akin to Potter Stewart on pornography: "we know it when we see it"

2/ Image
This, then, frames the discussion: if "we" see white supremacy, it is there. The only question left is why *others* can't "see".

Eliding, not subtly, the questions of "why do we think this teacher knows what white supremacy looks like" or "how good is her class's judgment?"

3/
Read 8 tweets
8 Dec 20
I *do* want to pick it apart!

And... Wow. This is art.

154 pages.

One entry on the table of contents: "Motion for leave... page 1".

1/
Typically one can sue a group of defendants together whey they acted in concert. It'd be a weird kind of joinder rule to be allowed to file one lawsuit against three different defendants under three different theories of wrongdoing solely because "it's all election stuff".

2/
Each of these is alleged at a different state. None are *true* of course, but even if true I'm not sure why Paxton thinks he can file one suit against all three on three different theories.

And the third is just silly.

3/
Read 76 tweets
8 Dec 20
wsj.com/articles/south…

This is an interesting set of hot takes from the governor overseeing the highest positive testing rate of any state in the country.

I'm sure it won't come as a galloping shock that her "better" numbers are bullshit.

1/
This is already untrue. Cases in the last seven days/100,000 in South Dakota is 98.6. Illinois is 75.6.

If we include data since January 21st, South Dakota's per capita rate is almost twice as high.

But I'm sure we'll stick with "last seven days" throughout, right?

2/
Recent figures are probably the better measure, and Noem is correct to use them. Otherwise we're getting a lot of noise from the early going based on where the virus cropped up. At this point it's everywhere. So current numbers are more indicative of competence

3/
Read 6 tweets
8 Dec 20
Let's take some time to break this down.

Starting with the weird analogy between "actual distribution of species on the planet" and "representation of groups of people in fictional media."

It's a step or two removed, but it's basically the thermian argument.

1/
It requires viewing a fictional world like a continent: it either does or does not have certain things in it and that's just how it goes. There just don't happen to be kangaroos in Europe, so don't complain.

NB: there are, people pay to see them

2/
As no one should need to be reminded of: fictional worlds are not real places. Everything in them is put in them by choice. There's no natural selection, no speciation which leads to some species of birds in some places and not others. Every blade of grass is put in by choice

3/
Read 6 tweets
7 Dec 20
All right, R is off work and can confirm all of this. I'll preface by saying: I definitely got heated after someone suggested I get the gun I didn't know they had and shoot myself in the head.

But I'm getting ahead of myself.

1/
First, to set the stage: both R and I were a bit leery of it to begin with. We'd had get-togethers and in all of the recent ones where were a lot of "those goddamned millennials" talk.

2/
With "millennial" meaning "anyone younger than them" since apparently it covered everyone from school administrators probably only a decade my mother's junior to my younger brother's (currently a college Senior) classmates.

Obviously that's not quite right.

3/
Read 20 tweets

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