China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations (CICIR): 2021 International Outlook

CICIR is one of China's most important think-tanks that is affiliated with the Ministry of State Security and overseen by the Central Committee of the CCP.

Excerpts:

1/n
"The year 2021 marks the 100th anniversary of the founding of the CCP and the opening year of the 14th Five-Year Plan, in which China will embark on a new journey to build a comprehensive socialist modern state and move towards its second centenary goal.
"China's diplomacy will be guided by "Xi Jinping Thought on Diplomacy"... and is based on three key points:

1) The first is to lead the international community to jointly address global challenges, uphold multilateralism and promote global governance.
"2021 marks the 50th anniversary of China's restoration of its legal seat in the United Nations and the 20th anniversary of its accession to the WTO, and China will uphold the central position and role of the UN in international affairs and support the... WTO.
"China will actively participate in the WHO's COVAX, promote int'l cooperation in the fight against epidemics, and promote the building of a "human health community".
"China will organize the Kunming World Biodiversity Conference, promote the implementation of the Paris Agreement by the international community, and actively address climate change through energy conservation and emission reduction.
"2) Secondly, actively manage relations between major powers and carry out balanced "multi-polar diplomacy". Deepen China-Russia comprehensive strategic cooperation, strengthen strategic coordination between the two countries in various fields and at various levels;
"Enhance strategic mutual trust between China and Europe, forge consensus on upholding multilateralism, adhering to free trade and addressing climate change, expand pragmatic cooperation in digital, green and other emerging areas, and accelerate the implementation of the CAI.
"With the new US administration in power, China and the US should plan for a game of "coopetition", manage their differences and competition, strive to restart dialogue, rebuild mutual trust, and restart cooperation on combating the pandemic, economy and trade, climate change,
"counter-terrorism, and cybersecurity, with an emphasis on seeking common ground while reserving differences; China should plan for the "grand triangles" of CN-US-EU and CN-US-RS, as well as the "small triangles" of CN-US-Japan, CN-US-India, and CN-US-UK
3) Third, we should plan the trilateral relationship between CN and the US, take a multi-pronged approach to shape our "great periphery (大周边)", and break the attempts of major powers inside and outside the region to encircle China through the " Indo-Pacific strategy".
"We should take the 20th anniversary of the establishment of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization as an opportunity to promote the "Shanghai spirit", promote the entry into force of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (RCEP) as soon as possible,
"promote the mutually beneficial cooperation between CN, Japan & ROK, & deepen the construction of the Lancang-Mekong Cooperation Economic Development Belt. The gov should also manage the territorial disputes between CN & its neighbors & properly deal with regional hotspots
/End
This report was written by Chen Xiangyang (image below), Director of the Institute of World Politics at CICIR & Wang Lei, an Assistant Researcher.
Link: mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAxMz…

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