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Prof. Madhav Nalapat

2 Feb, 8 tweets, 2 min read

It was apparent from 1959 onwards that it would only be a question of “when” and not “whether” the Peoples Liberation Army 🇨🇳 would be unleashed on its counterpart in India 🇮🇳.

If 1962 was the year in which Mao had decided to “teach India a lesson”, it made sense to ensure that a reliable and friendly partner, the Burmese military, took charge in Rangoon from a civilian government that was more independent of Beijing.

The 2021 military coup in Myanmar has to be looked at in the context of the very possible preparations that are ongoing within the PRC military for a large-scale armed showdown on the border with India aimed at securing control of large chunks of our territory... .

Both the PRC as well as Russia (not to mention a much smaller power, Pakistan) understand that a full scope alliance between the members of the Quadrilateral Alliance would deny the Sino-Russian alliance what they seek, which is primacy over the Indo-Pacific.

The country getting the worst of a military contest over the Himalayan massif will endure severe shocks to its governance system, whether this be China or India.

The substantial sums of money that the PRC is earning through the surpluses of its trade with India every year is being used in an effort at funding the capabilities of the Pakistan military against India, as well as equipping the PLA for the same role.

In the chessboard of the strategy being developed by the Central Military Commission to ensure that the PLA does not get the worst of the impending conflict,taking control of Maynmar away from a civilian government committed to democracy is as important in 2021 as it was in 1962.

@PMOIndia

India needs to add its voices to those who demand that the military in Myanmar return to the barracks and restore the elected government to power.

Myanmar Coup 2021: An Early Warning Sign for India i.mdnalapat.com/cf2221
@PMOIndia @MEAIndia @DefenceMinIndia

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More from @MD_Nalapat

Prof. Madhav Nalapat

@MD_Nalapat

3 Jan

The US wanted to assist Tibetan resistance movements through supplies of weapons, but could not do so because Prime Minister Jawaharlal Nehru refused to permit such items from being transported through India.

It was believed by Nehru that the blank cheque he handed over to Chairman Mao on Tibet in 1950 would be repaid by the latter’s formal acceptance of the McMahon Line as the frontier between India and China.

Amazingly, the entry of the PLA into Aksai Chin was not even mentioned by the Indian side but neither was the implicit offer of Premier Zhou accepted that Aksai Chin would remain with the PRC but the line in the rest of the frontier would become the agreed boundary.

Read 13 tweets

Prof. Madhav Nalapat

@MD_Nalapat

7 Dec 20

The higher an individual has progressed within the CCP, the more has been his or her awareness of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union General Secretary who presided over the demise of the USSR. Not as someone to emulate, but as an example to avoid.

Unlike in the case of the US and the USSR, where almost all the concessions made went one way, from the USSR to the very country eager to witness its demise, the PRC has been at the receiving end of concessions from Washington that have boosted its technology and the economy.

Should incoming President Joseph R. Biden Jr revert to the China-friendly policies of the Clinton era, voter backlash against the Democratic Party would be severe.

Read 6 tweets

Prof. Madhav Nalapat

@MD_Nalapat

6 Dec 20

President Donald J. Trump has had more than a few successes during his term, and Benjamin Netanyahu behaved with gratitude and courtesy in thanking him for some of them, which included the welcome escape of Israel from the diplomatic quarantine of so many Arab states.

In the case of that often ignored democracy, Taiwan, Trump has done more to secure that country from a PLA takeover than any of his predecessors since Jimmy Carter initiated the pro-PRC tilt.

The problem with Trump is that he has had a lifelong obsession with the dollar, which the 45th US President clearly values above all else, save perhaps Ivanka, Melania and Barron.

Read 8 tweets

Prof. Madhav Nalapat

@MD_Nalapat

17 Nov 20

The Supreme Court of India deserves gratitude from those who believe in the values of freedom and democracy. That “jail is the exception and bail is the rule” has been repeated endless times, yet it appears to many in India that jail is the norm and bail the exception.

So far as the media is concerned, over the years dozens of journalists have been sent to jail in states across the country. Some have been silenced in a more permanent way.

In another field, numerous personnel connected to India’s nuclear and missile industries succumbed to “suicides”, “accidents” & “break-in murders” since the 1990s, when President Clinton declared a public as well as a covert war on both nuclear & missile activity in our country.

Read 9 tweets

Prof. Madhav Nalapat

@MD_Nalapat

8 Nov 20

Russian as well as western tradition defines war in kinetic terms: guns, bombs, troops. The Chinese do not.

They (Chinese) believe in achieving their objectives through chipping away and reducing the physical, psychological, economic and technological advantages of the adversary. Such “victory through stealth” suppresses the ability of the rival power to respond effectively... .

This is what had been taking place with India since the PRC pace of establishing superiority accelerated in the 1990s. Territory has been lost, meta data got vacuumed up in copious quantities to feed the Artificial Intelligence capabilities of the PRC […] .

Read 22 tweets

Prof. Madhav Nalapat

@MD_Nalapat

3 Nov 20

Depending on the results of the Bihar Assembly polls, either the Congress Party or the BJP will claim that the election was not a referendum on the central leadership of the losing party, but was based on state-specific issues having scant relation to the national level.

In India as well as in the US and elsewhere, the calculation of the proponents of the “lockdown theory” is that millions of lives were saved as a consequence of restrictions that were applied.

What is not contested is that hundreds of millions of livelihoods have been affected. Jobs have vanished, incomes have plunged, and this has produced emotions that have so far been mostly latent, but which are nevertheless potent.

Read 5 tweets

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