Tatiana @Stanovaya weighs in: After the poisoning and especially since his investigation into the FSB’s role, Navalny became a “systemic threat” to Putin’s regime, not just to isolated authorities/groups. That made him Putin’s personal problem. 1/5 t.me/stanovaya/924
Under these conditions, the Putin regime was simply incapable of allowing Navalny to remain free, and both the police and Kremlin media mobilized well in advance to legitimize Navalny’s imprisonment today. 2/5
This is just the beginning. Navalny, the Anti-Corruption Foundation, & its activity are now fundamentally incompatible w/ Putin’s regime. There will be more criminal prosecutions. Lots more. Navalny won’t be “allowed" in public again, except when he’s sentenced to more years. 3/5
The authorities will now ramp up the prosecution of others doing independent work, as well. That applies not just to activists but also to journalists, bloggers, students, teachers, and just any poor fucks caught in the crossfire. 4/5
Most important now is who prevails in the “big confrontation” that begins. The authorities are betting on the FSB and public despair, which leaves no room for dialogue with society. 5/5
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lol. Kazbek seems to be suggesting that Natalia explaining how defaming journalists as “spooks” can make those people targets for psychos is actually Natalia threatening her. Stupid or malicious? Who can say.
Also, you’ve got to love: I’ve reported her tweets, oh and here’s a screenshot of what makes me literally fear for my life guys, please retweet and like.
I’m perfectly safe, but I will say that idiots on Twitter (including Kazbek) have circulated very dumb allegations that I’m some kind of spook (most people in the Russia expert community deal with this shit at some point).
Navalny’s new Palace Investigation focuses heavily on Putin’s time in Dresden with the KGB. The friends he made then became his moneybags as president. The rules of the game: register nothing to Putin directly, diversify risks, and old friends always trump new ones.
Navalny’s team says it’s discovered, for the first time, that Transneft president Nikolai Tokarev served with the KGB in Dresden alongside Putin. Tokarev hides this on his resume now. In Germany, he even shared an office with Sergey Chemezov (now Rostech’s head).
Navalny credits two men — “who in the 90s were considered the personifications of corruption” — with rescuing Putin from obsolescence and maybe prison in St. Petersburg: Yeltsin’s Presidential Property Management Department head Pavel Borodin and also Anatoly Chubais.