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https://twitter.com/davetroy/status/1327253991936454663?s=20

@RepMaloney

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Dave Troy

@davetroy

Sep 3

1/Russia and Thiel are done with Trump: Khanna, Massie, Greene, Boebert, Mace, Sherman, McGovern sign discharge petition to force release of Epstein files; will create significant public pressure for dirt on Trump, which will likely be difficult to fulfill.

2/Meanwhile Johnson, who is backed by authors of Project Russia, is running his own parallel game w/House Oversight, promising to release even more. But neither camp is talking about Sen. Wyden’s investigation into Epstein’s $1bn+ money flows that would reveal the full scope…

3/of his activities, which include infiltrating scientific research institutions in the same manner pursued by Robert Maxwell. Outside the prurient and illegal sexual activity, this is where the biggest story lies, and you can expect that Russia, Thiel and their allies…

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Dave Troy

@davetroy

Aug 16

1/Increasingly bothered by the argument that the path to “intelligence” requires the theft of all known intellectual property. That’s not anything but theft, and if you were actually building “intelligence” it theoretically requires near zero training data.

2/If, as proponents argue, we are simulating human intelligence “in silico” then we should be able to build what amounts to a 12 year old’s mind. A 12 year old can be extremely “intelligent” (genius level in fact) but has necessarily trained on very little data.

3/Few are talking about solving that problem, because we really haven’t figured out the neuro-symbolic architecture to do it. Instead, we are vacuuming up copyrighted works (stored intellectual work of others) and billing that as “PhD level intelligence.” What utter bullshit.

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Dave Troy

@davetroy

Aug 15

The funniest part about Zuck throwing billions into AI is his naming of the effort as “superintelligence,” as if that alone will manifest the gods. The second funniest part is he desperately tried to manifest the metaverse just 3 years ago — and failed at that, too.

What this tells us is that the core FB properties are aging cash cows and Zuck is desperate to invest billions in anything that will ensure his personal relevance as a tech titan 10-20 years from now. Good luck, but throwing money at things is no guarantee of success.

As @GaryMarcus and I have been saying the last few years, AI is up against some very challenging limits, and despite the massive investments in the space, progress has plateaued. Plenty to be done with what’s been built, but unclear the investments will be recouped anytime soon.

Read 13 tweets

Dave Troy

@davetroy

Aug 8

1/Yesterday, OpenAI demonstrated that even after spending untold billions on scaling AI models, LLM’s alone aren’t the ticket to achieving superintelligence. This is linear growth, not an exponential leap, and that has several implications…

2/First, it vindicates people like @GaryMarcus who have correctly argued that language-only architectures lack capacity for reason and actual world modeling, and that neuro-symbolic architectures are needed. I agree, and while we can say “I told you so,” that’s not important…

3/relative to other implications. Much bigger is the coming reckoning in the marketplace. Models are commodities. Application developers have opportunities to make money, but there is likely to be a big contraction in the AI sector generally. That’s fine and a natural…

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Dave Troy

@davetroy

Aug 1

As the Epstein blackmail/espionage story continues to fall apart, bookmark this for future reference. At some point people will figure this out.
gameb.wiki/index.php?titl…

And then, the New Mexico ranch will finally make sense.
nytimes.com/2019/07/31/bus…

Jim Rutt.
gameb.wiki/index.php?titl…

Read 8 tweets

Dave Troy

@davetroy

Jul 29

https://twitter.com/jayshams/status/1950147654995824956

This aligns with the data-driven analysis we performed. What Acosta may have been indicating is that Epstein was involved as a confidential informant on a case; but there is little else to indicate ongoing large-scale involvement or a sprawling blackmail ring.

https://twitter.com/jayshams/status/1950147654995824956

That doesn’t mean there isn’t stuff we don’t know and that some of it is material. But it may mean that the government doesn’t have details on it, and that it’s incumbent on journalists to find out more. Our analysis here.
america2.news/we-mapped-jeff…

That said, journalists have doggedly picked over reams of data and leads on Epstein for decades. The idea we can find more when incentives were already so high seems improbable. But let the govt show what they have and let journalists do their work; we’ll see where that leads.

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