- Crypto is now a $1T industry
- Bitcoin and Ethereum have enabled >$1T in annual transaction volume
- Decentralized finance has ~$30B in assets
- Coinmarketcap.com is more popular than the Wall Street Journal!
It is now a global phenomenon.
NATIONAL SECURITY
Crypto defends India's national security by foiling deplatforming.
Bitcoin prevents financial deplatforming. Digital gold is a rail of last resort for crises like 2008.
And Ethereum prevents social deplatforming. Create social networks the US can't shut down.
FOREIGN INVESTMENT
A favorable crypto policy would attract billions in investment to India, causing capital landing rather than capital flight.
Bitcoin is very popular among CEOs and investors. And at $200k per BTC, an estimated 50% of global billionaires will come from crypto.
REMITTANCES & REMOTE
- 400M Indians are newly online
- COVID has created a remote economy
- India earns $150B+ from BPO
- And receives $80B+ from remittances
So: India is poised for an absolutely massive boom in remote work & remittances, with crypto serving as the catalyst.
MONETARY POLICY
Why does India hold 600 tons of gold? Because in a crisis the rupee may need to be gold-backed. By analogy, a digital rupee may need to be *digital-gold backed*.
Gold is not a threat to India, gold has historically been an *asset* for India. Digital gold is too.
TRUSTWORTHY ACCOUNTING
Here's a little known fact: major accounting firms now use blockchains as a gold standard in audits, because they can't be falsified.
India could use on-chain accounting to build a financial system that leapfrogs the world. The next step for IndiaStack?
A FINANCIAL INTERNET
Just like the internet digitized movies, music, and all types of media, blockchains enable a *financial internet* that is digitizing currencies, stocks, bonds, and all types of assets.
It's imperative that India have access to the financial internet!
CRYPTO APIS > CORPORATE APIS
India already encourages the use of open source over proprietary code when available.
It should prefer crypto APIs over corporate APIs for the same reason, because blockchains aren't just open source: they're also open state & open execution.
FOREIGN POLICY
A renewed non-aligned movement will play a balancing role in the US/China Cold War.
India should reposition it as a *decentralized movement* that advocates crypto protocols as a successor to the rules-based order, starting with finance. balajis.com/why-india-shou…
BECOME A GLOBAL LEADER
As the world's 3rd largest economy in PPP terms, India could lead a decentralized movement to develop provably fair crypto platforms, neutral systems outside both American and Chinese control that all countries can embrace.
It's time for a bold move.
RECOMMENDATIONS
1) Ship digital rupee backed by digital gold 2) Add on-chain accounting + "stockchain" to IndiaStack 3) Attract crypto capital with smart laws 4) Build decentralized protocols for the world
Crypto is a $1T industry on track to become a $10T industry.
India’s entire GDP is $3T.
A crypto ban would cost India trillions in growth. Economic growth is also a national security issue; whatever the ban hopes to achieve may be done more cheaply another way.
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There's dark talent around the world, from the Midwest to the Middle East. Backing this talent is the right thing to do morally and the smart thing to do economically.
To be clear: I'm not talking about sending more tech talent to the US. Instead, I'm talking about backing dark talent around the world.
That includes the many white kids from places like the Midwest who've been unfairly quota'd out of Harvard. But it also includes those outside America whose societies were ravaged by war, socialism, or communism...and who are just now starting to become productive again.
The goal is global equality of opportunity. The Internet actually now provides the basis for uniform rule-of-law via rule-of-code, starting with Bitcoin and smart contracts. We just need to execute from here.
Yes. That's what the blockchain is: everyone worldwide gets access to their ideal monetary policy, payments, smart contracts, and entity formation. Enforced by incorruptible & transparent computer-based judges. And opted into on a purely voluntary basis.
Fifteen years ago the far left still controlled almost one third of India.
The Modi government fixed the issue by using force against actual terrorists while addressing the underlying discontent with economic development. It worked. indiatoday.in/amp/india-toda…x.com/iyervval/statu…
Both America and China were invested in the illusion that China wasn't already the world's strongest economy.
Psychologically, it suited the incumbent to appear strong. So America downplayed China's numbers.
Strategically, it suited the disruptor to appear weak. So China also sandbagged its own numbers.
But the illusion is becoming harder to maintain.
In retrospect, all the China cope over the last decade or so was really just the stealth on the Chinese stealth bomber.
Hide your strength and bide your time was Deng's strategy. Amazingly, denying China's strength somehow also became America's strategy.
For example, all the cope on China's demographics somehow being uniquely bad...when they have 1.4B+ people that crush every international science competition with minimal drug addiction, crime, or fatherlessness...and when their demographic problems have obvious robotic solutions.
Or, for another example, how MAGA sought to mimic China's manufacturing buildout and industrial policy without deeply understanding China's strengths in this area, which is like competing with Google by setting up a website. Vague references to 1945 substituted for understanding the year 2025.
One consequence of the cope is that China knows far more about America's strengths than vice versa. Surprisingly few Americans interested in re-industrialization have ever set foot in Shenzhen. Those who have, like @Molson_Hart, understand what modern China actually is.
Anyway, what @DoggyDog1208 calls the "skull chart" is the same phenomenon @yishan and I commented on months ago. Once China truly enters a vertical, like electric cars or solar, their pace of ascent[1] is so rapid that incumbents often don't even have time to react.
Now apply this at country level. China has flipped America so quickly on so many axes[2], particularly military ones like hypersonics or military-adjacent ones like power, that it can no longer be contained.
A major contributing factor was the dollar illusion. All that money printing made America think it was richer than China. And China was happy to let America persist in the illusion. But an illusion it was. Yet another way in which Keynesianism becomes the epitaph of empire.